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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "India" option in the sub-market "Who wins the coin toss" for the event "T20 Women's Asia Cup India vs Sri Lanka" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced significant fluctuations, rising from 50.5% an hour ago to the current 91% (a fluctuation of 40.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

The CEO of JERA, Japan's largest power company, stated that starting from January 1 next year, the supply of liquefied natural gas and natural gas from Russia to Europe will be halted, and gas prices may rise further.

According to Gate market data, influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expectations, Asian currencies generally weakened against the US dollar in the morning session. The market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points this week, with the probability rising to 88%.The US dollar rose 0.3% against the South Korean won and the Japanese yen, trading at 1,345.8 and 154.06, respectively; the Australian dollar fell 0.2% against the US dollar, trading at 0.7151.

According to BBX data, global capital giants and publicly listed Bitcoin treasury companies disclosed the latest developments in asset purchases and asset management entities over the weekend. The core information is as follows:Cardone Capital increases its holdings by 20 Bitcoins: Grant Cardone, CEO of the well-known real estate investment company Cardone Capital, stated on social media that the company has recently increased its holdings by 20 Bitcoins in the secondary market, continuing to view it as an important component in combating traditional fiat currency inflation and optimizing treasury allocation.Metaplanet establishes an Asian asset management subsidiary to accelerate the advancement of the "Project Nova" strategy: The Japanese listed company Metaplanet (TSE: 3350) officially announced the establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary, Metaplanet Asset Management Asia Limited, as the group's core trading execution and asset management hub during the Asian time zone. The initial capital contribution for this subsidiary is set at 1 million USD, with an expected official establishment in September 2026. This entity will collaborate with the previously established asset management company (MAM) in Miami, USA, to form a 24-hour cross-time zone synergy, focusing on asset trading execution, position risk control, and market dynamics monitoring during the Asian time zone. Its main investment targets include Bitcoin, Bitcoin-related stocks, and priority securities issued by Bitcoin treasury companies, among other credit instruments. This move is an important step for Metaplanet in advancing the "Project Nova" Bitcoin financial platform strategy, and the company expects this investment to have a slight impact on the consolidated performance for the period ending December 2026.

Elvira Nabiullina, the Governor of the Bank of Russia, stated that the digital ruble has been launched nationwide, with nearly 87,000 new accounts opened in the past 10 days and over 50,000 related transactions. She pointed out that a few banks encountered technical issues when opening accounts and executing some transactions, but the relevant banks have completed the processing, and there have been no widespread failures or numerous complaints.The Bank of Russia is reducing the steps required for account opening and transactions while maintaining security levels. The digital ruble has completed its nationwide rollout after real user testing that began in 2023, and users can choose whether to use it. Twelve major banks in Russia and retailers with annual revenues exceeding 120 million rubles (approximately 1.42 million USD) must accept digital ruble payments, with more businesses expected to be included by 2028.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the recent rise in Bitcoin has pushed investor sentiment to its strongest level since March 2024. The market sentiment indicator he tracks once reached above 89/100, entering the "extreme greed" zone.This indicator combines several data points, including the Fear and Greed Index, with a range from -100 to +100, corresponding to extreme fear and extreme greed, respectively. Darkfost pointed out that when market sentiment is extremely optimistic or pessimistic, it often signals a potential turning point in trends.Currently, as the previous market frenzy gradually fades, the sentiment indicator is returning to more normal levels, while Bitcoin is still struggling to maintain its current price range.

Japan-listed Bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet announced the establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary, Metaplanet Asset Management Asia Limited, as the group's trading execution and asset management hub in the Asia region, with an initial investment of 1 million USD, expected to be established in September 2026.The company will operate in coordination with Metaplanet Asset Management Inc. (MAM), which was previously established in Miami, USA, primarily responsible for trading execution and risk management operations such as position and market dynamics monitoring during the Asian trading hours, focusing on investment targets including Bitcoin, Bitcoin-related stocks, and preferred securities issued by Bitcoin treasury companies. This move is part of Metaplanet's strategy to advance the "Project Nova" Bitcoin financial platform, and the company expects this matter to have a slight impact on the consolidated performance for the period ending December 2026.

The Central Bank of Russia and the Reserve Bank of India are collaborating to establish a mechanism for settling bilateral trade using digital currencies to improve the efficiency of cross-border payments. Russia has launched the digital ruble, and India's digital currency is also used for government projects.Both parties will discuss digital currency trade settlement with BRICS countries at the summit in New Delhi.

U.S. Treasury yields rose during the Asian trading session, with yields across all maturities reaching multi-year highs. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 4.596%, the 10-year rose to 4.979%, and the 30-year hit 5.384%. Danske Bank stated that the 10-year yield is just a few basis points away from the 5% mark, due to U.S. Treasury buyback operations falling short of expectations.

According to Bits.media, Vladislav Glazcheva, an advisor to the Federal Financial Monitoring Service of Russia, stated that when opening accounts at digital hosting institutions in Russia, customers will be required to provide a taxpayer identification number to ensure the transparency of cryptocurrency transactions and prevent money laundering.Previously, it was not mandatory to provide a taxpayer identification number when opening a bank account. In addition, the Russian Financial Monitoring Service has been authorized to monitor all cryptocurrency transactions, and any transaction amount exceeding 60,000 rubles must be reported to the regulatory authorities with complete information about both parties involved in the transaction, including names and actual addresses. The Central Bank of Russia is also studying a mechanism to link taxpayer identification numbers with bank accounts, and the related "anti-fraud" platform is expected to officially launch in 2027.

