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On October 20, 2026, Jason Pagoulatos, a macro and market author at the cryptocurrency research institution Delphi Digital, released a report titled "The House Always Wins: Why Speculation is the Theme of This Decade." Pagoulatos stated that speculation has two long-term engines: constructive and lottery-like. Technological changes open the former, while fiscal and political pressures open the latter; historically, many famous bubbles have been driven by one or the other. Today, both are operating at high speed simultaneously, and the same batch of technologies is feeding both. He thus considers speculation itself as an investable theme, advocating for holding places for liquidation bets rather than holding the bets themselves.The data cited in the report includes that the U.S. federal deficit for fiscal year 2025 is $1.8 trillion, about 5.8% of GDP, with net interest around $1 trillion per year, exceeding defense spending. The Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies states that the national median price for single-family homes in 2024 is 5.0 times the median household income; the National Association of Realtors reports that first-time homebuyers account for 21% of transactions, with a median age of 40. According to the American Gaming Association, legal sports betting amounts have risen from $6.6 billion in 2018 to $166.9 billion in 2025. Capital expenditures for Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta are approximately $416 billion for 2025, with guidance for 2026 totaling about $720 billion to $745 billion, plus Oracle.In terms of venues, Robinhood's event contract revenue for Q2 2026 is $156 million, higher than stock revenue of $129 million and crypto revenue of $100 million during the same period. Hyperliquid's expenses for 2025 are about $972 million, with transactions around $3 trillion. Kalshi reportedly raised funds at a valuation of about $40 billion, and Polymarket is set to relaunch in the U.S. by the end of 2025. The author also mentions that the most likely mistake is to hold inventory of the crowd and call it a casino. The report states that it is for educational and general informational purposes only and is not investment advice; the author may hold Bitcoin, HYPE, HOOD, and LIT, and affiliated party Delphi Ventures may invest in the assets or agreements discussed in the report.

The Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) has issued a circular on the audit of reserve assets, clarifying the minimum requirements for independent audits of Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASP). VASP must maintain reserves of no less than 100% of customer liabilities throughout the review period and hold the same virtual assets in a 1:1 ratio, conducting daily reconciliations.The audit scope must cover hot wallets, warm wallets, cold wallets, third-party wallet infrastructure, and third-party custodial assets, and verify customer asset segregation, wallet control, and whether there is any re-staking, lending, or other usage scenarios.

Aave posted on platform X stating: Multiple user experience optimizations have been made for Aave App, Aave Pro, and Aave V3, and they thank the community for their feedback.Aave also launched the Ghost Pass benefit, allowing users to publish their high scores and receive a Ghost Pass.

According to CryptoBriefing, the Bitcoin wallet Xverse has launched a joint Bitcoin staking service, allowing users to pair sBTC with STX tokens to participate in the Stacks PoX-5 locking period. During the staking period, Bitcoin remains on the Bitcoin mainnet and is controlled by the users, without the need for cross-chain or wrapping. This feature requires an upgrade to the Xverse v2.9 version wallet.Registration will close on September 9 or when the quota is used up. Staking rewards are expected to be distributed starting September 10 (Bitcoin block 966350, corresponding to Stacks' 143rd period). Institutions such as UTXO (a subsidiary of Nakamoto Inc.), HashKey Cloud, and 21shares have joined as anchor participants. Previously, Xverse managed approximately 152 million STX in non-custodial staking.

The sports merchandise platform Fanatics will acquire the federally regulated exchange and clearinghouse under BGC to launch and settle its own prediction market business.Fanatics and BGC also plan to develop new market data products that combine prediction market activities with traditional financial market data. This deal allows Fanatics to enter the prediction market space, competing alongside platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse stated that after the SEC sued in 2020, he and co-founder Chris Larsen seriously considered shutting down the company and distributing their XRP holdings to shareholders. Garlinghouse mentioned that they chose to fight the SEC instead of closing the company, a decision that preserved hundreds of jobs but resulted in Ripple paying about $150 million in legal fees over four years.Ripple ultimately won the case after a federal judge ruled that XRP itself is not a security. The case was settled last year after changes in SEC leadership, with the new leadership taking a more lenient stance on cryptocurrency.

According to The Block, the entertainment sector on-chain clearinghouse KOR Protocol announced the completion of a $7.5 million Series A financing round, with a valuation of $100 million. Investors include 1kx, Blockchain Capital, as well as previous investors Republic Crypto, Sfermion, Alumni Ventures, and SevenX.KOR Protocol is building an on-chain creative asset clearing platform for the registration, verification, and settlement of creative works such as music and film, and will provide programmable revenue sharing to creators and rights holders through stablecoins like USDC.KOR stated that this round of funding will be used for platform development, ecosystem growth, and partner integration, and plans to launch a token.

