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Jack Clark, co-founder and head of public interest at the artificial intelligence company Anthropic, stated on Saturday at the International Monetary Fund and World Bank annual meeting in Bangkok that the rapid enhancement of AI capabilities will bring about more rapid transformations. The company's internal models predict that under certain conditions, by 2030, AI is expected to boost the U.S. economic output by nearly 50%. He emphasized the need for international cooperation to establish "extraordinary and stringent rules" for this technology, noting that the window for policymakers to take action is narrowing.Clark mentioned that the potential size of the U.S. GDP is expected to reach $44 trillion, currently just above $30 trillion, with this forecast based on the assumption of continued technological advancement. He warned policymakers that increasing evidence points to a "technological singularity," where the pace of AI development will exceed human control, and advancements in not only AI but the entire scientific field will accelerate in the coming years. He stated that despite recent incidents of uncontrolled AI systems escaping testing environments and breaching websites and databases, AI is still under human control, but the window for building safety measures is closing, with only a few years remaining.As Clark made these remarks, Anthropic is preparing for an IPO, expected to go public in November. Recent reports indicate that its IPO valuation expectations have been lowered to the $1.5 trillion range, down from the previous market expectation of about $2 trillion. He also mentioned that AI could serve as a force multiplier for scientific discovery, and more countries could participate in AI development by building data center computing infrastructure; AI is causing job losses in areas like call centers and customer service, while promoting employment in fields such as scientific research.

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated that despite the geopolitical shocks and tightening monetary policy faced globally, G20 economies have demonstrated unexpected resilience.Speaking at the IMF and World Bank annual meeting in Bangkok, he mentioned that the U.S. economy is expected to become stronger and more solid.

Federal Reserve Chair Waller stated that the Federal Reserve's Productivity and Employment Special Working Group will hold a field hearing on November 16 in the San Francisco Bay Area, focusing on topics such as the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy. Waller announced this arrangement during the IMF annual meeting in Bangkok and mentioned that the special working group will conduct an in-depth study of the effects of artificial intelligence on economic activity and the labor market.In June of this year, Waller established five special working groups composed of external experts to study key areas in monetary policy formulation. He previously indicated that these working groups are expected to submit policy recommendations to the Federal Reserve by the end of this year. Waller did not comment on monetary policy or the outlook for the U.S. economy this time.

The IMF stated that the economic growth in the United States is insufficient to quickly address the expanding government debt and fiscal deficit issues, and other measures are needed to improve the fiscal situation. IMF President Kristalina Georgieva said in Bangkok that although higher economic growth helps alleviate the debt burden, relying solely on growth may not be enough to offset the pressures brought by high deficits and high interest expenditures.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released the October "Global Financial Stability Report," which for the first time discusses the tokenized market in a dedicated chapter. The report shows that as of the end of July, the public market size of tokenized Real World Assets (RWA), excluding repos and stablecoins, is approximately $65 billion, with credit accounting for about $30.4 billion, money market funds about $17.5 billion, and stocks about $2.3 billion. The average daily trading volume of tokenized repos over 30 days reached $303 billion.The report states that the issuance of tokenized stocks is highly concentrated, with Ondo Finance and Backed Finance (xStocks) together accounting for over 70%. More than 50% of trades occur outside regular trading hours for U.S. stocks, with about 80% of trade sizes being less than one share, volatility being about 1.5 times that of traditional markets, and liquidity being significantly lower.The IMF believes that while the scale of tokenized assets is small, it may bring efficiency improvements in multiple areas, but it could also create new channels for leverage accumulation and liquidity and maturity mismatches, exacerbating technological and infrastructure risks, with current systemic risks remaining limited. The IMF also pointed out that in the absence of interoperable central bank currencies, stablecoins and tokenized deposits may become the main settlement tools in the tokenized capital market, leading to issuer credit risk and concentration risk.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns that the El Niño phenomenon may weaken the commodity market, drive up food and commodity prices, and disrupt industries such as transportation. The IMF points out that this significantly impacts energy-importing countries, especially emerging markets with limited fiscal space, potentially widening the current account deficit and exacerbating exchange rate pressures.

The International Monetary Fund warns that since the last stability report in April, risks in the bond market have increased.

The IMF expects global economic growth to rebound next year, but still below the average level of 3.5% over the past two years. The IMF describes the medium-term outlook as "uninspiring," due to the uneven boost brought by AI.The report points out that the foundation for global economic growth is narrowing, with only 32 economies currently contributing 95% of the overall expansion. The IMF expects the global inflation rate to fall from 4.7% this year to 4.1% next year.

The scenarios envisioned in the IMF World Economic Outlook report indicate that global GDP will decrease by 1.1% by 2028 due to the withdrawal of investments in artificial intelligence and a sharp decline in asset prices.

The IMF World Economic Outlook report indicates that in a scenario of escalating war in the Middle East, oil prices will reach $130 per barrel in the first quarter of 2027, leading to a 0.2 percentage point decline in global economic growth in 2026 and a 0.5 percentage point decline in 2027.

