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adjustment

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first_img Morgan Stanley: The adjustment of chip stocks has entered its final stage, with a year-end target of 8000 points for the S&P 500

Morgan Stanley's Chief Equity Strategist Mike Wilson stated that despite the cooling enthusiasm for artificial intelligence trading and recent pressure on U.S. stocks, he maintains his forecast for the S&P 500 index to close at 8000 points by the end of the year. Morgan Stanley has set a tactical downside target for the S&P 500 at 7100 to 7200 points, slightly below the 200-day moving average, while the basic year-end target remains at 8000 points. Wilson noted that several upcoming clearing events, including the midterm elections, should mark the end of the current stock market adjustment.Wilson is relatively cautious about the semiconductor sector, believing that support levels may be significantly lower than current levels, but selling pressure may ease next month. The strategy team stated that as the market questions the timing and scale of revenue realization related to artificial intelligence, the semiconductor and other capital expenditure beneficiary sectors have become the epicenter of financing concerns; there are new doubts about the cost of capital for some participants and whether the credit market can provide sufficient funds to support related expenditures, as governments and non-AI-related capital expenditures are also competing for funds. The team indicated that given the possibility of more financing plans in the future, it is normal for the market to focus on the supply side, but this concern will persist until financing is completed.The five-year credit default swaps of the highly leveraged new cloud service provider CoreWeave closed above 1100 basis points last week, implying a default probability of about 50% on its debt within five years. Wilson's team believes that the adjustment in the semiconductor sector has entered its final stage, expecting this round of adjustment to end by mid-November; however, based on technical analysis and comparisons with the once-hot silver market, the sector may decline another 10% to 15% from current levels, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index potentially dipping to around 9500 points. Last week, the Nasdaq Composite Index fell a cumulative 0.7%, with a total decline of over 5% in the past two weeks; on Monday, Anthropic's public IPO prospectus boosted the AI sector, leading chip stocks to rise, and the Nasdaq Composite Index increased by 0.82%, closing at 26169.38 points.

The Ethena Foundation announced four major adjustments to the ecosystem: repurchasing ENA and canceling monthly VC unlocks

According to official news, the Ethena Foundation announced four adjustments to the Ethena ecosystem, including repurchasing locked tokens held by early investors, further aligning the value of tokens with equity, launching a governance proposal for income to repurchase ENA, and canceling future monthly unlocks for VC investors.The Ethena Foundation stated that it has completed the acquisition of all locked ENA tokens from some major seed round investors who had sold ENA in the past 9 months. Regarding the alignment of token and equity value, the Ethena Foundation and Ethena Labs have reached a "Master Framework Agreement," which stipulates that the intellectual property and value generated by the agreement will exclusively belong to the foundation and be governed by ENA holders, while equity investors in Labs entities will no longer enjoy residual cash flow.In addition, the governance proposal for income to repurchase ENA has been launched. According to the proposal, the net income generated by all business lines under the Ethena brand will be used for programmatic repurchase of ENA, and the proposal has been approved by the Risk Committee. The Ethena Foundation also stated that it has reached an agreement with major investors to eliminate the selling pressure caused by future monthly unlocks for VC investors by releasing unallocated tokens. Team tokens will still remain locked according to the original allocation plan.
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