2030

According to Decrypt, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong stated in an interview with CNBC Squawk Box Asia that a Bitcoin price of $400,000 by 2030 is still a "reasonable goal," despite the current BTC price being around $77,000. He cited the four-year cycle pattern of Bitcoin, noting that the current downturn has lasted about a year, and said, "I personally believe that the bottom of this cycle for Bitcoin has already occurred." He also mentioned that typically there is a price increase before Bitcoin halving, which is expected to occur in about 18 months, stating, "The next one or two years will be a good time for Bitcoin."On the regulatory front, Armstrong is more optimistic about progress in Washington. The U.S. Senate will vote on the Clarity Act on September 15, and he stated that the bill is "ready to pass," with support from law enforcement agencies, several banks, and crypto companies, and the objections previously raised by Coinbase have been resolved. The remaining disagreement concerns the ethical rules regarding the president's family's crypto business, and negotiations are close to reaching a solution. Armstrong expects that regardless of whether the bill passes, there will be regulatory clarity within a month, as the SEC and CFTC have indicated they are ready to issue rules and innovation exemptions based on existing authority.He also cited last year's Genius Act as an example, stating that within three months of the bill's passage, over 150 large companies integrated stablecoins. If the Clarity Act passes, U.S. customers will be able to access tokenized stocks and perpetual contracts.

Mastercard recently released the report "A Short History of the Future of Shopping and Payments," predicting that by 2030, approximately 300 million shoppers worldwide will regularly use AI agents, primarily concentrated in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, China, and South Korea. The report is based on a survey conducted from June to July 2026 involving 13 markets and 13,000 pairs of parents and teenagers (a total of 26,000 respondents).The survey shows that 65% of British teenagers believe AI will change the shopping habits of their generation, and the likelihood of teenagers globally using AI for shopping is about twice that of their parents. 22% of British teenagers expect shopping to be dominated by AI within five years, compared to only 11% in France. 79% of teenagers and 70% of parents have used AI to research products in the past year, while 51% of teenagers and 46% of parents have used AI to complete a purchase at least once.The report cites Gartner's prediction that by 2028, the majority of B2B procurement will be mediated by AI agents, driving over $15 trillion in spending; by 2030, 20% of monetary transactions will be programmable. The report also suggests that "Know Your Agent" (KYA) could become a compliance advantage, with payment intent, consent, and machine-readable warranties forming the infrastructure of agent-based commerce.

Anthropic's economic team builds models to analyze the impact of AI on employment, growth, and unemployment in the United States. The model views the economy as a combination of tasks based on the U.S. Department of Labor's O*NET classification, where AI can keep tasks unchanged, enhance, automate, or create new tasks. The U.S. economy is described as having a task instance value of over $30 trillion.Three scenarios depend on AI capabilities and adoption speed: the moderate scenario is similar to the internet, with U.S. GDP increasing by 1.6% by 2030 ($34.1 trillion in 2025 prices), labor share at 59.4%, and capital share at 40.6%; in the substantial scenario, AI can perform half of knowledge work, GDP increases by 8.3% ($36.3 trillion), and wages for knowledge workers remain roughly stable, with a labor share of 56.1%; in the extreme scenario, AI is much more efficient in the vast majority of knowledge work and completes it almost entirely autonomously, with GDP increasing by 32.4% ($44.4 trillion), wages for knowledge workers dropping by over 10%, a labor share of 45.2%, and an unemployment rate exceeding typical recession levels.A survey conducted in August with over 10,000 Americans showed that typical responses were close to the substantial scenario (2030 GDP about 10% higher, unemployment rate about 5%), with about 10% of respondents nearing the extreme scenario. GDP increases in all scenarios, and transformative scenarios require more job transitions. The page provides a technical report and an interactive explorer.

According to the New York Times, OpenAI expects its computing power expenditure to reach $750 billion by 2030.

On September 8, 2026, at the Citigroup 2026 Global TMT Conference, AMD stated that AI-related opportunities could reach $2 trillion by 2030. The company expects its data center business to double by 2027, with sales reaching approximately $70 billion, of which AI GPUs will contribute about $40 billion, while the remainder will come from server CPUs. The server CPU market size has been revised up to $220 billion by 2030, previously estimated at $60 billion.AMD has secured procurement commitments of $29 billion to $30 billion, gaining the largest capacity allocation increase among all customers of TSMC, but still faces tight supply of wafers, HBM memory, advanced packaging, and substrates. The MI450 is expected to begin mass production and shipping in the third quarter of 2026, with further ramp-up in the fourth quarter. The gross margin guidance for the third quarter is 56%, as the MI450 ramps up, with a slight decline in gross margin expected in the fourth quarter of 2026 and 2027. Chief Financial Officer Jean Hu stated that the speed, scale, and rise of AI are unprecedented.AMD has announced three major anchor customers: Meta, OpenAI, and Anthropic, all involved in multi-gigawatt deployments and multi-generational collaborations. Helios is ramping up at the rack level. The acquisition of Taalas has been completed, and collaboration with Cerebras is underway to integrate the Helios system with its wafer-scale engine technology. Server CPU revenue is expected to grow over 80% year-on-year in the second half of 2026, with growth exceeding 70% entering 2027. Enterprise server revenue grew over 70% in the second quarter of 2026.

