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According to The New York Times, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at the FOMC meeting this week (October 27 to 28). Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh needs to explain why he is not raising interest rates while inflationary pressures remain high, while also indicating that the determination to combat inflation has not weakened and keeping the possibility of another rate hike this year.The report states that the Federal Reserve raised rates once in September, and the market had once priced in another rate hike in October. New York Fed President John Williams, Vice President Jefferson, and Governor Waller expressed at the end of September to early October that they could wait a bit longer, causing the probability of an October rate hike to drop from over 70% to less than 30%. High oil prices and the demand for materials and electricity driven by AI infrastructure increased price pressures in September. The Nasdaq 100 index has fallen more than 7% since its historical high on October 6, and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond had previously stood above 5% for several consecutive weeks.Stephen Stanley, Chief Economist at Santander U.S. Capital Markets, stated that he expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but believes there may still be another rate hike in December. Walsh needs to explain why he is not taking action in October while also clarifying why December is still under consideration. Since taking office in May, Walsh has provided little forward guidance on the interest rate path. The press conference after the decision to hold rates steady in July caused market volatility due to overly brief wording, and subsequent hawkish remarks in August, along with the rate hike in September and signals of another hike this year, somewhat repaired communication. This week's decision is approaching the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, and Trump had previously criticized the rate hike in September.

Goldman Sachs' latest research shows that over the past three weeks, semiconductor stock exposure has been able to explain about 54% of the return performance differences between different asset classes, while oil price exposure accounts for only 2%. As the influence of AI trading continues to expand, technology stocks are becoming an important factor driving global market risk appetite and asset performance differentiation.Goldman Sachs pointed out that recent investor risk appetite has been highly synchronized with the relative performance of large technology stocks. Last week, concerns about AI investment returns, financing costs, and capital expenditures intensified, leading to a sell-off in technology stocks and corporate bonds, with Goldman Sachs' risk appetite indicator falling to its lowest level since April 2025. The South Korean stock market has become a typical case of this impact, with the KOSPI rising 3.1% on Tuesday, and SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics increasing by 5.2% and 4.2%, respectively.Due to the high weight of semiconductor stocks in the Korea Composite Stock Price Index, changes in global AI investment expectations directly affect local market performance. Goldman Sachs emphasized that the 54% and 2% figures reflect a statistical relationship within a specific time window and do not imply that AI factors long-term determine global market fluctuations; the impact of high oil prices on inflation, monetary policy, and asset pricing cannot be ignored. Major technology companies such as Microsoft, Google, and Amazon are about to announce their earnings reports, and the market will focus on whether AI demand can continue to grow and whether massive capital expenditures can be converted into actual profits.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) stated in its latest court filing that CME only claims increased competition without reasonably explaining the existence of imminent financial harm, which is insufficient to qualify for a lawsuit challenging its perpetual contract policy. The CFTC pointed out that after the policy adjustment, CME's cryptocurrency futures trading volume has actually increased.In May of this year, the CFTC approved Kalshi's first Bitcoin perpetual contract and stated that it would regulate such products on a case-by-case basis under futures regulations. CME, on the other hand, believes that perpetual contracts do not have an expiration date and should be classified as swaps rather than futures, subject to a different regulatory framework. Last month, the CFTC requested a federal judge to dismiss the case, and this filing further elaborated on its rebuttal to CME's standing in the lawsuit.The CFTC also noted that CME had previously informed investors that it had not heard customer demand for perpetual contracts, and that such products could not replace its existing futures, and that it should not take different positions in court and during earnings calls. TD Cowen policy analyst Jaret Seiberg believes that CME may still have the upper hand regarding its standing in the lawsuit and the argument that the products should be classified as swaps. However, he is concerned that if the perpetual contract market continues to grow during the litigation, it may become more complicated to dismantle this market if CME wins.

AMC's CEO Adam Aron posted again on the X platform, stating that Robinhood claims to support the new regulations formulated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regarding the tokenization of U.S. stocks and demands that Robinhood clarify whether its international business will adhere to the same principles proposed by the SEC.Adam Aron stated that if Robinhood's offshore operations in Jersey do not follow the relevant principles, it will become a distortion and mockery of the correct practices required by the SEC. In the original text, he repeatedly stated "shame, shame, shame," questioning Robinhood's refusal to respond directly to the relevant issues.

U.S. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren questioned Treasury Secretary Scott Bansen about the Treasury's intervention measures in the U.S. Treasury bond market. Warren requested clarification on how funding for Treasury bond repurchases is provided by reducing cash balances and inquired about the impact of rising long-term U.S. Treasury yields on consumer financing costs.

