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DOGE $0.0703 +0.36%
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BCH $218.99 +4.27%
LINK $8.47 +2.50%
HYPE $54.00 -1.85%
AAVE $98.38 +0.08%
SUI $0.6953 +1.75%
XLM $0.1716 -0.72%
ZEC $474.90 +2.64%

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Bernstein lowers Circle's target price to $140, determining that the threat from Open USD will weaken

According to The Block, Bernstein has lowered Circle's target price from $190 to $140 while maintaining an outperform rating. Analyst Gautam Chhugani stated that the threat posed to Circle by the Open USD Alliance, supported by over 140 institutions including Visa, Mastercard, and Stripe, is lower than market expectations. As of July 28, Circle's closing price was $64.32.The end-of-quarter supply of USDC for the second quarter was approximately $73 billion, down from $77 billion in the first quarter, with the average supply rising to about $76 billion. The average SOFR for the second quarter decreased to 3.62%, the reserve return rate fell to 3.46%, and reserve income rose to approximately $655 million. The USDC balance on Hyperliquid has increased from $5 billion in mid-May to over $6 billion, generating about $210 million in annualized gross reserve income, of which approximately $190 million is directed to the exchange according to the revenue-sharing agreement.Bernstein has reduced its forecast for USDC supply at the end of 2026 by 37% to $83 billion and lowered its 2028 forecast to $170 billion; the adjusted EBITDA forecast for 2026 has been cut by 12% to $602 million, and the earnings per share (EPS) forecast has been lowered from $1.98 to $0.92. However, the firm expects that by 2035, the total supply of stablecoins will reach $4 trillion, with Circle holding about a 30% share. Additionally, Circle received final approval from the OCC in July to establish Circle National Trust.

Michael Saylor: The biggest challenge for Bitcoin's future is not external competition, but the internal erosion of consensus rules

Strategy founder Michael Saylor stated that Bitcoin has gained market recognition, but the biggest challenge in the future is not external competition, but rather the erosion of consensus rules from within. He believes that Bitcoin's consensus rules are like a "constitution," determining property rights, scarcity, settlement mechanisms, and boundaries of power. Any modification of the rules for the benefit of specific groups is an infringement on the economic rights of all participants.He warned that Bitcoin is expected to grow a hundredfold in the future and become the infrastructure of the global capital market, while a single erroneous rule modification could harm markets, technologies, and economic freedoms that have yet to be born. Saylor specifically pointed out certain proposals, including BIP-110, arguing that they undermine the neutrality of the Bitcoin protocol by limiting effective paid transactions, introducing contract mechanisms, or expanding block capacity. He stated that although these proposals take different forms, they all weaken the scarcity of block space, increase network bandwidth and verification costs, expand protocol complexity, and introduce new security risks. At the same time, weakening the fee market will affect miners' income sources after block rewards continue to halve, thereby undermining the long-term security of the Bitcoin network. Furthermore, once a particular interest group is able to modify Bitcoin rules through certain means, other interest groups will follow suit, leading to long-term conflicts in protocol governance, capital outflows, slowed innovation, and deteriorating network security. Saylor called for keeping the Bitcoin base layer simple, neutral, scarce, and secure, leaving innovation to the second layer and application layer, promoting development through voluntary adoption rather than frequent modifications of the underlying protocol, and emphasized that protocol upgrades should be approached with extreme caution and only advanced when truly necessary to maintain the foundation for Bitcoin's long-term development.
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