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Michael Saylor: The biggest challenge for Bitcoin's future is not external competition, but the internal erosion of consensus rules

Strategy founder Michael Saylor stated that Bitcoin has gained market recognition, but the biggest challenge in the future is not external competition, but rather the erosion of consensus rules from within. He believes that Bitcoin's consensus rules are like a "constitution," determining property rights, scarcity, settlement mechanisms, and boundaries of power. Any modification of the rules for the benefit of specific groups is an infringement on the economic rights of all participants.He warned that Bitcoin is expected to grow a hundredfold in the future and become the infrastructure of the global capital market, while a single erroneous rule modification could harm markets, technologies, and economic freedoms that have yet to be born. Saylor specifically pointed out certain proposals, including BIP-110, arguing that they undermine the neutrality of the Bitcoin protocol by limiting effective paid transactions, introducing contract mechanisms, or expanding block capacity. He stated that although these proposals take different forms, they all weaken the scarcity of block space, increase network bandwidth and verification costs, expand protocol complexity, and introduce new security risks. At the same time, weakening the fee market will affect miners' income sources after block rewards continue to halve, thereby undermining the long-term security of the Bitcoin network. Furthermore, once a particular interest group is able to modify Bitcoin rules through certain means, other interest groups will follow suit, leading to long-term conflicts in protocol governance, capital outflows, slowed innovation, and deteriorating network security. Saylor called for keeping the Bitcoin base layer simple, neutral, scarce, and secure, leaving innovation to the second layer and application layer, promoting development through voluntary adoption rather than frequent modifications of the underlying protocol, and emphasized that protocol upgrades should be approached with extreme caution and only advanced when truly necessary to maintain the foundation for Bitcoin's long-term development.

The giant whale "sets 10 major goals": Bitcoin may challenge $100,000 again around March next year

The "Whale" stated in its post "Set 10 Major Goals" that after closing short positions, it quickly re-established long positions because its long-term bullish view on Bitcoin has not changed. It believes that the important boundary of the last bull market was around $60,000, and the current mainstream mining cost of Bitcoin is concentrated between $50,000 and $60,000; after Bitcoin dipped to $58,000 last month, it quickly recovered, further validating the support capacity of that area.In the past month, Bitcoin has fully oscillated and exchanged hands in the range of $58,000 to $63,000, and after a pullback, it has re-stabilized around $66,000. In the absence of systemic risks or significant fundamental changes, the risk-reward ratio of continuing to short at the current position is not high, and the market may see a surge and break through $72,000; if the market structure does not change significantly, Bitcoin has a high probability of challenging $100,000 again around March next year. Currently, U.S. stocks, especially in the artificial intelligence sector, are overall valued at relatively high levels, and future volatility may significantly increase.The correlation between Bitcoin and U.S. stocks has significantly decreased compared to previous cycles, and Bitcoin is gradually emerging as an independent market. It has set a trading invalidation range for the current position; if the market falls back to $61,500 to $64,000, and the trend proves the judgment to be incorrect, it will immediately close positions to control losses. It emphasizes: "Views can change, but discipline cannot change." In addition, the latest publicly available data shows that the "Whale" has set its Binance contract real account "Jason leo133" position to private status.

Analysis: The high compliance threshold of the UK's FCA cryptocurrency regulatory framework may become a key challenge for implementation

According to CoinDesk, the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) officially announced a regulatory framework for crypto assets this week, which has been widely regarded by the industry as an international plan emphasizing "global liquidity access," but its implementation still faces significant compliance and approval challenges.Under the new regulations, the FCA allows overseas trading platforms to serve UK users through locally authorized branches and to access global trading infrastructure, thereby avoiding the creation of a closed domestic liquidity pool. At the same time, stablecoins not issued in the UK can also circulate in the UK market, a stance that is seen as a clear distinction from the European Union's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) regional isolation model.The "Qualified Crypto Asset Trading Platform" (QCATP) mechanism in the new regulations is viewed as a key structure connecting global exchanges with the UK market, expected to enhance price efficiency and market depth. However, industry insiders point out that the FCA has not clarified which jurisdictions are recognized as having "comparable regulatory protection," and this uncertainty may affect corporate layout decisions.In addition, rules related to decentralized finance (DeFi) are still not fully defined, and some practitioners worry that early proposals may restrict centralized platforms' access to the DeFi ecosystem, causing the UK to lag behind other jurisdictions in related innovation fields.On the compliance front, lawyers have pointed out that under the new Financial Services and Markets Act framework, the authorization process may be extremely stringent, with historical data showing that the FCA's anti-money laundering registration approval rate is less than 15%. The new system will also cover multi-dimensional regulatory requirements such as consumer responsibility, capital adequacy, operational resilience, and executive accountability, significantly raising the entry threshold.The industry believes that the framework overall provides a systemic basis for institutional funds to enter the crypto market, but whether the UK can truly become a global crypto hub will depend on the certainty of regulatory enforcement and approval efficiency in the coming months.
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