iran

According to the Iranian Tasnim News Agency, Iran and Oman have reached an agreement after intensive consultations, and both sides have agreed on new route arrangements for entering and exiting the Strait of Hormuz.Informed sources say that this agreement does not mean the Strait of Hormuz is open; the southern route that the United States requested to be opened will be closed. Iran has proposed seven conditions for reopening to the United States, which may only be opened after receiving approval from the highest levels.

After meeting with Irish President Catherine Connolly in Dublin, when asked about the new concerns regarding Saudi Arabia and whether he could help with the traffic passage in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. President Trump stated, "Everything will be resolved smoothly."

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has previously secretly approved at least three insider trading investigations related to Polymarket trading, involving contracts related to Biden's pardons, the Iran war, and Google-related events. The relevant investigation documents were obtained by WIRED through the Freedom of Information Act.Among them, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig approved an investigation into contracts related to Biden's pardons in May, after a trader had profited over $300,000 in the relevant market; in the same month, the CFTC also approved an investigation into Iran war contracts, after a group of suspicious accounts was reported to have profited $2.4 million with a win rate of about 98%. In July, the CFTC further initiated an investigation into Google-related Polymarket contracts, focusing on individuals who may have traded using non-public information regarding Google's 2025 search rankings. The Southern District Attorney's Office in New York is also conducting a parallel investigation.It is currently unclear whether the aforementioned accounts are connected to previously investigated individuals. Polymarket stated that the company would refer the relevant matters to law enforcement and cooperate with the investigation. As the prediction market rapidly expands, U.S. regulators are clearly intensifying their scrutiny of insider trading and market manipulation.

Chevron's CEO stated that the early buffer in the oil market has disappeared, and the price risks brought by the Iran war are now higher.

Former U.S. President Trump stated in a Fox News program that although a war with Iran might affect the U.S. midterm elections, he does not regret starting the war.He emphasized that if he could do it all over again, he would do it exactly the same way as before, and he dismissed speculation from supporters who are dissatisfied due to the war. Trump also stated that this war would end immediately after the midterm elections.

U.S. President Trump stated that the U.S. may strike Iran's "Mount Hekla" and urged Tehran to exercise caution. Trump mentioned at the Republican midterm election conference that he noticed activities at "Mount Hekla" and advised Iran not to play tricks, or else it would face severe consequences.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "September 4" for the event "Effective Ceasefire between the US and Iran" on the Polymarket has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 28.5% an hour ago to the current 48.5% (a fluctuation of 20%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects that the United States will reimpose restrictions on Iranian exports and limit Iranian oil exports through sanctions, reducing its production.

Iran is gradually relaxing foreign exchange controls and allowing companies to use Tether (USDT) and Bitcoin for cross-border transactions. According to informed sources, the Central Bank of Iran has encouraged companies in recent months to repatriate overseas funds through local cryptocurrency exchanges, and companies can also exchange foreign currency in the open market, using export revenue directly for imported goods. An executive close to the Iranian regime stated that the central bank is currently not questioning the methods of fund transfer, and using cryptocurrency to receive export payments has become the norm.Data shows that approximately $10 billion worth of cryptocurrency will flow through Iran by 2025, and blockchain analytics firm Elliptic estimates that Iran accounts for about 4.5% of global Bitcoin mining activity. There are still over $100 billion in undeclared overseas and domestic earnings within Iran, with more than 20,000 individuals and companies failing to fulfill their obligation to repatriate approximately €94 billion in export revenue. Tether had previously frozen about $344 million in wallet assets related to the Central Bank of Iran, and the U.S. Treasury has also warned that engaging in digital asset transactions with Iran may face sanction risks.

According to Fox News, senior U.S. officials stated that the U.S. military has struck targets near Hormuz Island and Jask, including Iranian oil tankers. This is part of a larger operation to economically squeeze Iran, with strategies that include sinking and incapacitating Iranian crude oil tankers.

