sentiment

According to Jin Shi reports, on Wednesday, Korean retail investors faced forced liquidations of approximately 1.7 trillion won (about 1.2 billion USD) in positions.Jung In Yun, CEO of Fibonacci Asset Management, stated, "Today there are many cases of forced liquidations, and we need to wait until the selling sentiment of retail investors eases before taking action."

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the Bitcoin funding rate is showing typical signals before the significant increases in September 2024 and December 2022, indicating that pessimism may have recently peaked.From March to May, Bitcoin corrected over 50%, and the accumulation of short positions pushed the funding rate down to negative values. Subsequently, BTC rebounded to $82,000 in May. This signal has appeared again, potentially leaving room for a bullish reconstruction in the coming months. This indicator has been transformed into a monthly sentiment aggregation tool, which is more effective than the Fear and Greed Index.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the outflow of stablecoins from Binance and Bybit in the past 30 days exceeded $2.3 billion, leading to a depletion of Bitcoin liquidity. Bitcoin has been testing the critical price level of $60,000 for nearly 165 days. Although it briefly broke through $80,000 in May, it failed to maintain or reignite the upward momentum of Bitcoin.One of the reasons for this situation is the lack of new liquidity flowing into the market. Whether through direct investment in Bitcoin or investment in the entire crypto market, new demand has been difficult to realize. Observing the changes in stablecoin reserves at exchanges, the situation has been particularly poor since the beginning of the year, with a nearly continuous decline, reflecting that outflows are significantly exceeding inflows. In just the past 30 days, Binance's stablecoin reserves have decreased by $1.55 billion, while Bybit lost $786 million during the same period. The decline in reserves sends a clear signal: demand and liquidity are shrinking, and investors seem inclined to withdraw stablecoins from exchanges or even exit the market entirely. Therefore, it is this still overly pessimistic overall market sentiment that continues to deprive Bitcoin of the resources needed to break through the current consolidation range.

Glassnode data shows that the sentiment in the BTC options market is gradually turning positive. As prices rebound, the BTC implied volatility index DVOL has decreased from 48 to 40, indicating that the panic premium accumulated in June is partially retreating. However, the current volatility is still higher than the May low, suggesting that while market uncertainty has eased, it has not completely dissipated.Meanwhile, the BTC options open interest Put/Call ratio has dropped to about 0.59, reaching a six-month low, indicating that traders are significantly reducing downside hedging and re-establishing bullish exposure. Glassnode believes that this change reflects a constructive improvement in options market sentiment.From the position structure, BTC is currently hovering around $63,000, still below the dense negative gamma range of $68,000 to $70,000. If the price further enters this range, it may trigger stronger pro-cyclical market maker hedging behavior and amplify market volatility.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, a report from NYDIG shows that Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30% this year, performing the worst among various assets, lagging behind U.S. Treasury bonds, silver, and the Swiss franc. The report points out that the current slump is due to supply mechanisms rather than risk sentiment, and the timing and structure of the pullback in 2025-2026 are increasingly resembling the adjustment years of 2014, 2018, and 2022. If the 2022 model is fully replicated, the cycle low could be around $38,000-$39,000.However, Bitcoin experienced its lowest volatility year on record in 2025, and some analysts believe this year's pullback may be shallower than in previous bear markets. In Q2 2026, the rolling correlation between Bitcoin and gold increased, with both assets facing sell-offs, and the "devaluation trade" losing momentum. Bitwise stated last week that despite Bitcoin being in the deepest and longest slump since the last bear market, the fundamentals have laid the groundwork for a rapid recovery. NYDIG referred to the CLARITY Act as "the most important forward-looking catalyst for the digital asset industry."

According to Jinshi, the global fund manager survey by Bank of America shows that fund managers' bullish sentiment towards the US stock market has reached its highest level since December 2024. A net 24% of respondents believe that US stocks will outperform other regions, marking the third highest allocation weight for US stocks in the past five years.In contrast, investors have reduced their allocation to UK stocks, with confidence dropping to its lowest point since August 2020.

