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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: The real risk of PPI is not the increase, but the restart of cost transmission

This week's upcoming release of the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) has become a key point for judging whether inflation is re-accelerating. Bitget CFD Chief Analyst Lewis Huang pointed out in a live broadcast that, against the backdrop of 162,000 new non-farm jobs and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%, the demand side in the U.S. remains resilient. If core PPI and service prices continue to stay high, companies may pass costs onto consumers, driving up subsequent CPI and prompting the market to reprice the Federal Reserve's policy path of "maintaining high interest rates for a longer period."Lewis Huang further analyzed two scenarios: if PPI exceeds expectations but CPI remains moderate, it indicates that companies lack pricing power and can only compress profit margins to absorb costs; if both PPI and CPI exceed expectations, it signifies that the inflation transmission chain has reopened, potentially serving as a catalyst for a stronger dollar and U.S. Treasury yields. From a trading perspective, if PPI exceeds expectations and drives the dollar up, gold and high-valuation tech indices like the Nasdaq 100 may come under pressure; conversely, if PPI falls short of expectations and the dollar retreats, it would support a rebound in gold and growth stock indices.Lewis Huang reminded traders that they should not only focus on the first wave of market movements following the data release but also observe whether PPI is confirmed by CPI, the dollar, and U.S. Treasury yields. If the rise in PPI is merely a short-term cost shock, the market impact will be limited; if costs continue to be transmitted to consumers, the market narrative may shift back to "recurring inflation and the continuation of high interest rates."

first_img U.S. Bank completes USBDC stablecoin real-time cross-border payment test

According to CoinDesk, U.S. Bank, the fifth largest commercial bank in the United States (a subsidiary of U.S. Bancorp), announced the successful completion of a real-time cross-border payment test based on its own US dollar stablecoin USBDC, with transactions completed via the Stellar blockchain between its entities in North America and Europe. As one of the first bank-issued stablecoins deployed on a public blockchain, USBDC is expected to bridge the gap in the global banking system with 24/7 trading capabilities.The pilot validated the functions of USBDC, including minting, payment redemption, freezing, and recovery, and tested the bank's internally developed digital asset platform, which serves as the foundation for issuing, managing, and transferring tokenized assets, enabling seamless integration between traditional banking infrastructure and blockchain networks. U.S. Bank Chairman and CEO Gunjan Kedia stated that this real-time pilot demonstrates its ability to accelerate global cash management and fund flows.This test is based on the bank's strategic partnership with the Stellar Development Foundation, with future application scenarios including liquidity management, collateral transfer, and cross-border financial operations. As global stablecoin regulation advances, banks are accelerating their entry into the market. Last week, 21 financial institutions, including Bank of America, Citi, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, announced plans to form a company to issue stablecoins, with the expectation of launching a dollar token in the first half of 2027.
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