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JPMorgan expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in September and December 2026, up from the previous forecast of a single rate hike in December.

Renowned trader Killa posted about the potential impact of the upcoming FOMC meeting on the cryptocurrency market this week. He stated that many people are very focused on macroeconomics, policies, and economic data to predict the next moves of assets, but Killa believes that "most macro narratives are just distractions." Killa noted that BTC often starts moving before the reasons become clear. By the time the macro environment shifts and the herd realizes it, Bitcoin has usually already completed its move. Correlation is often lagging. The market does not move because most people understand it. Most people understand it because the market has already moved.As a quantitative trader focused on BTC, Killa predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

TOP Chinese Technology Innovation Society states that Yan Wentao, a partner at Hillhouse Capital, is expected to join DeepSeek as CFO, with an anticipated start date soon.DeepSeek has begun preparations for its Sci-Tech Innovation Board IPO, with CITIC Securities currently conducting due diligence, but both parties have not yet signed a formal listing advisory agreement. DeepSeek hopes to initiate the IPO process this year.Yan Wentao is a post-90s partner at Hillhouse Capital, responsible for technology investments for a long time, with publicly disclosed investment projects including ByteDance, MiniMax, and Zhipu AI. DeepSeek currently does not have a CFO or a formal investor relations team.

According to CryptoSlate, the UK-listed company Satsuma Technology has sold its entire reserve of 669.4867 bitcoins, with the transaction completed between July 24 and 31, at a net transaction average price of £47,667 per bitcoin, resulting in total proceeds of approximately £31.91 million.The High Court of England has approved its capital reduction through the cancellation of Class B shares, and the company will return £30.718881 million to eligible shareholders, which amounts to £0.002734 per Class B share.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain whale (0x0c1...6Cbe) spent 1.04 million dollars to buy 20.31 million MEME in the past 10 days, with an average price of 0.051 dollars. The current holding is valued at 930,000 dollars, making it the largest holder of MEME.

Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella posted on X stating: Any pursuit of superintelligence must be based on core principles, namely that if the AI we build cannot help humanity and is not under human control, it is not worth pursuing.He also mentioned the need to accelerate and widely disseminate the benefits of AI, allowing it to spread broadly across nations, communities, and companies, which requires a thriving frontier ecosystem for both closed-source and open-source models. For enterprises, it is essential to retain complete control over their unique and tacit knowledge, and each organization should be able to build its own continuous learning loop without relying on any single model provider, embedding its own knowledge into the models and weights it controls.Nadella welcomed the necessary research, attention, and careful pacing for proper alignment, as well as ideas like "embedded evaluators." This cannot be controlled by a few entities; it must have broad representation across ecosystems, nations, and fields including academia. Microsoft's approach is broad access and choice at every layer of the AI stack, enterprise control over learning loops and models, and the release of its proprietary MAI model "Code of Conduct" for public consultation tomorrow.

According to Politico, U.S. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer arranged a Democratic caucus meeting to discuss the Clarity Act on Sunday evening.The landmark cryptocurrency bill will face a Senate vote on Tuesday.

Elvira Nabiullina, the Governor of the Bank of Russia, stated that the digital ruble has been launched nationwide, with nearly 87,000 new accounts opened in the past 10 days and over 50,000 related transactions. She pointed out that a few banks encountered technical issues when opening accounts and executing some transactions, but the relevant banks have completed the processing, and there have been no widespread failures or numerous complaints.The Bank of Russia is reducing the steps required for account opening and transactions while maintaining security levels. The digital ruble has completed its nationwide rollout after real user testing that began in 2023, and users can choose whether to use it. Twelve major banks in Russia and retailers with annual revenues exceeding 120 million rubles (approximately 1.42 million USD) must accept digital ruble payments, with more businesses expected to be included by 2028.