According to Cointelegraph, the launch of Robinhood's Layer 2 network, Robinhood Chain, has boosted market sentiment towards Ethereum. The network uses ETH as its native Gas token, and approximately $141 million worth of ETH has been bridged to the chain.Reports indicate that there are now over 500,000 wallet addresses holding ETH on the network. In the past 24 hours, the DEX trading volume on Robinhood Chain reached $877.56 million, surpassing Ethereum L1 and competitor Base. As an on-chain extension of the traditional financial trading platform Robinhood, it offers tokenized stock services to customers in 120 countries, further strengthening the EVM-compatible ecosystem.

According to Jinshi, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) stated that traders' overall positioning sentiment towards the dollar has risen to the most optimistic level since 2015.

According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, market risk appetite continues to be under pressure, and the overall cryptocurrency market is experiencing a pullback. BTC fell 3.7% over the week, ETH fell 1.2%, and the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies declined by 3.1%, with the Fear and Greed Index remaining in the "Extreme Fear" range. In terms of capital flow, digital asset investment products continued to see net outflows, with the spot BTC ETF experiencing a net outflow of $226.8 million in a single week, and the spot ETH ETF seeing a net outflow of $10 million, reflecting ongoing market hesitation. Meanwhile, STRC under Strategy has traded below par for the fifth consecutive week, and the market continues to pay attention to its subsequent capital operations and yield adjustment space.In terms of industry development, stablecoin payments and RWA infrastructure construction are being continuously advanced. Trace Finance has completed $32 million in financing to expand its compliant stablecoin payment network and cross-border settlement infrastructure; Philippine regulators have released positive signals supporting the development of RWA tokenization, with related explorations further deepening. In terms of investment and financing, four financing transactions were disclosed last week, with a total financing amount of $39.5 million, of which the DeFi sector accounted for the majority. Overall, although the market is still in a correction phase in the short term, stablecoin payments, RWA, and underlying infrastructure construction remain important directions of ongoing industry focus.

According to The Block, Ben Slavin, the global ETF head at Bank of New York Mellon (BNY), stated that asset managers are accelerating their tokenized ETF plans, driven mainly by investor demand and the FOMO sentiment of fearing to miss early opportunities in blockchain finance. Slavin revealed that BNY has multiple tokenized ETF projects underway, and although the regulatory environment and infrastructure are not yet fully ready, many clients wish to launch products as soon as possible. He believes that blockchain networks are expected to become a new distribution channel for traditional investment products, enabling around-the-clock holding and transfer of fund shares, shortening settlement times, and expanding coverage for global investors.Slavin also pointed out that currently, hundreds of well-known ETFs are trading in tokenized form in unregulated markets, and most of these have not been directly authorized by the fund sponsors, which poses reputational risks. This topic has become a focal point for discussions among BNY's asset management clients. Although the industry is still exploring core issues such as the integration of tokenized funds with existing infrastructure, secondary trading mechanisms, and regulatory frameworks, Slavin stated that asset managers are increasingly inclined to believe that "getting in early" in this field is more important than "waiting for clarity."

According to Jinshi reports, the Nasdaq 100 index has turned down, indicating a weakening of market sentiment.

According to Gate market data, the S&P 500 index has turned down, indicating a weakening of market sentiment.

