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Bloomberg BI: By 2030, China will lead the world in 8 key areas including AI large models

Bloomberg Intelligence released a report on October 28, stating that by 2030, China will be globally leading in 8 out of 17 key industries, including large language models (LLM), which are core to artificial intelligence. The report, led by Francis Chan, assesses that the U.S. and China are moving towards "AI joint leadership," with neither side likely to achieve a comprehensive advantage.The report lists the 8 areas where China is expected to lead: LLM, optical communication transceiver modules, humanoid robots, general commercial vessels, autonomous and connected vehicles, energy storage, green hydrogen, and biopharmaceutical CDMO. On the hardware side, China currently lags in chip design, foundry, memory, and device materials, but the report predicts that by 2030, it will be globally competitive, although complete self-sufficiency remains challenging. The report also notes that the U.S. may maintain a slight edge in model development, while China holds a favorable position in software optimization and low-cost AI implementation.The report also highlights risks: Chinese AI companies face intense price competition, and profitability will need to wait until pricing strategies become more rational. Additionally, trade barriers and export restrictions are more likely to alter the geographical landscape of China's industrial expansion rather than halt it.

first_img China's artificial intelligence stocks have significantly declined, with the STAR50 dropping 40% in the past four months

Reuters reported on October 26 that amid fluctuations in global tech stocks, Chinese artificial intelligence and semiconductor-related stocks have already declined. The STAR50 index, dominated by mainland artificial intelligence and semiconductor leaders, has dropped 40% in less than four months, with a market value evaporating by about $480 billion. The CSI 300 index has fallen about 20% from its June peak, interrupting nearly two years of gains. Beijing fund manager Dong Baozhen said: The stock market has evolved into a speculative frenzy bull market, and now the bubble is bursting. Traders noted that the decline does not have a clear single trigger factor; high prices, tax bills, and the possibility of the U.S. or other countries banning Chinese equipment from entering data centers have all had an impact. During the same period, the Nasdaq has retreated 6% from its record high three weeks ago.Goldman Sachs stated that AI stocks account for 42% of China's market value and 57% of the trading volume of mainland A-shares and Hong Kong H-shares. When the robotics company Yushu went public, retail investors oversubscribed by about 8,000 times, and since trading began in August, its stock price has fallen by about half; chip company Changxin Storage has dropped more than a quarter in the past month. Mu Xi Integrated Circuit and Moore Threads saw their stock prices rise by about 700% and 400% respectively on their first day of trading last year, but have also fallen by about half since July. Optical module companies Zhongji Xuchuang and Guangxun Technology have dropped about 60% from their June and July peaks, partly due to the U.S. moving towards banning these companies from supplying to U.S. data centers. Hainan investor Chen Wensheng said: He bought Yushu because he felt official support and that there were state-owned background funds investing, but he is currently suffering losses with friends.The STAR50 is currently still about 100 times its past earnings, having fallen from a high of nearly 250 times, with investors comparing it to the Nasdaq 100's price-to-earnings ratio of about 30 times. Hong Hao, Managing Director and Chief Investment Officer of Lotus Asset Management in Hong Kong, said: The current situation will cause many companies trying to go public to pause. Leo Wang, a partner at Beijing Qianchuang Capital, said: Overemphasizing the market capitalization weight of tech companies in major indices will create serious bubbles in certain industries and siphon off funds from other sectors. Wang Zhuo, a partner at Shanghai Zhuozhu Investment Management, said: Chip manufacturers and AI suppliers will ultimately fall into price wars like other Chinese manufacturers. HSBC Research stated that Asian funds have generally been selling over the past three months but are still overweight in China; Goldman Sachs' updated recommendation list this month includes Zhongji Xuchuang and Changxin Storage. The China Securities Regulatory Commission did not immediately respond to Reuters' inquiries; Chairman Wu Qing met with market participants earlier this month to hear suggestions for improving the capital market.

first_img China's sellers: AI hardware may experience high volatility, rather than confirming a crash

Semiconductor analyst Jukan shares a commentary translated into English by him, authored by a salesperson from a local Chinese sell-side institution. The individual states: In mid to late September, hardware quickly transitioned into a downward wave, with China and South Korea adjusting first, experiencing deeper declines and longer durations, followed by Japan, Taiwan, and the semiconductor ETF SOXX weakening subsequently; there is significant divergence in the market regarding whether AI is entering a mid-cycle collapse, but there is less controversy about the industry still advancing.The individual summarizes the views of interviewed investors: High long-term interest rates in the U.S., capital expenditures beginning to rely on external financing and competing for funds in the market, multi-layered leverage accumulation, and tight funding are the main reasons for this round of decline, with companies like CoreWeave experiencing a noticeable deterioration in financing structure and cost burden. Model invocation prices are decreasing, but capital expenditures and supply chain costs are difficult to reduce quickly, making short-term investment returns hard to realize. ASML and TSMC's guidance this season is strong, but near-term pressures cannot be ruled out; the bullwhip effect and differences in value chain levels may cause volatility to be greater than expected.The individual also mentions that use cases beyond coding are emerging in scenarios such as SaaS and AI drug development, which may gradually alleviate investment return concerns and expand demand. His personal judgment: Before more evidence emerges, the current situation resembles a high-volatility phase rather than a collapse that has already begun; the decline may not yet be over, and hardware leadership may give way to applications. Even if control of both houses changes in the midterm elections, the impact may mainly be limited to constraints on certain data center projects, and the U.S. earnings season needs to verify the performance of large technology companies.

Shanghai Solana Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. has been registered, and the co-head of Solana China, Du Yanjing, is the legal representative

According to the information displayed on the Qichacha page, Shanghai Solana Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. was registered in June this year, with a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Claire Du is the legal representative and co-head of Solana China.Additionally, in August this year, Shanghai Yaokun Qiusuo Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was established with a registered capital of 10 million yuan, and Shanghai Solana Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. holds 45% of the shares in Yaokun Qiusuo Digital Technology Co., Ltd. Even Jiang, the co-head of the Solana Foundation in China, serves as the chairman of Yaokun Qiusuo, while Claire Du serves as a director.Public information shows that Yaokun Qiusuo primarily engages in technical services, technical development, technical consulting, technical exchanges, technology transfer, and technology promotion; computer system services; information system integration services; information technology consulting services; data processing services; internet data services; Internet of Things technology services; wholesale of computer software and hardware and auxiliary equipment; information consulting services (excluding licensed information consulting services); business management consulting; financial consulting; and conference and exhibition services (exhibitions abroad must be approved by relevant departments).It should be noted that "Solana" is a name chosen by a sole proprietorship, and there is currently no equity evidence proving that these two companies belong to the Solana Foundation.This week, members of the Solana team shared photos announcing the establishment of an office in Shanghai, China.
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