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first_img Anthropic released an AI economic scenario, predicting a 32.4% increase in the U.S. GDP by 2030 under extreme conditions

Anthropic's economic team builds models to analyze the impact of AI on employment, growth, and unemployment in the United States. The model views the economy as a combination of tasks based on the U.S. Department of Labor's O*NET classification, where AI can keep tasks unchanged, enhance, automate, or create new tasks. The U.S. economy is described as having a task instance value of over $30 trillion.Three scenarios depend on AI capabilities and adoption speed: the moderate scenario is similar to the internet, with U.S. GDP increasing by 1.6% by 2030 ($34.1 trillion in 2025 prices), labor share at 59.4%, and capital share at 40.6%; in the substantial scenario, AI can perform half of knowledge work, GDP increases by 8.3% ($36.3 trillion), and wages for knowledge workers remain roughly stable, with a labor share of 56.1%; in the extreme scenario, AI is much more efficient in the vast majority of knowledge work and completes it almost entirely autonomously, with GDP increasing by 32.4% ($44.4 trillion), wages for knowledge workers dropping by over 10%, a labor share of 45.2%, and an unemployment rate exceeding typical recession levels.A survey conducted in August with over 10,000 Americans showed that typical responses were close to the substantial scenario (2030 GDP about 10% higher, unemployment rate about 5%), with about 10% of respondents nearing the extreme scenario. GDP increases in all scenarios, and transformative scenarios require more job transitions. The page provides a technical report and an interactive explorer.

first_img HYPE Financial Company Hyperion DeFi announced a $20 million stock buyback and raised its full-year guidance

NASDAQ-listed company Hyperion DeFi (NASDAQ: HYPD) announced on September 8, 2026, an upward revision of its full-year guidance for 2026 and initiated a common stock repurchase plan of up to $20 million. The company claims to be the first publicly listed DeFi company in the U.S. built on Hyperliquid. The full-year adjusted gross profit guidance has been raised from the previous $5 million to $7 million to $7 million to $8 million.The company expects adjusted net operating cash flow to turn positive in the third quarter of 2026, earlier than the previous expectation of "turning positive by the end of 2026"; and it anticipates that core operating income will turn positive in the third quarter, with adjusted gross profit from the core DeFi business expected to exceed operating expenses after excluding equity incentives for the first time. The adjusted gross profit guidance for the third quarter is $2 million to $2.5 million, with operating expenses after excluding equity incentives at $2 million to $2.25 million, and core operating income at $0 to $500,000.The board has authorized the repurchase of up to $20 million of common stock in circulation within a maximum of 12 months, which can be conducted through open market purchases, private negotiations, block trades, and other methods, with no specific quantity guaranteed. The plan may be extended, suspended, or terminated at any time. CEO Hyunsu Jung stated that the DeFi business has accelerated recently, and the core business in the third quarter is expected to achieve breakeven in terms of profit and cash flow, noting that HYPD common stock is currently trading at a discount of about 20% to 30% relative to net assets.
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