The stablecoin giant Tether's Tether AI Research today released QVAC Genesis III, a synthetic training dataset aimed at the fields of science, technology, engineering, and mathematics, with a scale of 19.143 billion tokens, covering 159.6 million documents.It is reported that Tether hopes to enhance the reasoning and teaching capabilities of small AI models, allowing more AI assistants to run directly on laptops, mobile phones, and local servers, reducing the ongoing reliance on large cloud models.Genesis III continues the data lineage of Genesis I and Genesis II, covering 19 curriculum-related fields including biology, chemistry, physics, mathematics, computer science, medicine, electrical engineering, and machine learning, aimed at high school, university, and professional applications. Tether states that the dataset will focus on training models to explain problem-solving paths, identify erroneous reasoning, and provide corrections, rather than just outputting final answers.According to Tether's disclosed test results, a 1.7 billion parameter model trained with Genesis III option-level data achieved an effective answer rate of 99.45% in relevant benchmark tests. Compared to the Cosmopedia-v2 training model of similar token scale, Genesis III improved scores on the ARC-Easy, ARC-Challenge, and MMLU STEM benchmarks by 28.57, 21.35, and 15.03 percentage points, respectively.

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates as expected in September, after keeping rates unchanged at the July meeting. Federal Reserve Chairman Waller stated that three things have changed between the two meetings.He said that data released in recent weeks indicates that the U.S. economy is performing strongly, especially in the labor market. At the same time, inflation rates remained high throughout the summer, significantly above the Federal Reserve's target of 2% year-on-year inflation.Finally, he noted that geopolitical factors also prompted the Federal Reserve to change its assessment of the economic outlook, although he did not directly mention the U.S.-Iran conflict in the Middle East. Waller stated, "These three factors contributed to our firm and consistent decision today."

Liquid Compute CEO Ronit Jain published an article introducing the hedging of computing power prices. Purchasing computing power, holding GPUs, or lending based on this has exposed them to computing power price fluctuations. Hedging is a cash-settled contract that locks in future prices against an index without the need to transfer GPUs.Companies can buy forwards to fix the cost of next year's capacity as a budget item while still being able to purchase from any supplier. Neocloud can sell forwards to convert uncontracted hours into fixed cash flow, making it easier for lenders to provide loans based on this. Regarding the residual value of sale-leaseback, recent forwards can be rolled over when entering a tradable range, or put options can be bought on forwards, with more liquid near-term options available to pay for the option premium.Hedging locks in prices rather than quantities, and does not completely match actual rates, nor is it free: it requires giving up favorable price movements or paying option premiums. Legally, it usually requires signing an ISDA Master Agreement with the counterparty, obtaining permission for the settlement index, and determining the ratio of hedging exposure.

The founder of Liebit Mining Pool (B.TOP), Jiang Zhuoer, stated that since the significant rise of BTC on August 20, the market has not shown any obvious correction. We are still in the early stages of a bull market filled with distrust and skepticism, and many investors have a deep fear of a crash.The concentrated liquidation area near $76,000 below is larger than the area near $83,000 above. He believes that the market is more likely to reach the lower liquidation zone, and this "magnetic effect" is the main reason he sold all BTC positions at $82,000 the day before yesterday.

According to Nick Timiraos, a reporter for the Wall Street Journal, known as the "Fed's megaphone," in his latest article, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh will face a core issue during his first major speech this week in Jackson Hole: whether the persistently high inflation in the United States is caused by one-time shocks such as tariffs and wars, or if the economy itself is still overheating.This judgment will directly determine the direction of interest rates and is currently the biggest divergence within the Federal Reserve. In the July meeting, three officials supported a rate hike, while other officials indicated the possibility of further tightening policies, but Walsh has not made a clear statement. Since taking office, he has deliberately reduced policy guidance, and now both the market and his Federal Reserve colleagues are waiting for him to systematically explain his judgment for the first time.The key to Walsh's term ultimately depends on how he explains why the previous policies failed to bring inflation back to 2%. If the policies of lowering interest rates and supporting employment over the past two years were fundamentally wrong because the labor market is actually stronger than the Federal Reserve judged, then Walsh needs to push for a reversal of interest rate cuts. However, this would conflict with the previous demands from Trump and Bessenet for further rate cuts.

Arthur Hayes forwarded a detailed airdrop tutorial for his new startup Flop Network, which is divided into four steps:Generate an Ed25519 DID key pair for the AI agent, formatted as did:key:z6Mk..., which will become the agent's identity on-chain and the future airdrop receiving address;Publish the public key to the Technocore registry to allow the network to recognize the identity;The agent signs a check-in message with the private key and sends an HTTP GET request to /lobby;Finally, securely store the private key locally to claim the airdrop share during the Q4 snapshot.Arthur Hayes previously announced on the 19th that he would end his retirement and "come out" to lead Flop Labs, launching the token FLOP. He stated that FLOP will serve as "food for AI Agents," and the project will not conduct a presale or introduce VC, adopting a 100% fair distribution model aimed at creating the currency for the Agentic Economy. More details about the project will be announced later, with a large-scale airdrop expected in the fourth quarter of 2026.