On September 8, TSMC announced that starting in 2030, it will adopt a new "high NA" extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine manufactured by ASML from the Netherlands for mass production. Both parties also stated that they will carry out industry-wide improvements on the high NA machines. ASML monopolizes the supply of EUV lithography machines used to form nanoscale ultra-fine circuits and will begin shipping high NA machines capable of drawing finer circuits starting in December 2023. Intel has already introduced high NA machines, while TSMC previously delayed mass production due to high costs and other reasons.TSMC and ASML will launch an industry-wide project to enlarge the photomask, which serves as the original circuit pattern, from the current 6-inch (approximately 15 centimeters) square to a 12-inch square, and develop high NA machines and related components corresponding to the large masks. A large mask pilot production line is planned to be established before 2031, and the high NA machines corresponding to the large masks are expected to reach a state suitable for advanced semiconductor production before 2033. Major semiconductor manufacturers and mask companies have expressed interest in participating.High NA machines can draw finer circuits, but the area that can be drawn in a single exposure is reduced to half that of traditional models, requiring multiple exposures for large chip circuits, which complicates the process and increases costs. Enlarging the photomask can expand the exposure area and reduce costs. TSMC Chairman and CEO C. C. Wei stated that the company will gather expertise from the entire industry to continuously promote technological innovation that makes advanced technology widely usable and convey its benefits.

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China released the "14th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Information and Communication Industry," setting the national intelligent computing power target at 9800 EFLOPS by 2030. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, as of the end of July, the national intelligent computing scale was approximately 2450 EFLOPS (FP16), indicating that it needs to expand by about 4 times in the next four years based on this standard.The plan proposes an orderly deployment of intelligent computing clusters with tens of thousands and hundreds of thousands of cards, building inference computing power for different scenarios, and increasing the adaptation of domestic computing power chips. Currently, 52 intelligent computing facilities with more than ten thousand cards have been established nationwide. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology disclosed that the intelligent computing power scale at the end of June was 2185 EFLOPS, a year-on-year increase of 177%. The plan uses 1590 EFLOPS in 2025 as a benchmark, aiming to reach 9800 EFLOPS by 2030, which is an expansion of about 6.2 times. During the same period, the cumulative investment target for information infrastructure in the information and communication industry is 3.8 trillion yuan, which also includes communication networks and is not all allocated for AI computing power.

U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis stated that if the Clarity Act fails to pass in this Congress, the next real opportunity to reintroduce market structure legislation will not come until 2030. Completing this work now could prevent wasting job opportunities, investments, and tax revenue in the coming years.

According to The Block, Bernstein expects that the Bitcoin mining company IREN will achieve an annual revenue of $17 billion from its AI cloud business by 2030, at which point cloud capacity will expand to approximately 2 gigawatts.Bernstein anticipates that IREN will cease its Bitcoin mining operations by the end of 2026 and notes that the pricing for three-year AI cloud contracts has increased by about 125% since last November.

According to Cointelegraph, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated that Bitcoin is expected to reach $1 million before 2030, citing factors such as the bursting of the AI bubble, massive money printing, and the potential implementation of yield curve control by the United States. He believes that $58,000 is likely the bottom for this round, and Bitcoin will experience a volatile upward trend.However, Hayes indicated that his current preference is Ethereum, believing it offers a better risk-reward ratio and is likely to achieve a rapid increase of 3 to 5 times, as Ethereum is the foundational layer of DeFi and is the only major cryptocurrency that has not yet broken through its historical high from 2021. He is more cautious about Hyperliquid, believing that its expectations are already fully reflected in the price, and that funds are better suited for deployment in other altcoin areas.Hayes also mentioned that Trump's influence on cryptocurrency prices is minimal, and that the real determinants of price are monetary authorities like the Federal Reserve. Regarding BitMEX's closure on September 23, he said, "I feel very good," believing that this is a voluntary shutdown according to their own wishes, rather than due to a hacking incident, and stated that operating an exchange without scale advantages is no longer profitable.

Rystad Energy's research predicts that data center developers will turn to on-site fuel cells due to grid congestion, with fuel cell market revenue expected to grow from approximately $2.8 billion in 2025 to about $30 billion by 2030, a tenfold increase. Signed orders amount to approximately 9 gigawatts, including framework agreements with Oracle, AEP, Equinix, and Brookfield.The current access time for large load grids in the United States is three to six years. Rystad Energy expects cumulative fuel cell demand for data centers from 2026 to 2030 to reach 10.4 gigawatts, with about 40% of the U.S. data center capacity in 2030 potentially utilizing on-site generation. North America is expected to account for 91% of global on-site generation installations. The total manufacturing capacity is expected to reach 4 gigawatts per year by 2030, up from the current 1.8 gigawatts. Solid oxide fuel cells account for approximately 53% of cumulative fixed deliveries, with Bloom Energy holding nearly all major load contracts in visible orders.

