q3

Meta released its Q2 2026 financial report, with revenue of $60.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28%, slightly above the market expectation of $60.3 billion; net profit of $15.85 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 14%; earnings per share of $6.18, a year-on-year decrease of 13%. Advertising revenue was $59.36 billion, a year-on-year increase of 27%, with ad impressions increasing by 14% and average price rising by 12%. Operating profit decreased by 8% year-on-year to $18.78 billion, and the operating profit margin fell from 43% to 31%. Total costs and expenses surged by 55% year-on-year to $42 billion, which includes $2.4 billion in legal litigation expenses and $1.18 billion in layoff costs.The revenue guidance for Q3 is $61 billion to $64 billion, with a midpoint of $62.5 billion, below the market expectation of $63.2 billion. The full-year capital expenditure guidance has been adjusted from $125 billion to $145 billion to $130 billion to $145 billion. Free cash flow was only $784 million, significantly shrinking year-on-year, reaching a nearly four-year low. Meta also narrowed its full-year expense guidance for 2026 to $165 billion to $169 billion, maintaining the expectation of "operating profit above 2025." Zuckerberg stated, "AI is accelerating our core business, and the results are beginning to show." After the financial report was released, Meta's after-hours stock price briefly fell over 10%.

Visa announced its third-quarter financial report for fiscal year 2026, with revenue of $11.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14%. Payment transaction volume, cross-border transaction volume, and processed transactions all achieved double-digit growth. In the earnings call, Visa outlined its stablecoin strategy, stating that it is actively investing in various levels of the stablecoin stack, including blockchain, issuance, wallets, infrastructure, and applications. The company announced its membership in the OpenStandard alliance, which plans to issue the OpenUSD stablecoin for global capital flow.The Visa stablecoin platform will provide partners with stablecoin settlement, on-chain wallet-as-a-service infrastructure, and exchange services between fiat and stablecoins, initially supporting OpenUSD. The platform will also integrate with Pismo to provide tokenized deposit support for financial institutions and plans to introduce third-party tokenized deposit infrastructure providers in the future. Visa views stablecoins and AI as complementary technologies, believing that "agent commerce will expand the reachable market and drive future growth." Cross-border transaction volume increased by 13% year-on-year, while processed transaction volume grew by 10%.

According to the Q3 2026 signal report released by Fidelity Digital Assets, the prices of BTC, ETH, and SOL are generally at historical lows, with multiple indicators close to the capitulation zone. Fidelity believes that the current valuation levels may correspond to attractive long-term entry conditions.As of the end of Q2, the weighted net unrealized profit and loss (NUPL) was -0.01, with BTC being the only asset with a positive unrealized profit, approximately 10% above its cost basis, with an unrealized profit of about $108 billion, while ETH and SOL were approximately 30% and 41% below their cost bases, with unrealized losses of about $87 billion and $29 billion, respectively. BTC's market share rose to 68% quarter-over-quarter.The report states that, based on historical backtesting, the current NUPL readings for the three correspond to one-year median returns of 53%, 70%, and 542%, respectively, but the reliability of the samples decreases sequentially. The NUPL reading for SOL has only occurred 21 times in history, concentrated at the end of 2025, which has limited statistical significance.On the fundamental side, the value of stablecoin transfers for both ETH and SOL has reached new highs, exceeding $20 trillion and $2.6 trillion, respectively, over the past 12 months, but network fee revenue continues to decline.Additionally, the report attributes the 22% decline in BTC hash rate from its peak to miners shifting their computing power towards AI and high-performance computing, as AI contract revenues are more stable due to the depressed coin prices.

Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted on the X platform that the second quarter's dormant Bitcoin awakening volume hit a new low since the third quarter of 2022, significantly decreasing from the high levels of 2024 and 2025.

Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode released the report "Charting Crypto Q3 2026," maintaining a neutral outlook on the crypto market.The report shows that on-chain data indicates Bitcoin may be transitioning from a correction phase to an accumulation phase, but the Fed's hawkish stance, weak spot ETF demand, and geopolitical risks continue to pressure the market outlook.

According to the Bitwise "Q3 2026 Staking Report," Q2 2026 presents a divergent pattern of "increased on-chain activity and decreased fee revenue," with the core driving factor being various protocols actively reducing block space costs.In terms of core data across chains, Ethereum's active staking volume reached a historic high of 40.2 million ETH (accounting for 33% of the total supply), while network revenue decreased by 51% year-on-year to $64 million, although it rebounded in ETH terms quarter-on-quarter; Solana's Q2 Real Economic Value (REV) dropped to $51 million, significantly down from the peak of $812 million in Q1 2025, but non-voting transaction volume reached 9.8 billion, maintaining resilience in on-chain activity; Hyperliquid's Q2 total protocol revenue was $174.8 million, with perpetual contract trading volume reaching $65.2 billion, and the proportion of non-crypto assets (commodities, stock indices, etc.) rose to 32%; Avalanche C chain's transaction volume grew approximately fourfold year-on-year to 236 million transactions, but network revenue plummeted due to a significant drop in fees, leaving only $330,000; NEAR saw a dramatic 75% drop in on-chain transaction volume to 77.7 million transactions due to the collapse of Kai-Ching application activity, but the Intents execution layer generated fees approximately 68 times that of the base chain.In terms of institutional adoption, BlackRock launched an Ethereum staking ETF (ETHB), Coinbase and Circle each staked 500,000 HYPE, and Bitwise, 21Shares, and Grayscale successively launched HYPE spot ETFs. Additionally, the stablecoin payment chain Tempo, incubated by Stripe and Paradigm, processed $386 million in transfers in its first quarter, while the global payroll platform Deel distributed approximately $30 million to 7,200 contractors through this chain.