According to The Block, the decentralized lending protocol Aave saw its deposit scale surpass $100 million about two days after launching the V3 market on the Monad network. Aave deployed the V3 version on July 3, introducing lending functions and the GHO stablecoin to the network for the first time, initially supporting 12 assets including USDT 0, USDC, GHO, WETH, and cbBTC. Within 24 hours of launch, the deposit scale had already exceeded $75 million.According to the Aave governance proposal, the Monad Foundation has committed to providing $15 million in incentives over the next 12 months and to purchase and hold 10 million GHO for at least 6 months; the Aave DAO will also provide an additional 500,000 GHO to support the development of the stablecoin ecosystem.In addition, Aave founder Stani Kulechov stated that the deposit scale of Aave V4 on the Ethereum mainnet has also surpassed $250 million, setting a historical high for this version. He expressed hope that the future deposit scale of V4 will further grow to $1 billion and continue to expand into crypto asset collateralized loans and securities-backed lending businesses.

Aave has deployed the V3 lending protocol on Monad, with the initial market supporting a total of 12 assets: USDT 0, USDC, Aave stablecoin GHO, USDe, mUSD, AUSD, WETH, cbBTC, wstETH, weETH, syrupUSDC, and sUSDe. In this deployment, Aave has enabled the Chainlink Smart Value Recovery mechanism (SVR) at launch for the first time, which can return part of the MEV value generated during the liquidation process back to the protocol.The Monad Foundation will invest $15 million as incentive funds within the first 12 months after the project launch and has agreed to purchase 10 million GHO and hold it for at least six months; Aave DAO has also committed to invest 500,000 GHO as incentives to support applications on Monad.

The Web3 asset data platform RootData has outlined 40 partners of Aave, covering multiple layers such as TradFi/RWA, stablecoins, infrastructure, wallets, DeFi protocols, exchanges, and custody. From its early focus on the lending efficiency of crypto assets to competing for on-chain dollar liquidity after the launch of GHO, Aave seems to be defining an interest rate system for on-chain dollars. At the TradFi and RWA layer, institutions like BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, VanEck, and JPMorgan are prominently featured, along with RWA platforms such as Centrifuge, OpenEden, and Securitize, indicating that Aave is no longer satisfied with lending native crypto assets but is attempting to meet the financing needs of real-world assets on-chain. At the stablecoin layer, partners like Circle, Tether, Ethena, Ripple, and Plasma suggest that Aave is competing for the on-chain "dollar liquidity" entry point. Whoever controls stablecoin deposits is closer to on-chain interest rate pricing power. At the infrastructure layer, partners like Chainlink, ConsenSys, Flashbots, and Mantle provide Aave with price oracles, MEV optimization, and multi-chain expansion capabilities. At the user distribution layer, wallet partners like MetaMask, Ledger, Bitget Wallet, Privy, and Turnkey are lowering the entry barriers for users; meanwhile, institutional channels like Kraken, Bybit, and Fireblocks further amplify the capital entry points. DeFi protocols such as Pendle, Maple Finance, and CoW Swap extend Aave's liquidity into fixed income, institutional lending, and trading scenarios. The recent rsETH/Kelp risk event caused Aave's TVL to drop from a peak of $44 billion to $15 billion, once again testing the risk management capabilities of this established DeFi protocol. Related collection: Aave Web3 Partner Network Collection (continuously updated) Cryptocurrency projects actively showcasing their partner networks have become a key way to enhance transparency and market trust. It is reported that RootData welcomes Web3 projects to claim their information and continues to track and open more project business relationship disclosure channels. The platform has released multiple editions of crypto project ecosystem maps, nominating Web3 ecosystem partners for upstream clients like Visa, Mastercard, and Coinbase. If you wish to nominate your project in future ecosystem maps, please fill out the [RootData 2026 Industry Ecosystem Mapping] form to supplement your important clients and partners.

Polymarket announced the latest developments and feature updates, including the launch of measures to mitigate latency spam to ensure order placement and cancellation operations, fixing the "insufficient balance/authorization" error, and another core issue affecting limit buy orders is expected to be resolved in the coming days.In addition, Polymarket stated that it has identified and banned multiple clusters of ghost-fill accounts, which were all created before the deposit wallet system went live. Currently, any occurrence of ghost-fill behavior will be identified and banned, and the deposit wallet system will also prevent the continued bulk creation of new accounts. More updates will be released in the coming week to address previously outstanding issues.

Polymarket announced the latest progress on feature updates, including the launch of measures to mitigate latency spam to ensure order placement and cancellation operations, fixing the "insufficient balance/authorization" error, and another core issue affecting limit buy orders is expected to be resolved in the coming days.In addition, Polymarket stated that it has identified and banned multiple clusters of ghost-fill accounts, all of which were created before the deposit wallet system went live. Any account exhibiting ghost-fill behavior will be identified and banned, and the deposit wallet system will also prevent non-compliant accounts from continuing to create new accounts in bulk. More updates will be released in the coming week to address previously outstanding issues.