According to Nikkei Asia, SK Hynix CEO Kwak Noh-Jung stated that the global shortage of memory chips is expected to last until the end of 2030, with a low risk of oversupply. He pointed out that in the AI era, memory chips are no longer just "commodities," and there are currently no signs of oversupply or industry downturn; demand from AI customers remains strong.SK Hynix is a major supplier to NVIDIA. The report stated that the company remains open to further expanding its investments in the U.S. after launching its first HBM chip packaging plant in Indiana.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong stated in an interview: "I believe that in the coming years, by 2030, we are likely to see Bitcoin reach $300,000 and $400,000."

ChianCatcher news, former Coinbase CTO Balaji Srinivasan stated during an interview on a blog program under Cypherpunk that cryptocurrency is not only a business matter but also an ideological one. The banking and political systems have failed and need to withdraw to self-sovereignty, and the missing part is privacy.He pointed out that the two major innovations of Bitcoin are programmability represented by Ethereum and privacy represented by Zcash. From 2009 to 2017, Bitcoin's viability was proven; from 2017 to 2025, programmability's viability will be proven; and now, from around 2025 to 2030, is the privacy phase. Privacy means using ZK encryption for everything, including ZKYC, ZK DEX, and ZK smart contracts, to achieve the minimum necessary information. This may require modifications to the base layer, new L1, or entirely new companies, and ZK can technically attract high-IQ talent like AI.

The Chief Financial Officer of SanDisk stated that it is expected to obtain a total contract amount of $93.9 billion from 8 customers during the contract period, with a Non-GAAP gross margin of approximately 80% for the fiscal years 2028 to 2030, and a Non-GAAP operating profit margin expected to reach about 75%. It is anticipated that the adjusted free cash flow profit margin will remain at 50% for the fiscal years 2028 to 2030. The company stated that in the future, after fulfilling strategic investment and business development needs, it will return 100% of excess cash to shareholders.SanDisk expects that as the storage industry cycle improves and the demand for high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence infrastructure grows, the company's profitability will further enhance, and shareholder value will be increased through high-margin businesses and capital return strategies. This capital allocation plan shows that SanDisk will prioritize business expansion and strategic investments in the future while returning remaining cash to investors through stock buybacks, dividends, and other means.

Park Chang-min from Samsung Electronics Semiconductor Research Institute's Foundry Process Development Team stated at the "2026 Next Generation Lithography + Patterning Academic Conference" that the company plans to apply High-NA EUV technology starting from the 1-nanometer (A10) process, aiming for mass production around 2030. Samsung is currently still using the existing 0.33 NA EUV multiple patterning scheme for processes at 2 nanometers and below, with plans to achieve mass production of 1.4 nanometers by 2029, and then advance to 1 nanometer.High-NA EUV will increase the lens numerical aperture (NA) from 0.33 to 0.55, providing higher resolution, which can simplify ultra-fine processes that originally required multiple patterning into single patterning, helping to reduce manufacturing costs, improve production efficiency, and enhance design flexibility. However, this technology is highly challenging, equipment is expensive, and it requires simultaneous upgrades in supporting material technologies. Park Chang-min expects that the 1.4 nanometer and 1 nanometer processes will still primarily use 0.33 NA EUV multiple patterning, after which High-NA patterning will become the core technology of the new generation processes.

Standard Chartered Bank set a target price of $200 for the Chainlink token LINK by the end of 2030, indicating significant upside potential from the current level of around $8.The bank believes that the development of asset tokenization will continue to increase the demand for reliable on-chain data, and Chainlink is expected to play a key role in the infrastructure of traditional finance and decentralized finance.

According to MBN, South Korea's People Power Party member Jeong Seong-guk plans to propose a bill to postpone the implementation date for taxing virtual asset income by three years, from January 1, 2027, to January 1, 2030. The member pointed out that by delaying the implementation date until a comprehensive review of related systems, including the taxation of virtual assets, is completed, a safeguard can be established to enhance taxpayer expectations and prevent system chaos.According to current regulations, starting from January 1 of next year, income generated from the transfer or lending of virtual assets will be classified as "other income" and will be subject to income tax. Therefore, the portion of annual profits exceeding 2.5 million won will be taxed at a rate of 22%, which includes 20% for other income tax and 2% for local income tax. Amid recent stock market turmoil and soaring real estate prices triggering public attacks on the government and ruling party, the People Power Party seems to be trying to gain public support by actively proposing legislation aimed at protecting the interests of virtual asset market investors. The People Power Party has consistently opposed the government, advocating for the abolition of this tax.