$80

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "WTI Crude Oil July 2026 Price Prediction" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $80" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 27.5% an hour ago to the current 11.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event on Polymarket for "WTI Crude Oil July 2026 Price Prediction," the "Will fall below $80" option in the sub-market has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 42.5% an hour ago to the current 57.5% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, Google (GOOG.O) disclosed its holdings in SpaceX (SPCX.O) in its 10-Q report, indicating that it holds shares worth $94 billion after SpaceX goes public.As of June 30, the tradable equity securities include $80 billion in SpaceX shares, which are subject to short-term sale restrictions.

According to SoSoValue data, the total net inflow for Bitcoin spot ETFs is $108 million. The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow is the Blackrock ETF IBIT, with a single-day net inflow of $80.8192 million. Currently, the historical total net inflow for IBIT has reached $6.032 billion.Following that is the Fidelity ETF FBTC, with a single-day net inflow of $16.9364 million. Currently, the historical total net inflow for FBTC has reached $9.943 billion. As of the time of publication, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $78.468 billion, and the ETF net asset ratio (the market value compared to the total market value of Bitcoin) is 6.02%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $51.141 billion.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "WTI Crude Oil July 2026 Price Prediction" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "↑ $80" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 52.5% an hour ago to the current 70.5% (a fluctuation of 18%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $61,091, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $805 million. Conversely, if BTC breaks above $66,887, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $768 million.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $80,969.51 in the event "Norway vs. England," specifically targeting "England." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 50.25%.

According to PR Newswire, AI Agent infrastructure company Sail Research announced the completion of $80 million in seed and Series A financing, led by Kleiner Perkins and Sequoia Capital, with participation from Redpoint Ventures, CRV, Theory Ventures, and others.Sail Research focuses on building infrastructure for AI Agents, aiming to address the computational power, cost, and operational limitations of current artificial intelligence systems in long-duration, multi-step tasks. Its API is compatible with OpenAI interfaces and supports mainstream open-source models such as DeepSeek and Gemma.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $80,844.91 in "South Africa vs. South Korea" event, specifically targeting "South Korea." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 58%.

According to data compiled by institutions, Alphabet (GOOG.O) has initiated an $80 billion equity financing to raise funds for artificial intelligence infrastructure construction, which is expected to become the largest equity capital market transaction in history.The stocks in this joint issuance (including common stock, capital stock, and similar equity mandatory convertible preferred stock) were priced later on Tuesday. Its scale will exceed the approximately $70 billion issuance of common and preferred stock by Petrobras in 2010.The largest single transaction in this deal for Google's parent company—a $40 billion "at-the-market" issuance plan—is expected to launch in the third quarter. Such issuances allow the company to sell shares to the market from time to time without announcement, but it must regularly disclose the amount raised in regulatory filings.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $80,176.52 in the event "Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Nadal vs. Alexander Zverev." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 21%.

According to Bloomberg, Google's parent company Alphabet will raise $80 billion through a package of equity financing to support its AI infrastructure and computing power expenditure plans. This financing includes a $40 billion ATM stock issuance plan starting in the third quarter, a $30 billion underwriting issuance of common stock and mandatory convertible preferred stock, as well as a $10 billion investment agreement reached with Berkshire Hathaway, which will become one of the largest equity transactions in history.Alphabet stated that AI is driving the company into an expansion phase, and the company hopes to build infrastructure to support future growth opportunities by increasing investments. Alphabet CFO Anat Ashkenazi previously stated that the company's capital expenditure in 2027 will be significantly higher than the maximum budget level of $190 billion in 2026. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mandeep Singh believes that with the support of new financing, Alphabet's capital expenditure could reach $300 billion next year. This move by Alphabet may also divert funds originally intended for companies like SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI, which are planning to go public this year.

