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Flash

Bonk Guy's trading insights: Last year on "10.11," there was a single-day loss in the eight figures; when the advantage is no longer present, one should exit the market

Trader Bonk Guy posted a review stating that on October 10, 2025, due to systemic failures at several large centralized trading platforms, he experienced the largest single-day loss of his career, amounting to eight figures in dollars within minutes. In the following weeks to months, he lost millions of dollars due to overtrading.Bonk Guy indicated that a better choice at that time would have been to pause trading for several months or at least half a year and stay away from trading terminals. The eagerness to recover losses and prove trading ability drove him to keep entering the market. He believes that trading ability, experience, and systems are not sufficient to ensure consistent outperformance of the market; results also depend on market conditions, timing, and luck. Advantageous strategies vary in different environments, and sometimes the best trade is to not trade.He cited a cyclical framework stating that the average crypto bull market lasts about 1,060 days, accounting for approximately 74% of the cycle, while bear markets last about 380 days, accounting for about 26%; if the bull market is defined as when Bitcoin's price is above the 200-day moving average and the upward momentum is strong, the opportunity window may shorten to about 237 days, accounting for about 16% of the cycle. These numbers depend on the definition of the phases. He also mentioned that compared to forcing trades in unfavorable conditions, it is more important to protect capital, maintain judgment, and wait for the next significant opportunity. When lacking an advantage, one can temporarily stay out of the market or participate only with a small portion of funds that can withstand losses.

first_img FCA releases draft guidelines for DeFi, clarifying when interfaces need to obtain authorization in the UK

On October 21, the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) published Consultation Paper 26/36 titled "Guidance on the Regulatory Scope of Cryptoassets," which explains how to determine whether related activities require authorization when the business model involves a certain degree of decentralization.The FCA pointed out that the use of software, smart contracts, distributed ledger technology, distributed governance mechanisms, or other technological arrangements does not, by itself, determine whether there are regulated activities that require authorization. Automation merely describes the manner in which functions are executed and does not determine whether that function constitutes part of a regulated activity. The so-called "true DeFi" is not a statutory concept in the "Regulated Activities Order" or the "Cryptoasset Regulations"; the degree of decentralization is a continuum and does not constitute an independent or separate regulatory framework.At the same time, the FCA also published Guidance Consultation Paper 26/7, which explains how regulated firms should manage DeFi risks, focusing on operational resilience and financial crime risks, and provides examples of measures that firms may consider taking. Both consultation papers will close for comments on November 18, and the FCA plans to publish the final guidance in January 2027. Starting from October 25, 2027, the new regulations will bring new cryptoasset activities under regulatory oversight, and firms wishing to continue related business must submit authorization applications by February 28, 2027.

first_img WHUF Founder: When the token price is below the ICO price, redeeming tokens will result in destruction

The founder of the WHUF project posted on X that the WHUF trading price is below the ICO price. He stated that the price guarantee is functioning as designed, and the redeemed WHUF will be destroyed and permanently removed from circulation. The team originally expected this mechanism to reduce sell-offs close to $3.57, but 23% of the original purchase amount did not receive guarantees within the protection window, which currently constitutes the largest outflow.The founder mentioned that the team focuses liquidity on Coinbase, hiring two market makers and allocating 175 basis points of centralized exchange liquidity, with only about 25 basis points on-chain. The launch pool has about 20,000 WHUF and less than $100,000 USDC, with auction buyers selling about 101,000 WHUF in the first hour after unlocking. A single $10,000 sell order caused the price to fluctuate nearly 20%. Of the 1,402 auction wallets, 298 sold, with 92% occurring in the first 3 hours. The team refused to pay for listings, and the exchange's +/-2% depth sometimes only amounts to $10,000 to $40,000. Of the $7.14 million raised from the ICO, $7.14 million has been reserved for price protection.The founder stated that if the auction is redone, they would choose Uniswap CCA and use the Sonar platform fees to inject liquidity. Redemptions must check against the sanctions list, and Sumsub has flagged 5 individuals who did not pass, with reasons including terrorism and crime. Redemptions for non-sanctioned users have been automated, and the team will return USDC in batches and destroy the corresponding WHUF, which is expected to take at least several days. At the time of the project's issuance, 20% of the supply was sold, mainly raised from the community, and provided protocol usage rewards and ICO price protection.
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