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first_img The core ARR of China's open-source large models is approximately 6-8 billion USD

Robonomics author FD published the China Open-Source LLM Tracker on September 1, 2026, stating that the total ARR of China's open-source large models is approximately $10-15 billion, with core LLM revenue around $6-8 billion after excluding ByteDance / Seedance. Growth has not relied on price wars; after DeepSeek raised prices by about 3-12 times, usage still increased, and the average price of the Zhipu API rose by 101% while token usage exceeded 40 times within the year. The best estimate for overseas revenue is approximately $2 billion.Zhipu MaaS ARR increased from about $250 million in March to an annualized monthly rate of about $1.6 billion in August, with a weekly annualized rate of $2 billion. August revenue has already surpassed its API revenue for the first half of the year; the API gross margin is 24.6%, and inference costs per token decreased by 80%. MiniMax ARR rose from about $100 million in December 2025 to over $800 million in annualized weekly revenue by August 2026, with B2B accounting for about 80%. Kimi ARR increased from about $100 million in March to about $300 million by mid-June. DeepSeek's revenue from January to July was approximately $70 million, with the latest ARR estimated at about $1.2 billion.ByteDance's annualized AI revenue is approximately $4 billion, of which Seedance accounts for about $2 billion.

Data: Binance's smart contract position is 1.79 million USD, and MINIMAX's contract position is 606,700 USD, both of which are the highest across the entire platform

Recently, Zhipu and MiniMax have plummeted, leading to an increase in trading activity of related stock derivatives. According to the RootData Pro data panel, there are significant differences in trading conditions across platforms.From the perspective of Open Interest (OI), Zhipu contracts show Binance at $1.79 million as the highest, followed by Bitget at $780,100, and OKX at $243,700; in the MINIMAX contracts, Binance is highest at $606,700, followed by Bitget at $510,700.From the liquidity perspective, Zhipu contracts show Bitget at $142,600 as the highest, with the strongest capacity for large order execution; in the MINIMAX contracts, Bitget is highest at $130,000, followed by Binance at $60,600. HTX has insufficient liquidity at $2,700, with high slippage risk for large orders.From the price difference perspective, Zhipu contracts show Bitget with the lowest (0.0604%), resulting in the smallest entry cost; OKX follows (0.0776%). In the MINIMAX contracts, Bitget has the lowest (0.0315%), resulting in the optimal entry cost. HTX has price differences exceeding 0.18% for both contracts, and Aster exceeds 0.58%, indicating significantly higher entry costs.From the funding rate perspective, both contracts on HTX are at the lowest of 0.0013%, resulting in the smallest long-term holding cost, but with a high price difference; both contracts on Aster have rates below 0.3%, while also having a high price difference.In summary, Binance has the highest OI, suitable for capital accumulation; Bitget excels in both price difference and liquidity, resulting in the lowest overall entry cost. HTX has a high price difference and weak liquidity, leading to significantly higher entry costs compared to other platforms.

MINIMAX raised over HKD 16 billion through share placement and bond issuance, focusing on increasing investment in AI research and development

MINIMAX (00100.HK) announced that it will raise approximately HKD 16.041 billion through the placement of new shares and the issuance of zero-coupon convertible bonds. According to the announcement, the company will place 35.6 million new Class A shares at HKD 268 per share (approximately a 9.89% discount to the closing price of the previous trading day), expecting to raise about HKD 9.541 billion; at the same time, it plans to issue zero-coupon secured convertible bonds with a total principal amount of HKD 6.5 billion due in 2027, with an initial conversion price of HKD 335 per share (approximately a 12.64% premium to the closing price). Morgan Stanley and UBS are acting as arrangers for this transaction, and the placement and bond issuance are independent of each other and not conditional upon one another. If all the bonds are ultimately converted into shares, the two transactions will add up to approximately 55 million shares, accounting for nearly 15% of the company's expanded total share capital. Regarding the use of funds, MINIMAX stated that about 80% of the net proceeds are intended to strengthen AI infrastructure and model development, 10% to accelerate the global commercialization of products, and the remaining 10% for working capital and general corporate purposes.
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