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According to Jinshi reports, institutions are conducting a forward-looking analysis of the voting situation at the Federal Reserve meeting. TD Securities and JPMorgan expect two hawkish dissenting votes, mainly from Harker and Logan. Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Citibank believe that one or two officials may dissent in support of a rate hike.UBS predicts that if the interest rate remains unchanged, there will likely be 8 to 10 votes in favor. Prediction markets indicate that the probability of Harker and Logan casting dissenting votes is both 58%.

According to Jin Shi reports, on Wednesday, Korean retail investors faced forced liquidations of approximately 1.7 trillion won (about 1.2 billion USD) in positions.Jung In Yun, CEO of Fibonacci Asset Management, stated, "Today there are many cases of forced liquidations, and we need to wait until the selling sentiment of retail investors eases before taking action."

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the Bitcoin funding rate is showing typical signals before the significant increases in September 2024 and December 2022, indicating that pessimism may have recently peaked.From March to May, Bitcoin corrected over 50%, and the accumulation of short positions pushed the funding rate down to negative values. Subsequently, BTC rebounded to $82,000 in May. This signal has appeared again, potentially leaving room for a bullish reconstruction in the coming months. This indicator has been transformed into a monthly sentiment aggregation tool, which is more effective than the Fear and Greed Index.

Justin Ryan Schmidt, the founder of the cryptocurrency investment fund Translunar Crypto LP, has been sentenced to 37 months in prison by a U.S. court for tax evasion. The U.S. Department of Justice stated that the 46-year-old Schmidt pleaded guilty this year in federal court in Austin, Texas, where he was accused of underreporting income, declaring less than $5,000 in income from 2020 to 2022, while prosecutors claimed he actually earned over $7 million through fund operations from 2019 to 2022.It is reported that Schmidt founded Translunar in 2017, primarily investing in blockchain startups, with funding mainly coming from investors in the Austin area of Texas and Aspen, Colorado. He was arrested by the IRS Criminal Investigation Division on February 23, 2026, and has been in custody since then.

According to Decrypt, the Myanmar parliament passed a law on Tuesday that allows for the death penalty for those who coerce others into engaging in online fraud through violence or illegal detention.According to the draft bill released in May this year, if such abusive behavior results in the death of the victim, the death penalty should be imposed. The new law also stipulates that individuals operating online fraud parks or implementing "digital currency fraud (cryptocurrency fraud)" can be sentenced to life imprisonment; while criminals who commit violent coercion, illegal detention, and other acts can be sentenced to 10 years to life imprisonment.

According to Jinshi reports, Pruis stated that the number of dissenting votes at this week's Federal Reserve meeting will be closely monitored as an indicator of the degree of disagreement within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The voting results are expected to be 10 votes in favor and 2 votes against, with Logan and Hamak voting against, advocating for a 25 basis point rate hike. If dissenting votes exceed three, even if the rate remains unchanged in July, it will be a clearer signal indicating that the committee is moving towards a rate hike in September.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "LoL Dignitas vs. Sentinels LCS Regular Season" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Odd Total Kills" option in the sub-market has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, soaring from 50.5% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 39.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to a report by The Paper, the Intermediate People's Court of Xilin Gol League in Inner Mongolia upheld the original verdict in the second trial of the case involving Ma for illegal business operations. This case is part of a series of cases where the Sifang payment platform provided funding and payment settlement for gambling platforms. Some defendants in this case were accused of receiving commissions or rebates in the form of virtual currencies such as USDT.It was found that from May 24, 2022, to October 18, 2023, Ma and four others illegally collected and paid funds through third-party payment accounts, and received USDT virtual currency and bank card payments through virtual wallets. They settled amounts exceeding 2.95 billion yuan through 105 merchants of 10 third-party payment companies.Ultimately, the court determined that Ma was guilty of illegal business operations, sentencing him to four years and six months in prison and imposing a fine of 3 million yuan. The five individuals who turned themselves in have been sentenced to prison terms ranging from 3 to 6 years for illegal business operations.

Former Fox Business reporter Eleanor Terrett stated that the U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce (USHCC), which claims to represent millions of Hispanic businesses across the country, sent a letter to Senate leaders this week expressing concerns similar to those of community banks that the Clarity Act could accelerate deposit outflows. The organization believes that the bill will reduce loans to Hispanic small businesses and weaken investments in underserved communities.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the outflow of stablecoins from Binance and Bybit in the past 30 days exceeded $2.3 billion, leading to a depletion of Bitcoin liquidity. Bitcoin has been testing the critical price level of $60,000 for nearly 165 days. Although it briefly broke through $80,000 in May, it failed to maintain or reignite the upward momentum of Bitcoin.One of the reasons for this situation is the lack of new liquidity flowing into the market. Whether through direct investment in Bitcoin or investment in the entire crypto market, new demand has been difficult to realize. Observing the changes in stablecoin reserves at exchanges, the situation has been particularly poor since the beginning of the year, with a nearly continuous decline, reflecting that outflows are significantly exceeding inflows. In just the past 30 days, Binance's stablecoin reserves have decreased by $1.55 billion, while Bybit lost $786 million during the same period. The decline in reserves sends a clear signal: demand and liquidity are shrinking, and investors seem inclined to withdraw stablecoins from exchanges or even exit the market entirely. Therefore, it is this still overly pessimistic overall market sentiment that continues to deprive Bitcoin of the resources needed to break through the current consolidation range.