According to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin falls below $72,000, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEXs will reach $807 million. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above $75,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEXs will reach $1.058 billion.The liquidation chart does not show the exact number of contracts to be liquidated or the exact value of the contracts being liquidated. The bars on the liquidation chart actually represent the significance of each liquidation cluster relative to nearby liquidation clusters, that is, the intensity. Therefore, the liquidation chart shows to what extent the underlying price reaching a certain position will be affected. A higher "liquidation bar" indicates that once the price reaches that point, there will be a stronger reaction due to liquidity waves.

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that although BTC recently regained the $77,000 level, the net inflow to trading platforms and the continuous outflow from spot ETFs still exert localized selling pressure on the market. Data shows that in the past week, the net inflow of BTC to exchanges was about 18,000 BTC, indicating that more BTC is being transferred to trading platforms in preparation for selling. At the same time, the net outflow from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs during the same period was about 16,000 BTC. The combined data creates a potential selling pressure of approximately 34,000 BTC.Glassnode data also shows that the daily trading volume of spot BTC ETFs has fallen below $20 billion, having once exceeded $50 billion by the end of 2025, reflecting a cooling of speculative demand from traditional financial channels. However, market sentiment has recently warmed due to improved expectations for a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran. BTC quickly rebounded to around $77,800 after dropping below $75,000.Derivatives data indicates that this round of price increase was mainly driven by short covering. The total open interest (OI) of BTC slightly rebounded from about 268,000 BTC to 250,000 BTC, and the funding rate also cooled down, indicating a decrease in the crowding of leveraged long positions. Analysts believe that if BTC wants to further challenge the $80,000 mark, it still needs both spot demand and open interest to grow in sync.

Cryptocurrency analyst Marcel Pechman stated that after Bitcoin's failure to break above $82,000, it faced selling pressure and is once again testing the $76,000 level. In four days, the scale of long position liquidations reached $400 million, with prices dropping about 7% from recent highs. Nevertheless, analysts believe that the conditions for Bitcoin to return to $80,000 are accumulating, with three potential catalysts worth noting.First, Strategy (MSTR) invested $2 billion in Bitcoin over the past week, providing effective support amid market pressure. At the same time, the company repurchased $1.5 billion of convertible bonds maturing in 2029, and repaying part of its senior debt in advance helps reduce future dilution risks for existing MSTR shareholders, creating space for subsequent new stock issuance and continued Bitcoin purchases.Second, on a macro level, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond rose to 4.6%, a 16-month high, as investor confidence gradually shifts towards scarce assets. In 2026, $2 trillion in long-term debt will mature, and the Federal Reserve may need to continue purchasing bonds, which will further weaken the dollar's attractiveness. Gold saw a significant rise this January but has since given back most of its gains, while Bitcoin rebounded from $65,000 to $76,500 during the same period, indicating an increasing recognition of its safe-haven properties in the market.Third, if the situation in Iran sees a turnaround, risk appetite is expected to recover quickly. On Monday, Brent crude oil prices rose to $113, with negotiations in the Strait of Hormuz experiencing fluctuations; since the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran in late February, oil prices have cumulatively risen over 50%. If an agreement is reached between the U.S. and Iran, a drop in energy prices will alleviate inflationary pressures, and Bitcoin is expected to return above $80,000. Currently, U.S. stocks are close to historical highs, while Bitcoin is still down about 39% from its peak.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $80,634, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.771 billion. Conversely, if BTC falls below $73,578, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.635 billion.

According to Khaosod English, Thai authorities raided a location suspected of illegal Bitcoin mining. Due to abnormally high electricity consumption causing the surrounding building's cables to overheat and melt, law enforcement conducted a surprise search of a four-story commercial building. The investigation revealed that the location was suspected of illegally connecting to the main power grid to supply electricity to multiple Bitcoin mining machines on the fourth floor, resulting in an estimated power loss of over $80,000, while its registered monthly electricity bill was only about $11. Currently, the police have seized relevant mining equipment and are conducting further investigations into the individuals involved.