BTC $80,078.13 -1.49%
ETH $2,321.65 -1.68%
BNB $738.98 -2.73%
XRP $1.29 -2.63%
SOL $100.46 -2.21%
TRX $0.3313 -0.11%
DOGE $0.0785 -1.86%
ADA $0.2008 -2.74%
BCH $280.24 -5.88%
LINK $11.59 -1.37%
HYPE $86.34 +5.94%
AAVE $133.13 -1.03%
SUI $0.9228 -1.79%
XLM $0.1700 -0.78%
ZEC $1,262.43 -3.09%
AAPL $348.59 +0.82%
AMZN $252.21 -0.67%
GOOGL $290.14 -10.90%
MSFT $538.03 +1.40%
META $619.45 -0.44%
NVDA $214.57 -2.39%
TSLA $403.67 -1.59%
SNDK $1,371.21 +0.06%
INTC $92.56 -3.12%
SPCX $143.43 -4.08%
MU $958.13 -0.90%
AMD $565.99 -0.77%
BTC $80,078.13 -1.49%
ETH $2,321.65 -1.68%
BNB $738.98 -2.73%
XRP $1.29 -2.63%
SOL $100.46 -2.21%
TRX $0.3313 -0.11%
DOGE $0.0785 -1.86%
ADA $0.2008 -2.74%
BCH $280.24 -5.88%
LINK $11.59 -1.37%
HYPE $86.34 +5.94%
AAVE $133.13 -1.03%
SUI $0.9228 -1.79%
XLM $0.1700 -0.78%
ZEC $1,262.43 -3.09%
AAPL $348.59 +0.82%
AMZN $252.21 -0.67%
GOOGL $290.14 -10.90%
MSFT $538.03 +1.40%
META $619.45 -0.44%
NVDA $214.57 -2.39%
TSLA $403.67 -1.59%
SNDK $1,371.21 +0.06%
INTC $92.56 -3.12%
SPCX $143.43 -4.08%
MU $958.13 -0.90%
AMD $565.99 -0.77%

alys

All
Article
Flash

first_img Analysis: The Democratic Party may regain Congress, and cryptocurrency legislation may shift towards regulatory scrutiny

According to The Block, as the U.S. midterm elections approach, the digital asset industry may face changes in the congressional political landscape. Over the past two years, the Republican-led Congress passed the stablecoin bill GENIUS Act and advanced the broader Clarity Act; the latter passed the House in 2025 but stalled in the Senate due to controversies over stablecoin rewards and ethical issues raised by former President Trump's crypto wealth. Prediction market Kalshi shows that the probability of the Democrats winning the Senate and the House is 64% and 90%, respectively.The chair of congressional committees holds the power to set the agenda. If the Democrats regain the Senate, Elizabeth Warren will become the chair of the Senate Banking Committee. Ron Hammond, head of policy and advocacy at Wintermute, expects that she will actively use subpoena power and may focus on scrutinizing the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency's approvals of new bank charters for Ripple, Coinbase, and World Liberty Financial, which is supported by the Trump family.The election situation in Ohio is also under scrutiny, with former Senate Banking Committee chair Sherrod Brown facing pro-crypto Republican Jon Husted. Fairshake PAC has pledged $30 million to support Husted. Hammond stated that if Brown wins, he may become the chair of the Senate Agriculture Committee, which could potentially shelve related crypto legislation. In the House Financial Services Committee, regardless of whether Maxine Waters, Sean Casten, or Bill Foster leads, the Clarity Act is unlikely to advance. Lindsay Fraser, chief policy officer of the Blockchain Association, stated that while congressional control may change, the demand for clear crypto regulations will not.