Glassnode data shows that the sentiment in the BTC options market is gradually turning positive. As prices rebound, the BTC implied volatility index DVOL has decreased from 48 to 40, indicating that the panic premium accumulated in June is partially retreating. However, the current volatility is still higher than the May low, suggesting that while market uncertainty has eased, it has not completely dissipated.Meanwhile, the BTC options open interest Put/Call ratio has dropped to about 0.59, reaching a six-month low, indicating that traders are significantly reducing downside hedging and re-establishing bullish exposure. Glassnode believes that this change reflects a constructive improvement in options market sentiment.From the position structure, BTC is currently hovering around $63,000, still below the dense negative gamma range of $68,000 to $70,000. If the price further enters this range, it may trigger stronger pro-cyclical market maker hedging behavior and amplify market volatility.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a wallet suspected to be related to Lombard Finance (bc1qg...cnx3n) sent 750 BTC to Galaxy Digital, worth approximately 47.8 million USD, possibly related to OTC trading.

According to Bits.media, Anatoly Aksakov, chairman of the Financial Market Committee of the State Duma of Russia, stated that the second and third readings of the criminal liability bill for illegal cryptocurrency transactions will be postponed until the new State Duma is reviewed. The reason is that the Duma's spring session will end on July 27, and there will be an election recess from August to September, with the Duma election voting ending on September 20. Therefore, the review will not resume until the autumn session at the earliest.The bill completed its first reading in early July, with a maximum penalty of 7 years in prison for organizing illegal cryptocurrency circulation. The relevant penalty provisions are proposed to officially take effect on July 1, 2027. Under the current regulatory framework, Russian citizens can only buy and sell cryptocurrencies through institutions holding a license from the Central Bank of Russia, and P2P and over-the-counter transactions may face criminal liability. Aksakov denied concerns that the bill would affect cryptocurrency exchanges and P2P users, stating that the related worries are "unfounded." Meanwhile, another Russian government initiative to strengthen state control over cryptocurrencies, the "Digital Currency and Digital Rights Law," has also been postponed, with the original timelines for implementation in July and September now missed.

According to Protos, a gang in the UK disguised as police officers and created a fake police website, convincing cryptocurrency holders over the phone to transfer funds into so-called "safe accounts," stealing $5.4 million worth of cryptocurrency, and were sentenced this week. 23-year-old Hamza Bashir, 25-year-old Kevin Nwamma, and 29-year-old Anthony Ikenwe were sentenced to six years and nine months, eleven years, and eleven years in prison, respectively.The stolen funds were used to purchase luxury items, including a £60,000 car, vacation trips to Thailand and Japan, and products from brands such as Harrods, Hermès, Louis Vuitton, and Rolex. The police also discovered £500,000 in cash in a safe and determined that most of the stolen cryptocurrency had been converted into payment cards. Gang members also falsely reported their annual income, with one declaring only £444. The Metropolitan Police began investigating the gang after receiving reports from victims in January 2025.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, a report from NYDIG shows that Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30% this year, performing the worst among various assets, lagging behind U.S. Treasury bonds, silver, and the Swiss franc. The report points out that the current slump is due to supply mechanisms rather than risk sentiment, and the timing and structure of the pullback in 2025-2026 are increasingly resembling the adjustment years of 2014, 2018, and 2022. If the 2022 model is fully replicated, the cycle low could be around $38,000-$39,000.However, Bitcoin experienced its lowest volatility year on record in 2025, and some analysts believe this year's pullback may be shallower than in previous bear markets. In Q2 2026, the rolling correlation between Bitcoin and gold increased, with both assets facing sell-offs, and the "devaluation trade" losing momentum. Bitwise stated last week that despite Bitcoin being in the deepest and longest slump since the last bear market, the fundamentals have laid the groundwork for a rapid recovery. NYDIG referred to the CLARITY Act as "the most important forward-looking catalyst for the digital asset industry."

According to Jinshi, the global fund manager survey by Bank of America shows that fund managers' bullish sentiment towards the US stock market has reached its highest level since December 2024. A net 24% of respondents believe that US stocks will outperform other regions, marking the third highest allocation weight for US stocks in the past five years.In contrast, investors have reduced their allocation to UK stocks, with confidence dropping to its lowest point since August 2020.

According to token unlocking data from the Crypto asset data platform RootData, Sentient (SENT) will unlock approximately 31.844 million tokens at 00:00 Beijing time on July 22, worth about 4.32 million USD.

OKX will launch the SENT (Sentient) flash profit event on July 17, 2026, at 15:00. Users can participate by subscribing to BTC, OKSOL, OKB, or SENT to share a reward of 32,000,000 SENT.The event will run from July 17, 15:00 to July 27, 15:00 (UTC+8).

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on July 13, 2026, the total net sell-off of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) in the past week was $85.45 million, a decrease of 908.42% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and the Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase Bitcoin last week.In addition, two other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. Brazilian Bitcoin company OrangeBTC announced on July 13 that it bought 8 Bitcoins at a price of $62,100, bringing its total holdings to 3,912 Bitcoins; asset management company Strive announced on July 13 that it spent $1.15 million to purchase 18 Bitcoins at a price of $64,028, bringing its total holdings to approximately 19,900 Bitcoins.As of the time of publication, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the global listed companies (excluding mining companies) in the statistics is 1,139,635 Bitcoins, a decrease of 0.19% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $7.138 billion, accounting for 5.7% of Bitcoin's circulating market value.

According to Cointelegraph, the launch of Robinhood's Layer 2 network, Robinhood Chain, has boosted market sentiment towards Ethereum. The network uses ETH as its native Gas token, and approximately $141 million worth of ETH has been bridged to the chain.Reports indicate that there are now over 500,000 wallet addresses holding ETH on the network. In the past 24 hours, the DEX trading volume on Robinhood Chain reached $877.56 million, surpassing Ethereum L1 and competitor Base. As an on-chain extension of the traditional financial trading platform Robinhood, it offers tokenized stock services to customers in 120 countries, further strengthening the EVM-compatible ecosystem.