Analyst: The inflow of Bitcoin to exchanges is 50% higher than in February, and SOPR remains below 1

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. released a report indicating that the current Bitcoin market correction is more severe than in February. The 30-day average inflow of Bitcoin to exchanges has risen to 122,000 coins, significantly higher than the annual baseline of 82,000 coins, and about 50% higher than the average of around 80,000 coins during the February sell-off period, approaching the upper range of 131,000 coins. Meanwhile, the price has dropped from $77,000-$78,000 to the current approximately $59,000.

At the same time, the 30-day average SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has fallen to 0.99, consistently below the critical level of 1, indicating that the market is, on average, in a state of realized losses. From May to July, this indicator was below 1 for 37 out of 61 days. The combination of these two indicators shows that the volume of sell-offs and realized losses makes the current correction more pronounced than in February. Adler pointed out that this is not a temporary pressure event, but rather a continuous selling process. For the market to stabilize, two signals need to appear simultaneously: SOPR rising above 1 (meaning that those selling coins are no longer losing money), and the inflow to exchanges returning to annual normal levels. The main risk is that if a large amount of coins continues to flow into exchanges, the supply pressure will persist, making it difficult for market sentiment to improve.