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first_img Securitize's tokenized stock market value has shrunk by more than half, Circle expands its leading advantage

According to Token Terminal data, the market capitalization of Securitize's tokenized stock SECZ has fallen from a high of $430.4 million on September 28 to $208.6 million, shrinking by more than half in less than a month. During the same period, the market capitalization of the token tracking Circle's stock increased by about 20%, reaching $383.6 million, reclaiming the top position in the $3.3 billion tokenized stock market.The decline of the SECZ token coincided with the sell-off of its underlying stock on the New York Stock Exchange. On October 8, after Securitize launched its stock trading platform on Solana, the stock price briefly rose, but the gains were subsequently erased; Citigroup downgraded SECZ's rating from "Buy" to "Neutral" on October 13, citing concerns over revenue from the tokenized business. Last Friday, SECZ stock closed down 2.1% at $7.80 per share, corresponding to a market capitalization of $1.27 billion.Securitize is a platform that helps asset management institutions, including BlackRock, issue securities on the blockchain. The company went public on the New York Stock Exchange on July 2 and tokenized its common stock, becoming the largest tokenized stock at that time. Although Circle's related tokens have a leading total market capitalization, spread across multiple issuers, SECZ remains the single largest tokenized stock; among them, the CRCLb issued by Binance on the BNB Chain leads with a scale of $154.1 million.

Citigroup: The SEC's new regulations will become the next focal point for the cryptocurrency market

Citigroup stated in its latest market strategy program that the failure of the U.S. Senate to advance the CLARITY Act for formal review did not interrupt Bitcoin's rebound. After the procedural vote on the bill was blocked, Bitcoin remained strong, indicating that funds have begun to reduce their reliance on a single legislative node and are instead focusing on whether regulatory rules can continue to move forward.Citigroup believes that the legislative blockage will limit the CFTC's ability to obtain a more comprehensive regulatory mandate for the crypto market in the short term, but the SEC can still advance some rule-making based on its existing authority. For the market, this means that the compliance process for the crypto industry still has room to continue, with the subsequent focus on the SEC's actual execution pace regarding trading, tokenized assets, and market access rules. Additionally, the macro environment remains a variable for Bitcoin's rebound.The baseline judgment of Citigroup's economic team is that this round of interest rate hikes may be close to "one and done"; however, the quantitative macro team warns that if AI investments continue to support growth, and employment and wage pressures persist, interest rates may face further upward revision risks. Citigroup views Bitcoin's position above the mid-term moving average as a signal of warming risk appetite and notes that its correlation with Nasdaq performance is worth continued tracking.

first_img Citigroup: AI continuous learning will extend the storage supply shortage until 2031

Citigroup analysts pointed out that leading memory chip manufacturers are expected to benefit from the structural changes in the development of artificial intelligence. The agency anticipates that continuous learning will drive a significant increase in memory demand, leading to a supply shortage in the market that will continue until 2031. Continuous learning strengthens models by training on new tasks and knowledge, which will create a sustained demand for model updates and access to historical data, driving the storage usage of products such as HBM, server DDR5, and eSSD.Citigroup expects HBM bit demand to grow by 62% year-on-year to 75.2 billion gigabits in 2027, and by 69% year-on-year to 127 billion gigabits in 2028. Global DRAM demand is expected to grow by 30% and 35% year-on-year in 2027 and 2028, respectively, while supply is expected to grow by only 19% and 22% during the same period, resulting in supply-demand ratios of -8.7% and -9.7%. In terms of NAND, demand is expected to grow by 29% and 33% year-on-year in 2027 and 2028, respectively, exceeding supply growth of 21% and 25%, with supply-demand ratios of -6.1% and -5.5%.Citigroup's preferred storage targets include Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Micron, Sandisk, and Kioxia, corresponding to the logic of storage shortages brought about by continuous learning, demand for HBM and server DDR5, DRAM supply shortages, and tightening supply of high-density eSSD and NAND.
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