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hot_img Transcript of Liang Wenfeng's investor meeting leaked: Claims restraint is a strategy, with the goal of AGI rather than super apps

Last month, comments from Liang Wenfeng during the DeepSeek investor meeting have recently circulated. Liang Wenfeng clearly stated that DeepSeek's goal is AGI, rather than becoming the next super app. They will not engage in 3D, video generation, or world modeling, nor will they close source code, stating, "Restraint is a strategy used to increase the probability of achieving AGI." He believes that products are merely "by-products" on the path to AGI, with the current focus on Coding Agent and continuous learning capabilities. The next phase aims to achieve autonomous model iteration, with the endpoint pointing towards embodied intelligence.In terms of commercialization, Liang Wenfeng stated that they only seek to earn "reasonable profits" and do not set profit maximization as their pricing goal. DeepSeek is "still far from a complete shift to commercialization." He assesses that the gap between AI in China and the U.S. mainly lies in resources rather than talent, stating, "Using a fraction of the computing power can narrow the gap to 6 months, 3 months." Regarding industry competition, he believes that open source is "the sweet point for companies of this scale," while also predicting that domestic large models will ultimately converge to "two large companies and two small companies." Liang Wenfeng also mentioned that maintaining team stability is the only non-negotiable core principle, and the company is driven by vision, with "a group of ordinary people achieving extraordinary things."

The Bank of Korea expects the AI-driven chip supercycle to continue, dismissing concerns of a "peak."

A report released by the Bank of Korea on July 13 pointed out that the global semiconductor market is still in a state of supply shortage, and the chip supercycle driven by artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to last for a long time, which refutes market concerns that the chip cycle has peaked.The central bank's analysis states that the current chip cycle is different from previous ones, primarily driven by competitive investments made by companies to respond to the fundamental changes in the industrial ecosystem brought about by AI. At the same time, due to the current market being dominated by customized products such as high bandwidth memory (HBM), the pace of supply expansion is more constrained than in the past.Recently, concerns over excessive investment in AI infrastructure and potential oversupply of memory chips have triggered a sell-off in tech stocks, with significant declines in the stock prices of South Korean chip giants such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. In response, the Bank of Korea stated that although there remains uncertainty regarding the speed of AI technology adoption and profit prospects, major investment banks such as JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley generally predict that the global semiconductor market will maintain strong momentum at least through next year.

The Russian Financial Supervisory Authority will be authorized to monitor all cryptocurrency transactions, with those over 60,000 rubles required to be reported

According to Bits.media, a new draft bill submitted by the Russian government aims to grant the Financial Supervisory Authority the power to monitor all cryptocurrency transactions. For cryptocurrency transactions exceeding 60,000 rubles and foreign trade cryptocurrency transactions exceeding 1,000,000 rubles, the agency will collect complete information such as the full names or corporate names of the payer and payee, wallet addresses, actual addresses, birth dates, and taxpayer identification numbers. Transactions below 60,000 rubles only require the provision of names and wallet addresses.The bill also stipulates that the new limit for digital asset transactions by banks is 1% of the bank group's capital, and banks must hold corresponding funds to cover risks for the purchased cryptocurrencies. The central bank will be authorized to restrict or prohibit specific cryptocurrency operations when they threaten investor interests or may "undermine the stability of the financial system," with the scope extending from non-bank financial institutions to banks. The bill is expected to take effect simultaneously with the main cryptocurrency regulatory legislation, originally scheduled for implementation on July 1, but the review has been postponed. The first deputy governor recently stated that the relevant laws may take effect on September 1.

SemiAnalysis: Changxin Storage has become the fourth largest DRAM manufacturer in the world, and will not break the super cycle of storage shortages in the short term

The semiconductor research institution SemiAnalysis has released a latest analysis indicating that Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) has clearly become the world's fourth largest DRAM manufacturer. Although its production capacity and cash flow are continuously growing, the institution believes that Changxin Memory still faces multiple challenges in equipment, technology, and market, and will not end the current storage "super cycle" in the short term.In terms of specific challenges, export controls on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment (such as EUV, advanced etching, and TSV tools) severely restrict Changxin's expansion into more advanced processes and high bandwidth memory (HBM) fields; although domestic equipment (such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, etc.) has alleviated some pressure, it cannot fully resolve the integration and yield bottlenecks across multiple process links, resulting in its technology still lagging behind leading manufacturers by several generations. Additionally, Changxin's market share is currently still highly concentrated in the Chinese domestic market, with global expansion limited by geopolitical factors and customers' willingness to diversify their supply chains.In response to market concerns that Changxin might "impact the global market with cheap chips," SemiAnalysis clarified that there is currently a severe structural shortage in the DRAM market, and the increase in Changxin's production capacity may even struggle to fully meet domestic demand in China. In fact, the prices of Chinese memory chips are also soaring significantly, in line with the global upward trend, and Changxin is similarly a beneficiary of the shortage premium. Therefore, Changxin Memory should be viewed as a long-term structural competitive force, and in the current context of accelerated AI demand and constrained supply, it cannot shake the fundamental super cycle dominated by leading manufacturers in the short term.
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