expectation

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated, "In the past two days, expectations of interest rate hikes have emerged, leading to a divergence in market trends. Since negative news has appeared, there are two possible scenarios: one is a real interest rate hike, which would lead to a short-term drop below 76,000, followed by a period of consolidation before rising again. The other is no interest rate hike, which would lead to continued upward movement. Regardless, it's best to trade spot without leverage."During an exchange at a business school in Shenzhen, Yi Lihua pointed out several opportunities in the next three years: one is mainstream BTC/ETH spot trading around four times, aiming for ten times with effort in swing trading. Another is trading infrastructure, which still presents hundredfold opportunities, as the core demand of blockchain is trading. The third is the IPOs defined by CZ, where stocks and IPOs are brought on-chain, resulting in truly high-quality assets that were once white paper tokens bidding farewell completely.

Goldman Sachs stated that the renewed rise in expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes may trigger traders to unwind their hedge positions, leading to a more severe adjustment in gold prices than usual.

Goldman Sachs economist Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo stated: "Today's CPI largely meets expectations, which on the surface is the result investors hoped for, but it indeed heightens the suspense for next week's interest rate decision. The challenge is that the data does not fully reflect the recent emergence of some inflationary pressures, and there is little evidence that inflation is returning to target in the short term. The survey period for this report predates the latest round of energy price increases and also predates the surge in commodities spreading from energy to metals and agriculture. Today's inflation data does not eliminate the possibility of stronger price pressures emerging in the future.In summary, today's data that meets expectations will allow the Federal Reserve to keep the option of raising interest rates, but it will not be forced to act, so the market may focus more on Waller's communications, energy prices, labor market data, and what happens next, rather than on what was released today."

The seasonally adjusted CPI for the United States at the end of August is 334.98, expected to be 334.85, and the previous value was 333.918.

Most economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at this month's meeting and maintain this until the end of 2027, despite rising market expectations for a rate hike.Surveys show that only 13 economists anticipate a rate increase this month, while the market believes there is a 70% chance of a rate hike next week. Yelena Shulyatyeva warned that rising inflation could change the current situation.

Analyst Giulia Petroni pointed out that due to the surge in oil prices, rising bond yields, and increasing expectations of interest rate hikes, gold prices are expected to drop more than 2% this week. New York gold futures prices once fell by 0.5%, to $4,383.9 per ounce.The market is closely watching the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to be released on Friday. Traders expect a 67% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) monthly report states that this year the global oil supply-demand gap will be larger than previously expected, as the war in Iran has not ended, and the normalization of oil flows in the Middle East has been delayed until 2027, leading to a surge in fuel prices. Inventory plays a key role in market balance, but the buffer is decreasing, and the global refining system is being stretched to its limits.

On September 9, WEEX TradFi market data showed that GameStop (GME) stock price slightly decreased by 1.41%, closing at $18.89. Its latest disclosed Q2 financial report shows an adjusted EPS of $0.27, revenue of $790.2 million, a year-on-year increase of 57% in collectibles sales, and an operating profit of $160.2 million, a record high. The adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year 2026 has been raised to over $650 million. WEEX Labs believes that the weak GME stock price is due to twofold pressure: first, the overall core revenue is still showing a severe double-digit decline compared to the same period last year, and the traditional retail to digital transformation has not achieved a fundamental breakthrough; second, market expectations regarding equity swaps and potential follow-up fundraising have squeezed bullish sentiment.In addition, AeroVironment (AVAV) will announce its FY27Q1 financial report after the market closes today, with market expectations for EPS around $0.22 and revenue around $468 million. Its stock price volatility will depend on the ramp-up of drone order capacity, gross margin performance, and the fulfillment of warehouse delivery guidance. Trade stocks and gold with WEEX TradFi, and you can also open daily eggs, with a 100% chance of winning, to win up to 10,000 USDT in position airdrops.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin stated that the Poseidon hash function series, developed over many years, has generated significant practical value in Ethereum and other fields, and will continue to play a role in the coming years.Modern privacy protocols can quickly generate SNARK proofs on the client side, and Poseidon is one of the important reasons for this. Vitalik pointed out that today's general-purpose STARK has achieved extremely high performance, with the proof overhead for almost any batch computation reduced to three-digit levels, and it is expected to further drop to two-digit levels or even lower in the future, a development that has even exceeded expectations from the early 2020s.

