Catcher Predict: "Israel and Iran ceasefire continues" "August 15" win rate plummets by 15%

2026-07-29 06:45:25

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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "Israel and Iran Ceasefire Lasting" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "August 15" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 77.5% an hour ago to the current 62.5% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

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Polymarket prediction market ceasefire between Israel and Iran

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