Jiang Zhuoer stated that MicroStrategy (MSTR) currently holds approximately $55 billion in Bitcoin assets, corresponding to an annual dividend expenditure of about $1.7 billion for its STRC preferred shares, which theoretically could cover about 32 years of dividend needs by selling BTC. STRC is a preferred stock rather than a debt instrument, so there is no traditional pressure for mandatory repayment. From a financial structure perspective, MSTR does not face "forced liquidation-style leverage risk" or short-term repayment crises.However, the related statements reflect that market concerns about its long-term cash flow and the volatility of crypto assets are rising. Currently, STRC has shown significant discount fluctuations, and its refinancing ability is limited. In addition, MSTR has recently relied more on methods such as issuing common stock to increase its BTC holdings (which may dilute the per-share Bitcoin amount when mNAV is below 1), and this strategy is difficult to sustain in the long term.Jiang Zhuoer indicated that even if the actual scale of MSTR selling BTC to pay dividends is relatively small compared to the entire market, its symbolic significance may be more important, potentially putting pressure on market confidence and causing investors to reassess the possibility of "long-term passive selling of coins." The market's understanding of this structure is not consistent, and this cognitive difference itself may become an important factor influencing expectations and sentiment.

Driven by the news of the peace agreement between the United States and Iran and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, global risk appetite has significantly rebounded, with U.S. stock futures rising across the board and the technology growth sector performing actively. According to Gate market data, SanDisk (SNDK) reached a high of $2,075.72 in 24 hours, currently reported at $2,067.95, with a 24-hour increase of 3.74%; SpaceX (SPCX) reached a high of $169.59 in 24 hours, currently reported at $167.85, with a 24-hour increase of 1.21%. According to CoinGlass data, the contract open interest for Gate SNDK (SanDisk) reached $9.0399 million, and the contract open interest for Gate SPCX (SpaceX) reached $6.6192 million, both ranking among the industry's top.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been positive for 2 consecutive days, currently reported at 0.208%. The buying sentiment in the U.S. market has begun to warm up, after being in negative premium for 24 consecutive days.The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a mainstream trading platform in the U.S.) and the global market average price. This index is an important indicator for observing the flow of funds in the U.S. market, the enthusiasm of institutional investors, and changes in market sentiment. A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average price, which usually means: strong buying in the U.S. market, active entry of institutional or compliant funds, ample dollar liquidity, and an optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average price, which typically reflects: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, decreased risk appetite among investors, rising market risk aversion, or capital outflow.

According to Jinshi reports, as the Middle East war solidifies the dollar's status as a safe-haven currency, traders' bullish sentiment towards the dollar has risen to its highest level in over a year. According to data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), as of June 9, hedge funds, asset management companies, and other speculators held a total of $27.8 billion in bullish bets on the dollar, the highest level since February 2025. This change in positions indicates that market bullish sentiment towards this major global reserve currency continues to accumulate.

According to Jinshi reports, Capital.com analyst Daniela Hathorn stated in a report that investors are closely watching the upcoming inflation data to assess the potential direction of future central bank interest rate decisions.She pointed out that market expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year have risen significantly over the past week, so the inflation data could reinforce or challenge this repricing expectation. LSEG data shows that investors have fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve by the end of 2026.

According to Gate market data, the Nasdaq 100 index has turned positive, and market sentiment has warmed up.

According to Jinshi reports, Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon stated that the prosperity of the stock market is driven by a desire for profits, which outweighs concerns about economic turmoil and inflation risks. He pointed out that the current market sentiment is much more greedy than fearful, with ample funds available. At the same time, Solomon acknowledged that the risk of escalating inflation may prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, emphasizing the real existence of inflationary pressures.

Well-known Bitcoin market analyst PlanB predicts that the probability of Bitcoin falling below $61,000 is over 50%. He believes that the probability of Bitcoin dropping below $61,000 and even $53,000 both exceed 50%, suggesting that the market may still face further downward pressure in the future. Crypto KOL Qinjiaopike stated, "The automatic trend indicator alert shows that Bitcoin's 3-day line has entered a new downward trend, and a new round of decline in the latter half of the bear market has begun, with a bear market bottom target of $42,000-$44,000."The top profit leader before the Binance contract live trading, 0xPickleCati, posted on their personal channel, "Speak of the devil, the devil appears; in a bear market, don't try to guess the bottom, in a few months you might find there is no bottom."