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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, the "Federal Reserve September Decision" event is currently among the hottest trades on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative pool size reaching 817 million dollars. The option with the highest market consensus is "raise interest rates by 25 basis points," corresponding to a winning probability of approximately 52.5%.

Coinglass data shows that in the past hour, the total liquidation across the network was $11.0218 million, mainly from short positions.Among them, the liquidation amount for SanDisk in the US stock market was $2.3109 million, the liquidation amount for Changxin Storage reached $0.9345 million, and the liquidation amount for Micron reached $0.8069 million.

According to Jinshi reports, Google's Deepmind has launched the Gemini Robotics ER 2 model.

According to Yu Jin monitoring, after a significant rebound in the storage sector tonight, traders who had been continuously shorting Changxin Storage have once again increased their short positions. This trader established their position the day before Changxin Storage's initial public offering and has gone through multiple rounds of increasing their position. Currently, the value of the short position held in Changxin Storage is approximately 22.26 million USD, with an unrealized loss of about 4.06 million USD.

According to The Defiant, Lightning Labs, the company behind the Lightning network development tools, launched a dedicated website for the L402 protocol on Wednesday, positioning the protocol as a channel for AI agents to make payments in Bitcoin. The company stated that with L402, agents can make payments in Bitcoin and complete identity verification natively, without the need for accounts, intermediaries, or human involvement, and described L402 as a protocol for machine-to-machine commerce on Lightning.It disclosed that the addition is a website rather than the protocol itself. L402, or Lightning HTTP 402 protocol, has previously existed in Lightning Labs' tech stack, and its standard implementation, Aperture, is currently being used by the non-custodial exchange service Lightning Loop. This mechanism reuses the HTTP 402 status code, where the server returns a 402 along with a validation header containing tokens and Lightning invoices when the client requests a restricted interface. After the client makes a payment, it accesses the interface with the token and payment original, allowing the server to complete verification without querying the payment database.

According to Binance spot market data, there has been significant volatility in the market. AXTIB has increased by 22.63% in 24 hours, and ARMB has increased by 18.73%, showing a rebound after hitting a low.At the same time, EPIC has shown a "high to low" state, with a decrease of 20.86% in 24 hours, and DYM has also shown a "high to low" state, with a decrease of 6.25%. Other tokens such as COTI, DEXE, BANK, FRAX, and ESP have also experienced varying degrees of fluctuations.

The Binance research report shows that in the first half of 2026, the on-chain market contracted overall rather than experiencing capital rotation. The total locked value in DeFi across the entire chain decreased by $43.4 billion, a decline of 38%; the total market capitalization of the six major mainstream Layer 1 public chains covered in the report decreased by $246.5 billion, a decline of 42%. The Ethereum spot ETF holdings dropped from over 6 million ETH to 5.2 million, while the holdings of digital asset reserve companies increased from 6 million to 7.7 million, indicating a change in marginal holding structure.The report also pointed out that after the increase in Ethereum's Gas limit, the average Gas price decreased by 75% compared to 2025, and the number of transactions grew by about 50%, but the annual on-chain revenue is still expected to decline by 53%. User activity on Layer 2 general networks significantly weakened, with user operations dropping by about 77% from January to June 2026. The Solana network's REV fell from $40 million in January to $14 million in June.On the other hand, BNB Chain performed outstandingly in the field of tokenized stocks and tokenized real-world assets, with the market share of on-chain tokenized RWA increasing from 9.8% to 13.5% in the first half of the year. The report also mentioned that prediction markets, DEX, lending, and tokenized RWA remain among the few major directions that maintain activity.

According to Gate market data, after the US stock market opened, Microsoft's gains expanded to over 15%, expected to create the largest single-day increase since March 2020.On Wednesday, after the US stock market closed, Microsoft announced its financial report for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, with revenue of $90 billion, an 18% year-on-year increase. The growth rate of Azure and other cloud services rose from 40% in the previous quarter to 43%. CEO Satya Nadella stated that Azure's full-year revenue "exceeded $100 billion," growing by 41%, marking the first time this business has crossed the $100 billion threshold.

According to Coinglass data, on July 30 at 21:16, 200 million USDT was detected being transferred from an unknown wallet to Binance.

According to Jinshi, the preliminary GDP price index for the United States in the second quarter is 6.2%, higher than the market expectation of 4%, and the previous value was 3.6%.

According to Jinshi, the number of people continuing to claim unemployment benefits in the United States for the week ending July 18 was 1.782 million, lower than the market expectation of 1.798 million.The previous value was revised from 1.796 million to 1.789 million.

According to Jinshi, the preliminary annualized quarter-on-quarter final sales rate for the United States in the second quarter is 2.2%, higher than the market expectation of 2% and the previous value of 1.9%.

According to Jinshi, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending July 25 was recorded at 197,000, the lowest since the week of April 25, 2026.

According to Jinshi, Germany's inflation rate is expected to be 2.8% in July 2026, with the core inflation rate, excluding food and energy, expected to be 2.4%. Energy prices are expected to rise by 8.3% year-on-year, a significant acceleration compared to last month.Analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta stated that the decline in core inflation is good news for the European Central Bank. If the Eurozone CPI shows a similar trend, the likelihood of an interest rate hike in September will decrease. The market will pay attention to the developments in the Middle East situation; if the situation eases, it will reduce the urgency for the European Central Bank to tighten monetary policy.

According to Whale Alert monitoring, 1,249 bitcoins were transferred from Binance to an unknown wallet, worth approximately $80,978,425.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $60,865.39 in a single transaction regarding the "Federal Reserve's September decision" event, targeting a "25 basis point rate cut." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this subject is 96.42%.

Tencent's official X account stated that its research agent Hyra collaborated with the Hy3 model to explicitly prove an issue that has troubled the mathematical community for over 50 years: the optimal growth rate exponent of the size of the sum set |A+A| and the size of the difference set |A-A| for a finite integer set A is exactly 2. The theorem from 1969 provided an upper bound of 2, but for the following 50 years, the best constructed exponent was only slightly above 1.1.This achievement demonstrates the potential of AI agents in the field of pure mathematical reasoning. Tencent stated that Hyra is an AI research agent developed in-house, specifically designed to assist in the exploration of complex mathematical and scientific problems. This conclusion still requires confirmation through peer review by the mathematical community.

According to the New Straits Times, Malaysian police recently dismantled an illegal Bitcoin mining operation located in Tronoh, arresting two men aged 40 and 52, and confiscating 73 cryptocurrency mining devices and related equipment.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $67,257, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.374 billion. Conversely, if BTC falls below $61,428, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.35 billion.

According to Whale Alert, USDC Treasury, a subsidiary of USDC issuer Circle, has minted 250 million USDC on the Solana blockchain.