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DeGods founder Frank: Anthropic's prospectus cannot hide the investment risks in AI

The founder and trader of the NFT project DeGods, Frank, posted on X that although Anthropic's latest S-1 shows strong revenue growth, it cannot be concluded that the resistance to AI investment has disappeared. He stated that the second quarter of 2026 will be a peak for companies to purchase and consume AI Tokens in large quantities, and the market will only begin to pay attention to AI spending management by July; the rise in model homogeneity and the narrowing of output differences may intensify competition and compress profit margins, a trend that has not yet fully manifested in the second quarter.Frank also mentioned that there is still a lack of clear evidence proving that AI can create more profits for most companies, and Anthropic's large enterprise clients are also under pressure to improve their profit margins, which may lead to cuts in spending related to Claude in the future. Large tech companies and AI labs have signed capital expenditure commitments extending to 2034, and related expectations may have already been factored into stock prices; if companies improve the efficiency of existing chips to reduce costs or issue more shares to raise additional capital expenditure, it could put pressure on the valuations of related stocks. He expressed a long-term optimistic view on AI and may participate significantly in the Anthropic IPO, but believes that the ultimate winners in the industry have yet to be determined, and real investment opportunities may only emerge after the current market cycle ends.

first_img Self-proclaimed "Godfather" Adam Iza was sentenced to 78 months for fraud against Meta and hiring police officers

The U.S. Attorney's Office for the Central District of California stated that a 26-year-old man, Adam Iza, who calls himself the "Godfather," has been sentenced to 78 months in prison and must pay $23.4 million in restitution. He pleaded guilty in January 2025 to charges of conspiracy to violate rights, wire fraud, and tax evasion, and has been in custody since September 2024. This sentence will run concurrently with the 15-year sentence he received last month for an attempted Bitcoin robbery, which will not increase his actual time served.From August 2021 to April 2022, Iza hired off-duty Los Angeles County police officers as private security and admitted to conspiring with them to obtain law enforcement confidential records and personal data of individuals he had disputes with, obtaining court-authorized search warrants to track these individuals, and having the officers intimidate and threaten them. The Department of Justice stated that five former officers have been convicted for working for him, including 42-year-old Eric Chase Saavedra, who set up a security company providing these officers, and was sentenced to 21 months; 45-year-old Michael David Coberg, who assisted in extorting rivals and arranged false drug arrests, is serving a 63-month sentence. The prosecution wrote in the sentencing memorandum that wealthy individuals cannot buy "search warrants, arrests, badges, or guns" for private disputes.In another fraud case, since December 2020, Iza gained access to a Meta Business Manager account and its associated credit line, reselling it to advertising companies, with Meta clients being charged for ads they never purchased. After discovering this, Meta refunded the clients and absorbed the losses.

Behind the collapse of the "AI Stock God" Leopold Fund: abandoning the sale of Anthropic equity and turning to discounted sales of public stocks

According to Wall St Engine, "AI stock god" Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness fund faced liquidity pressure during the market crash in July, with behind-the-scenes details revealed.The report states that after the market rapidly cooled in mid-July, the decline in stocks held by Situational Awareness triggered margin monitoring by banks such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, leading to margin calls.Insiders said that other hedge funds began shorting related stocks after learning about its positions, creating a cycle of "price drop → margin call → forced selling → further price decline."In late July, while Leopold was hosting a wedding in Carmel, he continued negotiations with his team to maintain fund operations. On the evening of July 29, he reached a preliminary agreement with a consortium led by Greenoaks and Sequoia Capital to sell approximately $3.5 billion in Anthropic equity.However, in the early hours of July 30, before the U.S. stock market opened, Leopold changed his decision, opting to retain the private equity portfolio and instead sell publicly traded stocks. Subsequently, Citadel and Millennium entered negotiations with the fund team, and Citadel ultimately acquired most of the fund's public stock investment portfolio at a discount of more than 10% below market value before Thursday's opening.This transaction helped Situational Awareness meet margin requirements and avoid formal default. After the deal was completed, related AI and semiconductor stocks rebounded on Thursday, benefiting Citadel.As of around July 31, Situational Awareness disclosed to investors that the fund had a net loss of about 67% in July, but was still up about 80% for the year. Leopold stated that he "takes full responsibility" for the incident, and the fund has removed bank leverage, planning to continue operations and invest in the public market while adjusting its portfolio management and risk control systems.
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