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SpaceX was officially included in the Nasdaq 100 index this week, with historical warnings indicating volatility after the inclusion; TeraWulf's Q1 HPC leasing revenue first exceeded the annual high-margin mining revenue of $630 million

According to BBX data, yesterday marked a milestone for the global largest IPO completion index, with a historic turning point in the valuation logic of AI transformation in mining companies. The core dynamics are as follows:SpaceX, Inc. (NASDAQ: $SPCX) reported on July 7 that the company was officially included in the Nasdaq 100 index this week, becoming the first in history to have the largest single IPO ($75 billion) included in the Nasdaq 100. CoinDesk also issued a historic warning: "The last two largest new constituents added—Palantir ($PLTR) in December 2024 and Strategy ($MSTR) in early 2025—both experienced a phase decline after inclusion, rather than starting a new round of increases"; analysts pointed out that passive funds tracking the Nasdaq 100 complete "forced buying" at the time of inclusion, and if there are no new fundamental catalysts afterward, stock prices often pull back after technical buying subsides. Specific risks currently facing SpaceX include: a net loss of approximately $4.27 billion in Q1 2026 (mainly due to xAI integration expenses), a $2 billion bond issuance plan, and a 3.4% equity dilution from the $60 billion acquisition of Cursor/Anysphere; Morningstar maintains a fair value estimate of $62 per share, indicating about a 70% implied downside from the current market price. For the market holding SpaceX Bitcoin (18,712 coins, approximately $1.2 billion, held in Coinbase Prime), the inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 will trigger a larger scale of SPCX holdings by passive funds, further bridging the gap between traditional index investors and indirect exposure to Bitcoin assets.TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ: $WULF) according to the latest analysis, the company's high-performance computing (HPC) leasing revenue in Q1 2026 reached $21 million, accounting for about 62% of the total revenue of $34 million, surpassing Bitcoin mining revenue for the first time—this marks TeraWulf's first historic revenue structure reversal after transitioning to an AI/HPC infrastructure company, with a 117% increase from the $9.7 million HPC revenue in Q4 2025. The company has currently signed over 522 megawatts of AI/HPC leases with Core42 and Fluidstack, with an expected annual high-margin revenue of approximately $630 million; the energy structure consists of nuclear power + hydropower, with an average electricity cost of about $0.035 per kilowatt-hour, one of the lowest among similar mining companies. The company is also developing a new campus in Kentucky, adding approximately 480 megawatts of grid access capacity; analysts have significantly raised their target price ranges, with Keefe Bruyette & Woods raising from $23 to $37, Clear Street from $26 to $38, Jefferies initiating coverage with a Buy rating and a target price of $37, and BTIG raising at the same time. The company's stock price has increased by approximately 88% year-to-date in 2026, leading the gains in the mining sector.

Trump Media transferred 2,650 BTC to Crypto.com, with a Q1 loss of $405.9 million. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of over $2.26 billion in two weeks, and IBIT holdings decreased to about 800,000 coins

According to BBX data, corporate Bitcoin reserves are under pressure, intertwined with the continuous outflow of ETF funds, leading to an overall cautious sentiment in crypto concept stocks. The core dynamics are as follows:Trump Media & Technology Group, Corp. (NASDAQ: $DJT) transferred 2,650 BTC (approximately $205 million) to a Crypto.com exchange address on May 22. The company's official statement described this as a "transfer rather than a sale," part of an expanded trading strategy, but the actual disposal method remains to be confirmed as of the report deadline. On-chain data shows that the funds have arrived at the Crypto.com exchange address. Previously, the company transferred 2,000 BTC (approximately $175 million) to Crypto.com about four months ago. The Q1 2026 financial report (May 9, CoinDesk) indicates that as of March 31, the company held 9,542.16 BTC (with a fair value of $647.1 million, and a purchase cost of approximately $1.13 billion); after this transfer of 2,650 BTC, Arkham's on-chain estimate of the remaining holdings is about 6,889 BTC (approximately $532 million). The Q1 financial report also disclosed a net loss of $405.9 million (compared to a loss of $31.7 million in the same period last year) and revenue of only $871,200. The company originally purchased 11,542 BTC at an average price of about $118,522, with a total purchase cost of approximately $1.37 billion, and the current holdings are still significantly discounted compared to the cost; during the same period, the company withdrew its ETF applications for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana from Truth Social.The U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF recorded over $2.26 billion in net outflows in the two weeks ending May 23, ending a streak of seven consecutive weeks of net inflows. During this period, Bitcoin fell from about $82,500 (the recent high on May 6) to $74,305 (on May 23), a decline of about 10%, marking the lowest point since April 20. The iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: $IBIT) under BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE: $BLK) has seen its holdings decrease from a peak of about 812,000 BTC to about 800,000 BTC, still accounting for approximately 62% of total assets in U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs. CoinDesk analysts attribute this round of outflows to high U.S. Treasury yields (with the 10-year yield touching 5.01%) and systemic deleveraging driven by geopolitical pressures, rather than a weakening belief in Bitcoin's long-term logic.

Strategy invested $2.01 billion in a single week to acquire 24,869 BTC, raising the total holdings to 843,738 coins. Goldman Sachs completely liquidated all XRP in Q1 13F while simultaneously increasing holdings in Circle and Coinbase stocks alongside the Solana ETF

According to BBX data, yesterday's corporate Bitcoin reserve expansion and the divergence in Wall Street institutional crypto allocations both landed simultaneously, with the core dynamics as follows:Strategy, Inc. (NASDAQ: $MSTR) submitted SEC Form 8-K, disclosing that the company purchased an additional 24,869 BTC between May 11 and May 17, with a total expenditure of approximately $2.01 billion, at an average price of about $80,985, marking the second-largest weekly purchase scale in 2026; the funds for this purchase came from the sale of 19.5 million shares of STRC preferred stock (net proceeds of about $1.949 billion) and 430,000 shares of MSTR common stock (net proceeds of about $83.7 million); as of May 17, the company's total holdings rose to 843,738 BTC, with a total acquisition cost of about $63.87 billion (average price $75,700), yielding 12.6% BTC since the beginning of 2026.Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: $GS) submitted Q1 2026 Form 13F to the SEC, disclosing that the company completely liquidated all XRP ETF holdings during Q1 2026 (previously held about $153.8 million, distributed among four issuers: Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and 21Shares) and all Solana ETF holdings (previously about $108 million); simultaneously, it reduced its Ethereum ETF holdings by about 70% to approximately $114 million; retained Bitcoin ETF holdings of about $700 million (of which iShares Bitcoin Trust $IBIT is about $690 million and Fidelity FBTC is about $25 million), a slight reduction of about 10% from the previous quarter; meanwhile, the 13F showed that Goldman increased its holdings in Circle Internet Group, Inc. (NYSE: $CRCL), Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: $GLXY), and Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: $COIN) during Q1, signaling a shift from "altcoin ETFs to crypto infrastructure stocks."
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