According to Fortune, former a16z crypto investor Sam Broner announced the co-founding of The Better Money Company with his college friend Adam Zuckerman, completing a $10 million seed round financing, led by a16z crypto, with participation from BoxGroup and Sunflower Capital, along with angel investors such as Circle co-founder Sean Neville and former Microsoft executive Charlie Songhurst.The company aims to establish a stablecoin clearinghouse, providing customers with low-cost services to exchange different dollar-pegged tokens. Broner previously worked at a16z crypto for over two years, focusing on investments in the stablecoin sector. Zuckerman worked at Latham & Watkins law firm before serving as General Counsel at Eigen Labs.The two founded the company last November and have already secured commitments from several issuers, including Paxos, Bridge under Stripe, and MoonPay, planning to support all tokens that comply with the signed and effective Genius Act, excluding USDT, while its U.S. version USAT is unaffected. The product has not yet been publicly launched and is expected to be open to customers in the coming weeks.

According to Cryptopolitan, a new type of malware called GhostClaw is targeting cryptocurrency wallets on macOS devices.This malware disguised itself as a legitimate OpenClaw CLI tool and was present in the npm registry for a week before being removed after infecting 178 developers. Once developers run the "npm install" command, a hidden script globally installs the GhostClaw package and evades detection through obfuscated configuration files. GhostClaw scans the clipboard every three seconds, capturing private keys, seed phrases, public keys, and other cryptocurrency wallet and transaction-related data.After the second stage payload is downloaded, GhostLoader scans for cryptocurrency wallet data in the Chromium browser, macOS Keychain, and system storage, clones browser sessions to gain access to logged-in wallets, and steals API Tokens that connect to AI platforms such as OpenAI and Anthropic. The stolen data is sent to the attackers via Telegram, GoFile, and command servers.

According to SeekingAlpha, Bitcoin mining company Cango released its unaudited financial report for the full year and fourth quarter of 2025. The total revenue for the year was $688.1 million, with Bitcoin mining revenue of $675.5 million. A total of 6,594.6 Bitcoins were mined throughout the year, averaging 18.07 Bitcoins per day, and the adjusted EBITDA for the year was $24.51 million.In the fourth quarter, revenue was $179.5 million, with 1,718.3 Bitcoins mined. However, due to the decline in Bitcoin prices, impairment losses on mining machines ($338.3 million), and fair value adjustments, the net loss from continuing operations for the year was $452.8 million, and the adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was -$156.3 million. Additionally, in the fourth quarter, the cash cost per Bitcoin mining machine was close to a high of $84,000.As of the end of 2025, the company held $41.23 million in cash, had long-term related party debt of $557.6 million, and sold 4,451 Bitcoins in February of this year to repay part of its debt and reduce financial leverage.

According to CoinTelegraph, Riot Platforms announced that the company's revenue for 2025 reached $647.4 million, a 72% increase from $376.7 million the previous year. The net loss was $663 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $13 million.The company mined a total of 5,686 bitcoins throughout the year. Excluding depreciation, the average cost to mine one bitcoin rose from $32,216 in 2024 to $49,645.Riot Games holds 18,005 bitcoins on its balance sheet at the end of 2025, including 3,977 bitcoins used as collateral.

According to monitoring, Vitalik Buterin has once again sold 428.57 ETH for 850,178 GHO, and is likely to continue selling.Since February 2, he has sold a total of 7,386 ETH, with a total value of approximately 15.51 million USD, at an average price of about 2,100 USD per coin.

Coinbase released its Q4 and full-year financial report for 2025. Despite the overall downturn in the crypto market, Coinbase achieved several historical highs, with trading volume and market share doubling, although Q4 revenue slightly missed expectations and recorded a net loss.In Q4, Coinbase reported a net loss of $667 million, with a loss per share of $2.49, far exceeding analyst expectations. Total revenue was $1.78 billion, a decrease of 5% quarter-over-quarter and approximately 22% year-over-year, falling short of market expectations of $1.83 billion to $1.85 billion. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.66, with adjusted net income of $178 million and adjusted EBITDA of $566 million.Q4 was challenging for Coinbase, but the full-year performance was strong, with total trading volume reaching $5.2 trillion, a year-over-year increase of 156%. The crypto trading market share doubled to approximately 6.4%, and subscription and service revenue grew by 23% to about $2.8 billion. The number of Coinbase One paid subscribers approached 1 million, and platform assets and USDC balances reached all-time highs.Coinbase stated that it is advancing its "Everything Exchange" strategy, which includes the expansion of derivatives and stablecoin payments. Despite short-term pressures from the bear market, Coinbase still views 2025 as a strong year and remains optimistic about product innovation and market recovery in 2026.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Vitalik Buterin (0xfeb...03b2) has sold 211 ETH again, exchanging it for 491,000 GHO. Currently, he has sold a total of 704 ETH, exchanging it for 1.65 million USD in GHO, and he performs a selling operation every 2 hours.