The Southeast Asian cryptocurrency industry is expected to double its funding to $680 million by 2026, with Singapore taking the lead.Japan's Metaplanet faces shareholder backlash due to the executive stock incentive plan.

The Kremlin stated that Russia will discuss trade settlements using digital currencies with BRICS+ partners at the summit in India.

Indonesian AI infrastructure platform Zankore has received support from NVIDIA, signing a $3.1 billion loan agreement to purchase advanced chips, highlighting the surge in demand for computing power in Asia.Citigroup, Dutch International Bank, and others are underwriting this loan, with Citigroup as the sole debt advisor. This is one of the largest AI infrastructure financings in Asia.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the Polymarket. A large whale invested $89,540 in a single bet on the event "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF" targeting "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 44%.

According to a report by the Korean News Agency, Matthew Dawson, co-founder of Ethereum Institutional, visited South Korea for the first time and held meetings with local major banks, securities companies, asset management firms, and exchanges to establish cooperative relationships. Dawson stated that South Korea has strong financial institutions and a developer community capable of fully utilizing blockchain infrastructure, and pointed out that the recent policy direction on token securities released by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) provides a good opportunity for cooperation.He anticipates that South Korean institutions, which currently start with private chains, will eventually upgrade to public blockchains, and emphasized that Ethereum, with its security, liquidity, and neutrality, is the ideal infrastructure for carrying core institutional assets. In terms of organizational expansion, Ethereum Institutional plans to introduce a head of Asia within 6 to 7 weeks and recruit technical, business, and consulting talent in Hong Kong, South Korea, and Japan.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova", the option "Mirra Andreeva" in the sub-market "US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova" experienced a drastic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 84.5% an hour ago to the current 39.5% (a fluctuation of 45%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Malaysia is leaning towards relying on Huawei Technologies' artificial intelligence chips to power its sovereign AI program. The Southeast Asian country is seriously evaluating the use of Huawei AI hardware as the backbone of a 2 billion ringgit (approximately 494 million USD) initiative aimed at giving the country greater control over national data.Insiders say it is currently unclear how many chips Malaysia will purchase, and these individuals requested anonymity due to unauthorized disclosure. This move faces strong opposition from the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump.

The latest report from the market intelligence platform Tracxn shows that since 2026, the Southeast Asian blockchain industry has accumulated $680 million in equity financing, more than double the $319 million for the entire year of 2025. However, this round of recovery is mainly driven by a few mature companies: only 25 rounds of financing were completed this year, compared to 46 rounds in 2025 and a peak of 206 rounds in 2022; the $400 million Series D financing of the cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com accounted for nearly 60% of the total.From a segmented perspective, crypto financial services are the biggest beneficiaries, receiving a total of $498 million in financing this year (19 rounds), a year-on-year increase of 48.4%; tokenization platforms received $114 million, and decentralized application development platforms received $77 million. Among the 3,957 blockchain companies tracked by Tracxn, 1,323 have received equity financing, but only 167 have entered Series A and beyond, 50 have entered Series B, 14 have entered Series C, and only 4 have entered Series D and beyond.In terms of geography, Singapore dominates the Southeast Asian crypto investment market, accounting for 82.5% of the region's cumulative blockchain financing amount of $6.2 billion, and has 2,285 tracked companies, while Jakarta, ranked second, accounts for only 3%. In terms of exits, there have been 43 acquisitions and 4 IPOs in the region, including SBI Group's acquisition of the Singapore exchange CoinHako and Bybit's acquisition of NOBI. Southeast Asia has produced 6 blockchain unicorns to date, including Sygnum, Bitkub, Sky Mavis, and Amber Group.

The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) of the U.S. Department of the Treasury released an analysis and alert on Thursday, linking approximately $12.7 billion in suspicious financial activities to cryptocurrency investment scams operated by Southeast Asian parks. About 1,300 institutions submitted 33,904 suspicious activity reports covering the period from September 2023 to December 2025. Cryptocurrency-focused money service businesses submitted 55% of the reports, involving $5.5 billion; banks submitted 41%, involving $6.4 billion; and securities firms accounted for the remaining $784.5 million.The number of reports has been growing at an average monthly rate of 10.9%, with the amount involved increasing by 18%. Scammers used at least 22 types of digital assets, with Ethereum, USDT, and USDC being the most common. On-chain analysis shows that regardless of the asset victims initially purchased, the funds are almost always converted into stablecoins, with nearly all converted to USDT, and then transferred through DeFi protocols or exchanges outside the U.S. Scammers also reused collection addresses across multiple victims, which is one way some institutions identified this pattern.The report indicates that about 25% involved elderly individuals, which is comparable to the 24.4% of the population that is over 60 years old, leading FinCEN to conclude that the elderly are not disproportionately targeted. The FBI estimates that in 2024, the U.S. population over 60 lost $4.8 billion to scams. These parks are primarily located in Cambodia, Laos, and Myanmar, and U.S. authorities have seized over $25 million related to the associated scams this year.