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JPMorgan expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in September and December 2026, up from the previous forecast of a single rate hike in December.

The 18th BRICS Summit adopted the "New Delhi Declaration," supporting a payment framework that bypasses the Western financial system. The declaration commits to expanding trade and investment settled in member countries' local currencies, connecting national payment systems, and studying cross-border interoperability.BRICS Pay, as a decentralized payment framework, integrates India's UPI and Russia's SPFS into a shared layer to settle payments between member countries.

This week, global markets enter a central bank super week. The Federal Reserve's FOMC will announce its interest rate decision and economic projections summary at 2 AM Beijing time on Thursday, followed by a monetary policy press conference by Chairman Powell; the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will also announce their decisions on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Meanwhile, the U.S. Senate will hold a key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act on Tuesday local time, and the SEC will hold a roundtable discussion on 24-hour trading on the same day.Tuesday: Key procedural vote on the Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act (i.e., CLARITY Act); U.S. ADP employment change for the week ending August 29; U.S. September New York Fed Manufacturing Index. Wednesday: U.S. API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11; U.S. August retail sales month-on-month, U.S. August import price index month-on-month, U.S. September NAHB housing market index; U.S. July business inventories month-on-month, U.S. EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11.Thursday: Federal Reserve FOMC announces interest rate decision (2 AM Beijing time on Thursday) and economic projections summary, Federal Reserve Chairman holds a monetary policy press conference; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending September 12; Bank of England announces interest rate decision and meeting minutes; SEC holds a roundtable discussion on 24-hour trading. Friday: Bank of Japan announces interest rate decision, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda holds a monetary policy press conference.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $51,350 in a single bet on the "Federal Reserve's September decision" event, targeting "no change." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 79%.

Jiang Zhuoer, the founder of the Liebit Mining Pool (B.TOP), stated that BTC has fallen as expected, with $76,500 being a key support level (the lower bound of the ascending channel, as well as the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement from the rise of about $57,000 to $82,000). If it falls below $76,500, the decline may accelerate, and the next focus will be whether the previous low of $75,500 can hold.He previously mentioned two possible scenarios: a) a rebound before reaching $75,000, which would make it more likely to rise back to $80,000, or even up to the high resistance area of $83,000 to $84,000, before starting a major correction; b) if it effectively breaks below $75,000, it will trigger a correction corresponding to the original rise from $64,000, expected to reach $70,000 to $72,000, before entering the next phase of a bull market. Jiang Zhuoer believes that the voting on the "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act" (i.e., the CLARITY Act) next week and news from the Federal Reserve may become key catalysts, thus maintaining a neutral position of full BTC short positions + full ETH spot positions.

Anza announced that the second phase of the Solana account rent reduction proposal SIMD-0437 has been launched on the mainnet beta. In epoch 1033, the per-byte parameter used to calculate the minimum balance for rent-exempt accounts has been reduced from 6333 lamports to 5080 lamports, a cumulative decrease of about 27% from the initial level, lowering the SOL balance required to maintain rent-exempt status.Anza also shared instructions for reclaiming excess SOL: users with the appropriate permissions can use the WithdrawExcessLamports instruction to withdraw SOL from token accounts, token mint accounts, etc., that exceed the minimum balance for rent exemption, without needing to close the accounts, and it does not affect the token balance. There is no fixed timeline for subsequent phases; the third phase will only be activated after confirming that the on-chain status growth is within a safe range; adjustments can be made in reverse through SIMD-0438 if necessary.

According to Coinglass data, the total contract open interest for ETH has decreased by 6.42% in the past 24 hours, with the current total open interest at 32.317 billion USD. Among them, the open interest for Binance is 9.186 billion USD, for OKX is 1.827 billion USD, for Bybit is 2.251 billion USD, and for Gate is 3.109 billion USD.

According to on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr., in the past 24 hours, Bitcoin's open interest (OI) has decreased by approximately 13,600 BTC, while the BTC price has remained relatively unchanged during the same period.He stated that the decline in open interest size, despite no significant drop in price, indicates that the market is actively deleveraging, which helps reduce the risk of concentrated liquidations of high-leverage positions and triggering a chain liquidation.

CoinDesk reported that Robinhood Chain's daily revenue dropped 87% from its peak on September 4, to $1.06 million. The decline was not due to a decrease in activity, but rather higher capacity reduced congestion fees.During the same period, DEX trading volume approached $2 billion, and active addresses increased by 16.5%.

According to Coinglass data, the total contract open interest for ETH has decreased by 5% in the past 24 hours, with the current total open interest at 32.118 billion USD. Among them, Binance has an open interest of 9.266 billion USD, OKX has an open interest of 1.8 billion USD, Bybit has an open interest of 2.315 billion USD, and Gate has an open interest of 3.039 billion USD.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $87,057.89 in a single transaction regarding the "Federal Reserve's September decision" event, targeting a "25 basis point increase." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 80.61%.

According to Anza's monitoring, the second step of the Solana proposal SIMD-0437 rent reduction will take effect on the mainnet at approximately 21:15 UTC, corresponding to epoch 1033. At that time, the lamports required per byte will decrease from 6333 to 5080, a cumulative decrease of about 27% from the initial level, and the deposit required for on-chain storage such as creating token accounts will be further reduced.There is currently no fixed timetable for subsequent steps; the third step will be initiated once the growth of on-chain status is confirmed to be safe. If any anomalies occur, SIMD-0438 can serve as a fallback mechanism to revert the rent parameters. Currently, three steps remain in the five-step plan.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the event of "Federal Reserve September Decision" on the market Polymarket, the sub-market "No Change" option's probability of "Yes" has experienced drastic fluctuations, plummeting from 38.5% an hour ago to the current 18.5% (a fluctuation of 20%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has slightly retreated, recently rising by 8.08 basis points to 4.916%.

According to CoinDesk, the latest paper released by researchers from institutions such as Theta Labs, the Ethereum Foundation, and StarkWare shows that the resources required for potential quantum attacks on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) have decreased by more than 50% compared to the estimates previously published by Google's quantum artificial intelligence team.The quantum circuit design proposed in the study requires only about 1,151 logical qubits and uses approximately 1.3 million Toffoli gate operations to complete the relevant calculations, with a comprehensive score of about 1.5 billion, lower than the approximately 3 billion level previously published by Google.The research primarily optimized the point addition calculation in Shor's algorithm, which theoretically can use sufficiently powerful quantum computers to derive private keys from public keys. Jieyi Long, one of the main authors of the paper and CTO of Theta Labs, stated that quantum attacks are not imminent at the moment, but transitioning to quantum resistance will take years, and remediation cannot be done after an attack occurs.

A Reuters survey shows that Saudi exports have been disrupted due to the Iran war, and U.S. sanctions have reduced Iranian shipments. OPEC's crude oil production in August decreased by 640,000 barrels per day to 19.71 million barrels per day.Although seven member countries agreed to increase production, the conflict in the Middle East has hindered the implementation of the plan.

Eurozone government bond yields remain high ahead of the European Central Bank's policy decision, with analysts expecting the central bank to raise interest rates by 25 basis points. The yield on Germany's 10-year government bonds rose to 3.44%, having previously reached 3.4514%, the highest since 2011. The market expects the European Central Bank's deposit rate to be 2.74% by December, up from the current 2.25%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $56,235.86 in a single transaction regarding the "Federal Reserve's September decision" event, targeting a "25 basis point rate hike." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this asset is 46%.