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Institution reviews Anthropic's prospectus, focusing on growth and computing power costs

After Anthropic publicly submitted its prospectus the previous evening, investment institutions and market participants began to assess its growth quality, cost structure, and potential valuation. Morningstar senior equity analyst Malik Ahmed Khan and PitchBook analyst Rolfes stated that as of September 30, Anthropic had over 11,900 enterprise customers contributing at least $100,000 in revenue over the last 12 months, compared to about 950 in the same period last year. Khan believes this reflects a faster adoption of Claude in the enterprise market and significant revenue growth.Analysts also pointed out that the rapid increase in customer numbers alone is insufficient to indicate long-term revenue stability. The prospectus lacks detailed data on customer retention, and the disclosed net revenue retention rate is also affected by a small base; as the comparison base expands, this metric may decline. Investment in computing power is another focus. Morningstar believes that Anthropic currently demonstrates a certain level of computing efficiency and operational efficiency, but some computing resources and related expenditures have not yet been fully reflected; as more computing power is utilized, costs may rise, and if revenue growth does not keep pace, profit margins will be under pressure.PitchBook analyst Rolfes reminded that the scale of future computing contracts and infrastructure commitments is enormous, and whether revenue growth can be sustained is an important variable in assessing profitability prospects. Gavin Baker, managing partner and chief investment officer of Atreides Management, stated that it is still possible for Anthropic to reach an annualized recurring revenue of $100 billion by the end of the year; this statement reflects his personal judgment and is not the company's published performance guidance. Nigel Green, CEO of independent financial advisory firm deVere Group, questioned the market's rumored potential valuation of $2 trillion, calling this expectation "absurd," and reminded to pay attention to infrastructure investments, slowing growth, and future financing needs. The $2 trillion figure remains a market rumor, and the prospectus has yet to determine the offering price and scale.

Analysis: BTC traders have realized a price increase again, and the short to medium-term cost structure remains relatively positive

CryptoQuant certified analyst Trader_Gemini stated that the Trader On-chain Realized Price has risen again, currently becoming an important reference indicator for observing the subsequent trend of BTC. This indicator reflects the average acquisition price of BTC that last transferred in the past 1 to 3 months and can be used to measure the average holding cost of recent market participants. Currently, the trading price of BTC is in the low range of $80,000, while the realized price for traders has risen to the mid-range of $70,000, indicating that the current price of BTC is still above the recent average cost for traders.From the current structure, recent market participants are generally still in a state of unrealized profit, and the short to medium-term cost structure remains relatively positive. Historically, when the market is in an upward phase, the realized price for traders often provides support when BTC retraces close to that level. If the price can hold above this cost line, it indicates that the holding cost for recent participants may still provide support for the market; conversely, if BTC falls below this level, some traders in an unrealized loss state may sell when the price rebounds close to their cost, turning that position from support to resistance.In addition, Trader_Gemini also reminded to pay attention to the Upper Band of the indicator. Historically, when BTC prices approach the upper band, it is often accompanied by increased profit-taking pressure, which may lead to a short-term pullback. Therefore, if BTC continues to rise, the market reaction near the upper band is worth close observation; if BTC experiences a pullback, attention should be paid to whether the realized price for traders can provide effective support. Trader_Gemini emphasized that the upper band does not necessarily mean the market will peak, and the realized price for traders does not guarantee that BTC will rebound; neither should be viewed as automatic triggers for trading but rather as reference indicators for judging at what price recent market participants may change their behavior. Currently, BTC is still operating above the realized price for traders, and the overall cost structure remains positive; if a deeper adjustment occurs later, whether this indicator can continue to provide support will become an important observation point.
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