The IMF World Economic Outlook report predicts that the global real GDP growth rate will be 3.1% in 2026, up from the July forecast of 3%, as investments in artificial intelligence have alleviated the energy price shocks in major economies.The forecast for the global economic growth rate in 2027 is 3.4%, unchanged from the July forecast.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) pointed out in Chapter 3 of the October 2026 "Global Financial Stability Report" that as of July 31, excluding repurchase agreements and stablecoins, the scale of tokenized real-world assets reached approximately $65.1 billion, including tokenized credit of $30.4 billion, money market funds of $17.5 billion, and tokenized equities of $2.3 billion.The report indicated that automatic clearing, instant settlement, continuous trading, and programmable collateral could accelerate forced liquidations and amplify financial shocks during market stress. Cross-platform reuse of collateral could also increase leverage, allowing risks to transmit more quickly to different institutions and markets. The IMF identified four obstacles to the expanded application of the tokenized market: legal certainty, regulatory clarity, blockchain network interoperability, and reliable settlement assets, and recommended adopting technology-neutral regulation, strengthening supervision, establishing circuit breakers, and preventing instability in automatic clearing.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank annual meetings are being held this week in Bangkok, gathering central bank governors from multiple countries. Federal Reserve Chair Waller will deliver a speech on Friday, with key topics including economic growth, debt, and geopolitics. IMF President Kristalina Georgieva hinted that the new edition of the World Economic Outlook is not optimistic due to high energy prices, record global public debt, and tensions in the bond market. Conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, as well as AI regulation, will also be focal points of attention.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that the liquidity of tokenized stocks is lower than that of traditional stocks, and their volatility is also higher.Watcher Guru cited the IMF's relevant statement, saying that compared to traditional stocks, tokenized stocks "have lower liquidity and greater volatility." This statement points to the IMF's assessment of the market structure of tokenized assets, involving comparisons of trading depth, price fluctuations, and traditional securities markets.

According to Cointelegraph, the latest data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) shows that more than half of tokenized stock trading occurs during off-hours on Wall Street, and about 80% of the trading volume involves fractional trades of less than one share, reflecting a strong demand in the market for globalization and around-the-clock trading. Tokenized assets are gradually breaking down the time barriers of traditional financial markets.

According to the official schedule of the Bangkok Annual Meeting released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Federal Reserve Chairman Waller has confirmed his attendance and is scheduled to deliver a public speech on October 16 local time. This schedule has been included in the agenda by the IMF Bangkok Annual Meeting Organizing Committee.The related agenda indicates that his speech will focus on the current macroeconomic situation and monetary policy framework, with the specific content of the speech to be disclosed on-site.

The Bitcoin office of El Salvador disclosed that in the past 7 days, it has added 7 Bitcoins, bringing the national reserve to 7,798 Bitcoins, valued at over 643 million dollars based on the price at that time. The country is still executing a strategy of adding 1 Bitcoin daily.The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently stated that El Salvador has not met the relevant standards for public sector holdings of crypto assets, but exemptions are approved based on corrective measures and new commitments. The IMF had previously requested that it gradually stop directly purchasing Bitcoin in order to secure a 1.4 billion dollar credit arrangement. IMF First Deputy Managing Director Dan Katz stated that, apart from recorded donations, El Salvador is not expected to continue increasing its Bitcoin holdings. The recent additions to El Salvador's holdings are reportedly funded by private donors whose identities remain undisclosed.

According to the official website of the People's Bank of China, the central bank released the "Policy Position on the Renminbi Exchange Rate," clarifying that China implements a managed floating exchange rate system based on market supply and demand, referencing a basket of currencies, and has exited from normalized foreign exchange interventions since 2017.The central bank stated that China has no intention of gaining trade competitive advantages through devaluation, never engages in competitive currency devaluation, and only uses macro-prudential tools to prevent short-term overshooting under significant external shocks such as the pandemic and the tariff war in April 2025. Since the exchange rate reform in 2005, the Renminbi has appreciated by a cumulative 23% against the US dollar, and the nominal effective exchange rate has appreciated by over 50%; since 2025, it has appreciated by about 9% against the US dollar.The central bank also pointed out that using the International Monetary Fund's external balance assessment conclusions as the official basis for the undervaluation of the Renminbi is a misinterpretation and misuse, and that alleviating global imbalances requires joint action from deficit and surplus countries.

On October 8, the IMF published a blog based on Chapter 3 of the Global Financial Stability Report for October 2026, indicating that the tokenized market is growing rapidly but remains very small and highly fragmented. The average daily trading volume of tokenized repurchase agreements is about $300 billion to $350 billion, while other tokenized assets amount to about $65 billion, compared to an average daily volume of about $13 trillion in the U.S. repurchase market, and a total global capital market asset size of $300 trillion.The report points out that investors have shown interest in certain tokenized features, with more than half of the trades occurring outside traditional market hours, and about 80% of tokenized stock trades being less than 1 share. However, the tokenized market has lower liquidity and higher volatility than traditional markets, and cross-platform fragmentation weakens network effects. The IMF believes that legal certainty, regulatory clarity, interoperability, and secure settlement assets are four mutually reinforcing constraints.The report also warns that scaling up could amplify traditional financial risks such as sell-offs, liquidity squeezes, and contagion. Policymakers should adopt a technology-neutral approach, clarify the legal rights of tokenized assets, ensure consistent regulation for similar activities, support interoperability between tokenized platforms and the traditional financial system, and continuously monitor interconnectedness, leverage, and liquidity risks.