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With the implementation of MiCA, the European crypto industry is facing a "major reshuffle": high regulatory thresholds may trigger a new wave of mergers and acquisitions

The EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) competition phase is coming to an end, but the real challenges for businesses are just beginning. The high costs of maintaining a compliant operational system may change the landscape of the European crypto industry. In the future, the focus of industry competition may shift from "who can obtain a license" to "who has the capacity to bear regulatory costs," driving companies to achieve scalable development through mergers, joint ventures, or partnerships with banks.As MiCA gradually takes effect and the UK's crypto regulatory framework is about to take shape, the European crypto industry is entering a new phase of consolidation. Industry insiders believe that high regulatory standards may spur a new wave of mergers and acquisitions, and cooperation between crypto-native companies and traditional financial institutions will deepen further. This trend in the UK market may be even more pronounced. The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is developing a new regulatory framework for crypto assets, which is expected to incorporate crypto businesses into the existing financial services regulatory system, subjecting them to capital, operational, and customer asset protection requirements similar to those faced by traditional investment institutions.Steven Lightstone, a partner at Morgan Lewis's London office and co-head of the global fintech team, stated that the FCA aims to promote market competition and support new entrants, but its regulatory standards will be very strict when it comes to consumer protection. Unlike the EU's independently operating MiCA framework, the UK approach will directly utilize the existing financial regulatory system to manage crypto businesses. Meanwhile, the increase in regulatory certainty is driving European banks to accelerate their entry into the digital asset space. Sygnum Europe CEO Simon Schneider noted that currently, less than 20% of banks in Europe offer crypto-related services, indicating a significant market gap. The greatest value of MiCA is not just in creating a new licensing system, but in providing legal certainty for financial institutions to enter the digital asset market.He pointed to Switzerland as an example, where after the introduction of regulations on distributed ledger technology, most large Swiss banks began offering digital asset services, a path that may be replicated in other parts of Europe in the future. In the future, banks may not necessarily replace crypto-native companies but are more likely to rely on specialized infrastructure service providers to collaborate in areas such as custody, brokerage, staking, and asset tokenization. As companies that fail to obtain MiCA licenses gradually exit the European market, assets may further concentrate among regulated entities. However, Schneider believes that self-custody models and institutional custody models will continue to coexist in the long term. Industry insiders believe that the European crypto industry is entering a "regulation-driven consolidation cycle." For crypto startups that previously relied on rapid innovation and asset-light models, the core competitiveness in the future may no longer be just technological speed, but compliance capability, capital scale, and the ability to integrate financial infrastructure.

Famous trader: Bitcoin has completed a five-wave adjustment, and the structure indicates that a bottom may have formed

Famous trader Killa posted that Bitcoin's historical bear markets typically complete a 5-wave adjustment and form two significant peaks. The first peak often occurs after the initial major rebound following the top, known as the "complacency peak," where the market generally believes that the bull market has returned. Subsequently, prices usually continue to decline to new lows. He pointed out that similar structures appeared in the cycles of 2014, 2022, and 2026.After the complacency peak is formed, the market typically experiences a "dead cat bounce" and establishes a phase bottom; as market sentiment deteriorates and short positions concentrate, a short squeeze then drives the price rebound, with the final bottom usually forming after the second significant retest.Killa believes that BTC has currently swept through the bottom formed by the "dead cat bounce" and completed a 5-wave adjustment structure similar to previous cycles. From a structural perspective, the adjustment wave has ended, and the bottom may have already formed. However, he remains cautious about the time cycle. Previous bear markets typically lasted about 365 days before forming the final bottom, while this round, if the bottom has already appeared, has only lasted about 260 days, which is about 100 days earlier than the historical cycle. Currently, he maintains a 50-50 judgment, but compared to significantly making new lows, the likelihood of forming higher lows subsequently is greater.

The tech industry is experiencing a wave of AI-driven layoffs, with giants like Oracle and Amazon significantly reducing positions

According to the latest industry reports and corporate disclosure documents, the technology industry is experiencing a large-scale wave of layoffs driven by artificial intelligence (AI) in 2026. Despite several companies achieving record high revenues, major tech giants are intensively restructuring their organizational frameworks to reallocate funds towards AI infrastructure development and to enhance operational efficiency through AI. Data shows that in May of this year, the number of layoffs in the tech industry reached the highest monthly record in years, with AI being the core reason for the layoffs.On the execution level, several leading companies have implemented large-scale personnel reductions. Oracle's latest documents reveal that in the past 12 months, 21,000 employees (approximately 13% of the total workforce) have been laid off due to internal AI technology deployment. Amazon cut 16,000 corporate positions in January this year, with management expecting that the widespread application of generative AI will significantly reduce the demand for traditional roles. While Meta laid off about 8,000 employees, nearly 7,000 were reorganized into core AI business positions. Block significantly reduced its workforce by 4,000, nearly halving its total number of employees to adapt to the flattened operational model brought about by AI tools.Additionally, companies including Cisco (4,000 people), Intuit (3,000 people), Atlassian (1,600 people), Cloudflare (1,100 people), Snap (1,000 people), as well as Coinbase, Salesforce, and others have announced substantial layoff plans related to AI transformation this year. At the same time, although Google, Microsoft, and IBM have not disclosed specific total layoff numbers, they are also continuously advancing rolling job replacements and restructuring linked to AI strategies.
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