Former President Trump stated: The recently released employment data is fantastic, breaking all expectations (except mine!), with an increase reaching two to three times the forecast, and you haven't seen the full picture yet!American employers added 162,000 jobs in August. Lower the interest rates, because the credit situation in the U.S. is much stronger than it was not long ago! A strong country means lower interest rates because its credit situation is better... it's that simple!We should have the lowest interest rates in the world, just like in the "good old days." If the U.S. does not agree to allow these countries to enjoy huge trade surpluses, and we can stop that immediately, then they should no longer be considered financial "elite" countries! Lower the interest rates, or I will stop trading with those countries that have a trade surplus with the U.S. The U.S. Supreme Court has already clearly recognized in that ridiculous and costly tariff ruling that the "President" has the absolute right to do so. This is better than tariffs!The Federal Reserve Board, under the leadership of this outstanding new leader, must become wise, think from a different perspective, and act like patriots. High interest rates put the U.S. at an extremely unfair disadvantage, and I will never allow this to happen!

The unemployment rate in the United States for August is 4.1%, expected 4.1%, previous value 4.10%.The seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll employment in the United States for August is 162,000, expected 56,000, previous value revised from -23,000 to 21,000.

According to Nikkei News, the rise in Bitcoin prices lacks momentum, as it was bought due to "dollar depreciation trading," but this is only a fleeting moment. Now, the expectation of interest rate hikes in the United States has become a heavy burden for Bitcoin. The market generally expects Bitcoin prices to peak in the fall.A factor to watch is the U.S. midterm elections in November. In years when midterm elections were held, the market tends to decline from September to the end of the year, with a drop of 45% in 2018 and an 18% decline in 2022.

In August, the ADP employment number in the United States was 38,000, the smallest increase since January, lower than the market expectation of 48,000, and the previous value was 44,000.

Bitget CFD Chief Analyst Lewis Huang stated that the hawkish remarks made by Powell at the Jackson Hole global central bank conference have shifted the market's focus from whether there will be a rate hike in September to the possibility that the Federal Reserve may maintain high interest rates for a longer period before inflation clearly falls back to the 2% target, and even retain the option for further tightening of policies.Lewis Huang pointed out that if subsequent CPI, PCE, and employment data continue to be strong, the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield and the dollar index may remain strong, putting continued pressure on gold from the dual forces of rising real interest rates and a strengthening dollar, which may also amplify the volatility of high-valuation tech stocks like the Nasdaq 100.Conversely, if inflation significantly cools and the labor market weakens, the market may lower its rate hike expectations, leading to a decline in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, providing support for gold and growth stocks.He added that besides the Federal Reserve's policy statements, traders should also pay attention to whether the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is influenced by factors such as fiscal deficits, Treasury supply, and rising term premiums.Before and after the release of major data, it is recommended to moderately control leverage and assess market direction based on the interrelationship between the dollar, U.S. Treasury yields, gold, and stock indices.

Liquid Capital founder Jack Yi stated on the X platform: "As expected, there has been a slight pullback. If it continues to pull back to around $75,500, it will be a great new opportunity, and I remain optimistic about the rise after the slight pullback. Investing and trading are the hardest things. I entered the mining circle in 2015 at a low BTC price and later successfully invested in Quantum and others, catching the crazy bull market of 2017. This was entirely a matter of luck, but at the time, I thought it was skill, as I had previously achieved some success in entrepreneurship and investment in classical industries.Later, I crazily invested in hundreds of projects, most of which failed and a few succeeded. As investment opportunities decreased, I began to work hard on learning trading, which requires even more respect. I succeeded in trading nine times in a row, but the tenth failure brings me back to square one."

U.S. non-farm payroll benchmark change preliminary value for 2026 (not seasonally adjusted) -79,000, expected 183,000, previous value -862,000.

IREN's revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 was $137.2 million, which was basically in line with expectations; adjusted EBITDA was $19.2 million, about 53% lower than expected. AI cloud service revenue increased from $33.6 million to $70.5 million quarter-over-quarter, while Bitcoin mining revenue decreased from $111.2 million to $66.7 million.The company currently operates an ARR of approximately $1 billion, with capacity for 2026 nearly sold out, corresponding to a contracted ARR of about $4 billion, and has signed a multi-year contract with a frontier AI lab. Recently, the three-year contract revenue per IT MW exceeded $20 million, with some negotiation prices around $25 million.IREN plans to increase its cumulative IT capacity from approximately 0.3GW in 2026 to about 0.8GW in 2027; existing cash, committed GPU financing, and customer prepayments total approximately $14 billion.

According to Gate market data, Okta's US stock rose 19.3% in pre-market trading due to its second-quarter performance exceeding expectations.

According to Gate market data, Crowdstrike's stock rose 9.6% in pre-market trading due to the company's upward revision of its annual revenue forecast.