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Bonk Guy: Market sentiment is low but may give rise to opportunities, on-chain market conditions are expected to improve

Well-known trader Bonk Guy posted that although the current crypto community generally believes that the on-chain trading environment has fallen to historical lows, approximately six new tokens have reached a market capitalization of over 100 million to 300 million dollars in the past four months, and dozens of new tokens have completely diluted valuations (FDV) exceeding 10 million dollars.Among them, tokens such as PONS, ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, and STONK have all reached FDVs of at least 300 million dollars. Despite the deterioration in market structure, there are still tokens that occasionally experience significant price increases. Compared to the period before the emergence of Robinhood Chain, and the sluggish period after the issuance of the TRUMP token last year, and before the initial rise of BonkFun, the current market is far from reaching its historical worst levels.Although the current market environment is not as bullish as it was a few months ago, it does not mean that on-chain trading opportunities have disappeared. As market sentiment is dominated by pessimistic views, it is expected that the market may soon warm up, with the recovery speed potentially faster than most people's expectations. It is recommended to pay attention to tokens that performed well in the last round of market trends and have high confidence, and consider gradually positioning during pullbacks. Historical experience indicates that some tokens may not only return to previous highs in the next round of increases but may also rise further, and the biggest opportunities in the market often appear before mainstream sentiment shifts.

first_img Binance VIP Head: Traditional hedge funds are actively exploring arbitrage opportunities on cryptocurrency platforms

Catherine Chen, the head of VIP and institutional business at Binance, stated in an interview with The Block during Token2049 that traditional hedge funds, which previously took a wait-and-see approach, are now showing a stronger interest due to the emergence of arbitrage opportunities related to traditional financial instruments such as cash stocks and perpetual contracts on crypto platforms.She pointed out that the improvement in market depth, combined with 24/7 trading and weekend price discovery mechanisms, makes these opportunities more realistic. She also mentioned that when the same tools are offered on second- and third-tier platforms or in DeFi venues, liquidity often falls short of hedge funds' needs. However, she emphasized that this process is still in its early stages and does not expect a surge in capital inflows overnight, with the next 12 to 18 months being worth close attention.Similar changes are happening on the other side of the market. Chen indicated that their crypto-native clients are incorporating more tools linked to traditional financial products to build hybrid investment portfolios. The data she cited showed that the scale of Binance's cash stock assets has increased from about $800 million to $900 million to $1.4 billion, while the trading volume of traditional financial perpetual contracts has risen from about $20 billion to $30 billion per month when launched at the beginning of this year to about $400 billion every 30 days. She believes that tokenization and cross-asset trading are still in their early stages, and regulatory clarity will determine the ultimate integration of traditional and crypto trading more than the product offerings of a single platform.

Ansem: During a bull market, strong altcoins will continuously emerge, and one should keep looking for opportunities for excess returns

Cryptocurrency trader Ansem posted that frequently monitoring the market and judging price trends based on 15-minute candlesticks can easily lead to overtrading. Investors should manage their spot, perpetual contract, and high-risk on-chain trading accounts separately, and should not attempt to catch every local top and bottom, as this may harm long-term investment returns. Instead of frequent trading, it is better to study historical bull markets and observe how long upward trends typically last.The upward cycles of altcoins are usually faster, often outperforming the market for 4 to 6 months, after which new market leaders emerge, especially after a market capitalization growth of more than 10 times. However, there may be a few exceptions in this cycle: some altcoins may see significant revenue growth alongside price increases, thus their fundamentals may improve simultaneously.In past cycles, altcoins primarily peaked due to shifts in market attention and weakening momentum, but in this cycle, if some projects experience substantial changes in revenue and other data, institutional funds may continue to buy actively, and investors need to adjust their original judgments in a timely manner based on new information.In the last cycle, Bitcoin bottomed out in January 2023 and peaked in October 2025, with an upward trend lasting about 33 months. If this cycle bottomed out in July, it is currently only in the 4th month.It is believed that in a longer-term bull market, multiple "mini-bulls" led by specific altcoins will emerge, and investors need to identify these phase-strong assets and continuously reinvest profits into high-performing targets, allowing short-term winners to gradually transform into long-term investments.

first_img Ondo Perps CEO: There are huge opportunities in the U.S. perpetual contract market, but the product structure will be different

During an interview with The Block at the Ondo event held in Seoul, South Korea, Ondo Perps CEO David Wells stated that offering perpetual contracts in the United States is a "huge opportunity," and that it is "reasonable" for Ondo to explore such expansion. He mentioned that everyone is paying attention to the U.S. because there are now more opportunities opening up that were previously impossible. However, he also noted that U.S. perpetual contract products will differ from existing products, with structures that vary from non-U.S. markets.Wells' remarks come as U.S. regulators are testing how perpetual contracts can enter the U.S. market with several companies. In August, Trump stated that the CFTC is "bringing Hyperliquid to the U.S. in a fully compliant and legal manner." Kraken's parent company, Payward, has announced plans to launch Hyperliquid's HIP-3 perpetual market for eligible U.S. customers through the CFTC-regulated Bitnomial Exchange and NinjaTrader Clearing. Coinbase has also applied to launch single-stock perpetual contracts in the U.S. Earlier this month, Ondo Finance submitted a letter to the SEC and CFTC arguing that U.S. stock perpetual contracts fall under the securities futures category as defined by the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000.Wells indicated that while the U.S. version of perpetual contracts and its market structure may be similar, settlement and clearing would need to change to comply with U.S. regulations. He did not confirm any plans to enter the U.S. market, stating that the team has not "gone too far" in exploring the U.S. market.

Berkshire CEO: Plans to hold long-term stakes in Japan's five major trading companies, AI data centers bring energy opportunities

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel stated in an interview with CNBC that the company plans to hold its stakes in Japan's five major trading companies as a long-term investment, expecting to hold them for decades. Currently, Berkshire holds over 10% of shares in each of the five major trading companies and is continuously exploring other cooperation opportunities in Japan and overseas with these enterprises. Abel also mentioned that despite the 10-year Japanese government bond yield rising to about 3%, the five major trading companies do not view the rise in interest rates as a fundamental challenge, and Berkshire still plans to issue yen bonds as needed.Regarding AI investments, Abel stated that the rapid development of artificial intelligence and the practical applications of AI by Berkshire's subsidiaries are among the important reasons for the company's optimism about Alphabet. On the construction of AI data centers, he believes that energy supply and related infrastructure development remain major constraints, which also presents significant opportunities for Berkshire and Berkshire Energy. Abel pointed out that the company is willing to provide energy services for large tech companies' data centers, but on the condition that it does not harm the interests of other customers and should bring net benefits to the local community.In terms of the U.S. housing market, Abel stated that Berkshire takes a long-term view of the housing industry, believing that the "American Dream" will continue, but there will not be a rapid recovery in the short term, and the industry may still face fluctuations for some time. Regarding the overall economy, he noted that most of Berkshire's large businesses performed strongly as of the second quarter, with demand still robust, but American consumers are under significant pressure and need to be more cautious in managing their income; overall, the economic fundamentals that Berkshire currently sees remain "very strong."
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