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first_img Research institution Sage Road Research stated that the stock price of the AI company has dropped 20% from its peak in June

The research institution Sage Road Research released an executive summary of "The AI Trade," stating that since the beginning of this year, the Magnificent Seven has underperformed the Russell 3000 index by about 8 percentage points and the MSCI ACWI by nearly 9 percentage points. In July, the CBOE NDX volatility index relative to the VIX reached its highest point since the internet bubble, and after entering a correction, the Nasdaq index saw a 5% rebound over four days. As of the writing of the report, AI company stock prices have dropped 20% from their 52-week highs in June.Companies are struggling to achieve returns on investment amid soaring AI costs, with Uber, Amazon, Meta, and Walmart implementing restrictions on employee AI usage. Model homogenization limits pricing power, and Chinese open-source models have become a cheap alternative to OpenAI and Anthropic. AI capital expenditures have exceeded expectations, with the consensus for 2026 rising from $527 billion at the end of 2025 to about $800 billion by mid-year. Capital expenditures for hyperscale cloud providers in 2027 are expected to account for 3% of U.S. GDP, more than double the peak of 1.2% during the late 1990s telecom fiber construction. Allianz Research calculates that there is nearly a 46% growth gap between AI investment and sales, worse than the 32% during the 2001 telecom bubble.As of June, hyperscale cloud providers and related entities like Nvidia issued $225 billion in bonds, a year-on-year increase of 973.7%. The off-balance-sheet liabilities of tech giants have increased eightfold over four years to $1.65 trillion.

first_img Analysis: 91% of the YC 2026 Summer Batch are AI companies, with the application layer's proportion dropping to 39%

User chris__lu posted that they compiled all 236 companies and 470 founders from the YC Summer 2026 batch, categorizing each company into an AI technology stack layer and comparing it to the Spring batch using the same criteria. This batch still has 91% related to AI. The model companies increased from 8% to 20%, the application layer decreased from 55% to 39%, horizontal applications dropped from 58 to 32, and vertical applications remained at 25%.In the Spring, 45% of companies delivered autonomous agents, while in the Summer, it was 33%, with "agent" in a one-sentence introduction dropping from 27% to 19%. 21 companies are engaged in computational infrastructure, 11 focus on inference costs, and there are also companies for training data and reinforcement learning environments. Scale AI is listed as an alternative target by 8 companies. The industrial category increased from 12% to 24%, with 45 companies delivering physical products, 24 being robots or physical AI, and 21 companies operating their own businesses rather than selling software.This batch is the youngest, with 37% of founders being students or graduates in the last two years, 59 teams are entirely student teams, the dropout rate increased from 3% to 9%, and repeat founders decreased from 32% to 23%, with 84% having a technical background. 39 from Berkeley, 32 from MIT, and 25 from Stanford. Amazon is the largest source of talent. Sales and marketing AI decreased from 18 to 6. Only 19 founders come from AI labs, accounting for 4%. 8 founding teams come from the same previous employer.

Arthur Hayes released the FLOP yellow paper, planning to airdrop all tokens

Arthur Hayes released a new project FLOP white paper on social media. FLOP is a proof of useful inference (PoUI) blockchain and native currency aimed at the agent economy, where AI agents can use FLOP to pay miners for inference fees. The network adopts an architecture that combines PoUI with account-based chains, where agents submit session requests to the memory pool containing model weight hashes, maximum latency, computational load, confidentiality flags, and fees. Miners complete the inference and return proofs, which validators incorporate into blocks to complete settlements.The initial supply of FLOP is approximately 2.48346 billion tokens, all allocated for airdrops, with no VC pre-mining or auctions. The first phase of reward distribution allocates 75% to miners, 10% to validators, 10% to agents, and 5% to regular stakers. The average block time for the network is 1 second, with a roadmap goal of sub-second block times. The initial block reward is 96 FLOP, halving every 730 days, for a total of five halvings, after which it will permanently remain at 3 FLOP.The maximum number of validators is capped at 1,000, with approximately 50 rotating monthly based on verified workload and online rates. Miners and validators must stake FLOP, and malicious behavior may face penalties of up to full forfeiture and bans. Governance is conducted through FLOP improvement proposals, requiring a two-thirds approval from active validators in most cases.
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