Goldman Sachs has also "changed its tune": the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week
Goldman Sachs shifted from predicting no action to betting on a 25 basis point rate hike next week, stating that this shift is not due to how bad the inflation data is—August's CPI, while not perfect, is not alarming either. The real key is: Waller's hawkish remarks have guided market expectations that "if the inflation data is not perfect, then there will be a rate hike." If the Federal Reserve backs down at this time, its credibility will be severely damaged, and long-term interest rates may react sharply immediately.