Bitcoin price fell nearly 1% to around $79,700, as escalating conflicts between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices higher. The U.S. Central Command confirmed on Saturday that it struck three Iranian oil tankers located near Halk Island, Jask, and the Gulf of Oman. Admiral Brad Cooper stated that if Iran attacks U.S. vessels, the U.S. will impose a higher economic cost.The U.S. Central Command updated maritime blockade data, stating that since resuming operations on July 14, it has redirected 92 merchant ships, disabled 3, and boarded 2 for inspection. Oil prices rose by 1% in both the U.S. and European markets, with WTI at $92.72, marking a cumulative increase of over 6% in the past seven days. The rise in oil prices could exacerbate global inflation, making it more difficult for central banks, including the Federal Reserve, to cut interest rates.Additionally, the U.S. employment data for August released last Friday was stronger than expected, reinforcing expectations for an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. However, Trump immediately posted on Truth Social calling for a rate cut, stating that a strong nation means lower interest rates. This uncertainty may dampen risk appetite for Bitcoin and the broader market. Furthermore, late Sunday night, the Liquid Network, used by exchanges as a settlement layer, suffered a $320 million attack.

According to the Wall Street Journal, U.S. President Trump is privately discussing with senior aides the possibility of announcing the end of the war with Iran.Aides reportedly advised Trump that an escalation of the war beyond recent strikes could cause the Republican Party to lose the midterm elections.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra stated at a press conference in Washington yesterday that the Trump administration may target digital assets, the aviation industry, and the shipping industry as new sanctions in the process of further pressuring the Iranian economy.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Blinken stated that they are communicating with any parties supporting Iran, warning airlines, shipping companies, and digital asset stakeholders that they may become targets of a new round of sanctions.He mentioned that the U.S. will systematically "remove bad actors" concerning the Iran issue and advise all parties to steer clear of related transactions and cooperation regarding Iran and Russia, emphasizing that support should not be provided to the aforementioned regimes.

According to CoinDesk, after the U.S. military intensified airstrikes on Iranian targets, Brent crude oil surpassed $93 per barrel, and WTI approached $90 per barrel, pushing the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield up to nearly 4.8%. Risk assets are under pressure, with Bitcoin briefly dropping below $76,500, down more than 1% from midnight, and a nearly 3% correction over the past week.In terms of derivatives, Coinglass data shows that the long-short taker transaction ratio shifted to favor short positions, accounting for about 51.5%, while the overall open interest remained at around 700,000 BTC, indicating that leverage has not significantly increased. The open interest in ETH futures slightly rose alongside a price drop, interpreted as a buildup of short positions. UNI continued to rise, while TRX short positions remained crowded, and the implied volatility of BTC and ETH fell back to previous levels.

U.S. President Trump: I am not trying to force Iran back to the negotiating table as ABC fake news reported. I don't care whether they sign an agreement that is worthless to them.I prefer our current situation: we have almost complete control of the Strait of Hormuz, while their economy has completely collapsed. They are just going through this inevitable outcome.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "US Open Tirante vs Mannarino" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Tirante" option in the sub-market "Game Spread +/-3.5" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 22.5% an hour ago to the current 50% (a fluctuation of 27.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

US President Trump stated on social media that Iran has officially become a failed state. It is "dead"! They have no navy, no air force, no currency, they cannot afford to pay soldiers and police, the inflation rate is as high as 300%, and their leadership is completely chaotic, unable to properly represent the country.The only things they have are "fake news" from the United States, the willingness to kill protesters (over 100,000 have died so far. They must be tried for crimes against humanity!), and a set of nice "nonsense."

In August this year, China's leading AI chip companies released their semi-annual reports in quick succession. Last Friday, Biren Technology announced its financial report, achieving nearly 20 times revenue growth. Leading companies such as Cambricon and Moore Threads also saw significant revenue increases.Currently, the high-end computing power supply side is experiencing a tight situation across the entire chain, with some companies' orders already scheduled for three years later. The downstream intelligent computing centers are facing a shortage of resources, and the midstream system integration segment is also seeing a dense release of orders. According to industry research data, the demand for domestic AI chips in 2026 is expected to be around 4 million units, with actual deliveries around 3 million units, resulting in a capacity gap of over a million units.