According to official social media news, Andy Liu, head and chief analyst of HTX Research, will be a guest at the fifth session of the Huobi Celebrity Lecture today at 19:00 (UTC+8). This session is themed "Q3 2026 Outlook: Liquidity Defines the Crypto Market." Andy will delve into "The New Order of the Crypto Market Under Global Liquidity Repricing," analyzing changes in global macro liquidity, core trading logic in the Q3 crypto market, institutional capital allocation directions, and key track opportunities, helping investors grasp the key variables in the new market cycle.

CryptoQuant data shows that in Q1 2026, the total loan size of the CeFi credit market decreased by 6% quarter-on-quarter to $23.3 billion, marking the first contraction across the industry since Q3 2024. The reduction in loan size is attributed to crypto users reducing leverage during the bear market.Tether remains the largest lender, with a loan size of $15.8 billion and a market share of 68%, followed by Maple Finance ($2.1 billion, 9%) and Nexo ($1.8 billion, 8%). Market share is shifting towards Maple, Nexo, and Coinbase, with the three experiencing increases of 1.0, 0.5, and 0.7 percentage points respectively during the quarter. Coinbase and Maple saw loan sizes grow by approximately 6% quarter-on-quarter, while Nexo recorded nearly 1% growth, making them the only three major lenders to experience growth. The remaining institutions saw a contraction in loan sizes, with Galaxy Digital (-21%) and Ledn (-19%) leading the declines, while Tether's loan size decreased by 7%.

According to a report by Sina Finance, Micron Technology (MU) released its financial report for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026. Driven by strong demand for high bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced storage solutions in the AI and data center markets, Micron's total revenue for the quarter reached $41.46 billion, a significant increase from $9.3 billion in the same period last year, setting a historical high for the same period. Among them, the DRAM business performed exceptionally well, accounting for approximately 77% of total revenue, becoming the core performance contribution segment.Financial data shows that Micron's GAAP net profit for the third quarter was $28.24 billion (diluted earnings per share of $24.67), and non-GAAP net profit was $28.86 billion (diluted earnings per share of $25.11), with operating cash flow for the period reaching $25.39 billion. In addition, Micron has currently signed multiple strategic customer agreements to support long-term growth, and the market will focus on its progress in addressing potential supply constraints and capacity expansion. It is expected that its new wafer fabrication plants will provide substantial performance increments for the company starting from fiscal year 2028.

Most institutional investors believe that Bitcoin still has room for further decline, and the overall market sentiment is cautious. Macroeconomic uncertainty, tightening liquidity, ETF fund outflows, and the shift of funds towards areas like AI may still exert pressure on BTC prices. David Grider, a partner at Finality Capital, stated that the firm expects the market bottom in this cycle may not appear until the end of the third quarter or the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2026, and believes that Bitcoin may complete its bottoming process in the range of $45,000 to $55,000. Even among some investors who believe the market is close to the bottom, there is a general expectation of no strong rebound in the short term.Research shows that most funds are currently increasing cash positions, reducing directional risk exposure, and adopting more market-neutral, hedging, and derivative strategies to cope with volatility. Meanwhile, institutional funds continue to focus on fundamentally strong areas such as DeFi, AI, and tokenized assets, rather than purely allocating to Bitcoin. Institutions generally believe that the high interest rate environment, liquidity contraction, geopolitical risks, and the flow of funds towards growth sectors like AI are the main downside risks facing the current market. In addition, some funds have also identified the leverage financing model of Strategy and the development of quantum computing as emerging risk factors in this cycle.Regarding the year-end trend, the funds surveyed did not provide a Bitcoin target price above $100,000. Some institutions expect BTC to fluctuate in the range of $40,000 to $80,000 within the year and believe that improvements in interest rate cut expectations, a recovery in liquidity, and progress on the U.S. CLARITY Act may become important catalysts for market recovery.

The white-haired stock god stated that NVIDIA and Google are advancing the early application of 800V direct current (DC) power architecture, with related small batch shipments expected to start in the third quarter of 2026. It is reported that this technology will first be applied to NVIDIA's Vera Rubin platform and Google's next-generation AI data centers.Due to the acceleration of this process, the power semiconductor and data center infrastructure sectors are expected to receive significant boosts. Currently, the supply chain companies regarded as core beneficiaries include Delta Electronics (2308), Vertiv (VRT), Songchuan Precision (7788), as well as Schneider Electric, Eaton, and Siemens.

According to Cointelegraph, the Deputy Minister of Finance of Vietnam stated that the country may officially launch the cryptocurrency market in the third quarter of 2026.

Story Protocol has postponed the unlocking of early investor and team tokens originally scheduled for February 2026 by 6 months to August of this year, in order to reduce short-term selling pressure and market volatility.This plan has been agreed upon by major investment firms such as a16z and Polychain Capital. The board stated that this move aims to avoid anticipated sell-offs before the unlocking and will use the next 6 months to promote revenue growth, validate PMF, and collaborate with a large AI company. After the adjustment, investors will unlock 25% of their tokens 18 months after the TGE, with the remaining portion released monthly in a linear fashion before the 42nd month.