The 18th BRICS Summit adopted the "New Delhi Declaration," supporting a payment framework that bypasses the Western financial system. The declaration commits to expanding trade and investment settled in member countries' local currencies, connecting national payment systems, and studying cross-border interoperability.BRICS Pay, as a decentralized payment framework, integrates India's UPI and Russia's SPFS into a shared layer to settle payments between member countries.

This week, global markets enter a central bank super week. The Federal Reserve's FOMC will announce its interest rate decision and economic projections summary at 2 AM Beijing time on Thursday, followed by a monetary policy press conference by Chairman Powell; the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will also announce their decisions on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Meanwhile, the U.S. Senate will hold a key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act on Tuesday local time, and the SEC will hold a roundtable discussion on 24-hour trading on the same day.Tuesday: Key procedural vote on the Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act (i.e., CLARITY Act); U.S. ADP employment change for the week ending August 29; U.S. September New York Fed Manufacturing Index. Wednesday: U.S. API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11; U.S. August retail sales month-on-month, U.S. August import price index month-on-month, U.S. September NAHB housing market index; U.S. July business inventories month-on-month, U.S. EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11.Thursday: Federal Reserve FOMC announces interest rate decision (2 AM Beijing time on Thursday) and economic projections summary, Federal Reserve Chairman holds a monetary policy press conference; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending September 12; Bank of England announces interest rate decision and meeting minutes; SEC holds a roundtable discussion on 24-hour trading. Friday: Bank of Japan announces interest rate decision, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda holds a monetary policy press conference.

According to the Nikkei, SWIFT has launched a pilot project in collaboration with 17 banks including Citigroup, Mitsubishi UFJ, Wells Fargo, Bank of New York Mellon, UBS, and BNP Paribas to test tokenized deposit cross-border payments.The goal of this pilot is to achieve 24/7 instant transfers between different banks and reduce the cost of cross-border payments.

Nate Geraci, President of ETF Store, stated that if the Clarity Act can gain enough votes to advance this week, it will be beneficial for the industry. However, he believes that the act is not a key factor in determining the future of cryptocurrency. Under the Trump administration, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission will use their existing powers to promote the development of cryptocurrency; the Clarity Act is more about enhancing regulatory certainty to further accelerate industry innovation.The speed of development in the cryptocurrency industry far exceeds the policy-making cycle. By the time the U.S. political sphere realizes that the financial system has already been upgraded, it may be difficult to reverse this trend. The Clarity Act will only serve as a further catalyst, providing clearer policy expectations for the cryptocurrency industry by enhancing market confidence that innovative achievements are not easily reversible, but the future of the cryptocurrency industry does not depend on whether this act can be passed.

Vitalik Buterin stated that the "killer application" of adversarial governance mechanism design theory may ultimately appear in the field of artificial intelligence safety. He believes there is a deep correspondence between governance mechanisms and artificial intelligence safety: both involve how "weaker principals" can achieve ideal outcomes from "stronger agents."In governance scenarios, the principal is a static algorithm, and the agent is a human; in artificial intelligence safety scenarios, the principal is humans and weaker large language models, while the agent is a stronger large language model. Vitalik pointed out that if the degree of collusion among agents can be limited, the system can achieve better outcomes, and this mechanism design conclusion may be transferable to the field of artificial intelligence safety.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $51,350 in a single bet on the "Federal Reserve's September decision" event, targeting "no change." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 79%.

Elon Musk stated that he is confident that SpaceX will deploy the NVIDIA VR NLV72 artificial intelligence computer in space next year.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the "Commanders vs. Eagles" event, the "Over" option in the sub-market "Commanders O/U 13.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 74.5% an hour ago to the current 39.5% (a fluctuation of 35%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Microsoft Chairman and CEO Satya Nadella stated that we need to accelerate AI development and expand the benefits brought by AI so that it can widely benefit different countries, communities, and businesses. This requires the establishment of a cutting-edge ecosystem that allows both closed-source and open-source models to thrive.