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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: Waller's hawkish speech raises expectations for "higher interest rates to last longer," making the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields key to the market

Bitget CFD Chief Analyst Lewis Huang stated that the hawkish remarks made by Powell at the Jackson Hole global central bank conference have shifted the market's focus from whether there will be a rate hike in September to the possibility that the Federal Reserve may maintain high interest rates for a longer period before inflation clearly falls back to the 2% target, and even retain the option for further tightening of policies.Lewis Huang pointed out that if subsequent CPI, PCE, and employment data continue to be strong, the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield and the dollar index may remain strong, putting continued pressure on gold from the dual forces of rising real interest rates and a strengthening dollar, which may also amplify the volatility of high-valuation tech stocks like the Nasdaq 100.Conversely, if inflation significantly cools and the labor market weakens, the market may lower its rate hike expectations, leading to a decline in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, providing support for gold and growth stocks.He added that besides the Federal Reserve's policy statements, traders should also pay attention to whether the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is influenced by factors such as fiscal deficits, Treasury supply, and rising term premiums.Before and after the release of major data, it is recommended to moderately control leverage and assess market direction based on the interrelationship between the dollar, U.S. Treasury yields, gold, and stock indices.

first_img ECB officials say that the digital euro will provide higher privacy protection than bank transfers

European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Piero Cipollone stated in a recent interview that the digital euro will provide stronger privacy protection than regular bank transfers. He pointed out that the euro system is structurally unable to associate specific individuals with their digital euro transactions, whether online or offline.Cipollone stated that offline payments will be conducted entirely directly between individuals, with transaction details visible only to the payer and payee, equivalent to cash transactions; only banks participating in online transactions will be able to identify user identities, and this will only be used for anti-money laundering purposes. He also refuted concerns that the digital euro would replace physical cash, citing the ECB's recent public consultation on the design of the new euro banknotes as an example, stating, "If institutions intend to eliminate cash, it makes no sense to do so."Cipollone's remarks come at a time when public opposition to the digital euro is rising. Civil society groups such as the Austrian digital rights organization Epicenter.works warned in a joint statement earlier this month that the privacy protections of the digital euro "over-rely on institutional commitments rather than technical execution," and that legislative commitments may be weakened in implementation, reinterpreted in court, or even broken. The digital euro regulation was approved by the European Parliament last month, with plans to launch in 2029. ECB President Lagarde previously stated that the digital euro will coexist with physical cash.
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