Analysis: Binance's ETH open contracts priced in USD have halved compared to last year's peak, but the ETH pricing is close to its peak

CryptoQuant analyst BaykusCharts stated that Binance's Ethereum open interest is currently about 5.8 billion USD, which is about half of last summer's peak of over 12 billion USD. On the surface, this looks like large-scale deleveraging, but open interest is denominated in USD, and the ETH price has also dropped by about half during the same period. When converted to ETH, the current open interest is about 2.5 million ETH, close to the peak of about 2.5 million ETH. Therefore, the decline is primarily driven by price rather than traders closing their positions.In terms of funding rates, the significant positive premiums seen in early 2021 and early 2024 have disappeared. After experiencing several periods of negative funding rates this year, it is currently just slightly above zero, with both long and short positions not overly crowded, and longs are not paying significant premiums. Analysis suggests that there is still a large amount of leveraged ETH exposure in the market, but there is a lack of strong directional confidence. This limits the risk of a one-sided liquidation chain reaction, but it also means that any decisive breakthrough in either direction could accelerate quickly. The key signals are: a price increase and a sharp rise in funding rates indicate long crowding; a price decrease and an increase in open interest indicate a growth in short positions.

first_img Analysis: On-chain options are the biggest opportunity in the cryptocurrency field

User Momilio posted: On-chain options are currently the biggest blank space and opportunity in the cryptocurrency field. This content is excerpted from its upcoming on-chain options research report, currently just a summary of one chapter. Momilio stated: Mature financial markets will eventually expand to options, and cryptocurrency has reached a turning point; constraints are no longer regulatory or infrastructural, market-making liquidity has improved, and pricing systems can now support larger-scale transactions. It also noted: The trading volume of on-chain options is still only 6.9% of Deribit's options trading volume, and to reach critical scale, a large influx of retail order flow is necessary.Momilio stated: The annual trading contracts for U.S. options increased from 4.19 billion in 2017 to 15.2 billion in 2025, a growth of 263%, primarily due to retail investors. After Robinhood launched commission-free options in December 2017, the proportion of S&P 500 options on the same day rose from 5% to over 60% within ten years. By 2023, the proportion of contracts expiring within a week rose to 68%, with same-day options accounting for 43%; SSRN research shows that over 75% of retail-related trades are contracts expiring on the same day.In India, the premium for stock options is expected to reach 190.65 trillion rupees by the fiscal year 2026, which is 45.8 times that of the fiscal year 2016, with over 90% of retail derivatives traders only engaging in options. By the end of 2024, the Securities and Exchange Board of India will raise the minimum contract size from 500,000 rupees to 1.5 million rupees and restrict weekly expirations to only one benchmark index, with premiums still increasing by 7% in the fiscal year 2026. In the first half of 2026, the trading volume of options contracts on Indian exchanges reached 39.3 billion, which is 4.5 times that of the U.S. at 8.7 billion, while U.S. premiums of $6.3 trillion are nearly 5 times India's $1.3 trillion.

Analysis: BTC traders have realized a price increase again, and the short to medium-term cost structure remains relatively positive

CryptoQuant certified analyst Trader_Gemini stated that the Trader On-chain Realized Price has risen again, currently becoming an important reference indicator for observing the subsequent trend of BTC. This indicator reflects the average acquisition price of BTC that last transferred in the past 1 to 3 months and can be used to measure the average holding cost of recent market participants. Currently, the trading price of BTC is in the low range of $80,000, while the realized price for traders has risen to the mid-range of $70,000, indicating that the current price of BTC is still above the recent average cost for traders.From the current structure, recent market participants are generally still in a state of unrealized profit, and the short to medium-term cost structure remains relatively positive. Historically, when the market is in an upward phase, the realized price for traders often provides support when BTC retraces close to that level. If the price can hold above this cost line, it indicates that the holding cost for recent participants may still provide support for the market; conversely, if BTC falls below this level, some traders in an unrealized loss state may sell when the price rebounds close to their cost, turning that position from support to resistance.In addition, Trader_Gemini also reminded to pay attention to the Upper Band of the indicator. Historically, when BTC prices approach the upper band, it is often accompanied by increased profit-taking pressure, which may lead to a short-term pullback. Therefore, if BTC continues to rise, the market reaction near the upper band is worth close observation; if BTC experiences a pullback, attention should be paid to whether the realized price for traders can provide effective support. Trader_Gemini emphasized that the upper band does not necessarily mean the market will peak, and the realized price for traders does not guarantee that BTC will rebound; neither should be viewed as automatic triggers for trading but rather as reference indicators for judging at what price recent market participants may change their behavior. Currently, BTC is still operating above the realized price for traders, and the overall cost structure remains positive; if a deeper adjustment occurs later, whether this indicator can continue to provide support will become an important observation point.
app_icon
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovations.