fai

CoinShares Research Director James Butterfill stated that Bitcoin is currently facing an "unusual combination"—short-term bearish and medium-term bullish factors are present at the same time.In the short term, the U.S. core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in August, higher than market expectations. Butterfill said, "The CPI data is marginally negative, increasing the probability of monetary policy tightening, which may limit Bitcoin's immediate upside potential." CME FedWatch data showed that market bets on the Federal Reserve's next rate hike reached as high as 85%.In the medium term, he pointed out that the U.S. Treasury's expanded bond buyback program has failed to effectively lower long-term yields. If this situation continues, it may force authorities to implement larger intervention measures, raising concerns about currency depreciation, which would instead benefit Bitcoin and gold valuations. CoinShares believes that Bitcoin's short-term upside may be limited to below $80,000.

According to Forbes, Patrick Witt, the executive director of the Digital Asset Advisory Committee of President Trump, told Semafor that the window of opportunity for the Clarity Act is closing, and if the procedural vote next week fails, "no one can say when the bill will have another chance."Witt stated that a failed motion vote will not yield the desired results for anyone and called for bipartisan support for the bill: "Join this bill, and let's continue the conversation." The bill is scheduled for a procedural vote on September 15.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin formed a golden cross earlier this week (the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average), but subsequently did not experience a sustained increase, instead retreating from around $80,000 to about $77,000. It is noteworthy that most of the recent rise occurred before the golden cross—Bitcoin had previously risen from $62,000 to $82,000.The article points out that similar situations have historically repeated multiple times: after the golden cross in 2021, BTC fell from $52,000 to $40,000; after the golden cross in February 2023, it retreated from $23,000 to $20,000; after the golden cross in October 2024, it slid from $70,000 to $67,000; and after the golden cross in May 2025, it corrected from $110,000 to $100,000. Analysts believe that while the golden cross is seen as a long-term bullish signal, it may essentially be a lagging indicator, as a significant portion of the gains often have already been realized by the time the signal appears.

According to Akchabar, the Minister of Internal Affairs of Kyrgyzstan, Ulan Niyazbekov, stated that since 2026, the country's internal affairs agency has initiated 90 criminal investigations related to cryptocurrency, involving cases of online fraud, theft of funds, money laundering, and the transfer of criminal proceeds.Niyazbekov revealed that during a 2025 investigation into a transnational online fraud gang, police discovered a TRON wallet holding over 3 million dollars in digital assets on a suspect's device and used blockchain analysis tools to trace the related funds.

The head of government affairs at Paradigm stated that the external view that the Clarity Act is almost hopeless to pass is not credible. The related pessimistic rhetoric mostly comes from anonymous staff members who did not participate in the core negotiations (intending to guide public opinion), or from legislators using the media to voice their demands, pressuring the White House and Senate leadership to meet their own requests.Major banks plan to invest heavily in lobbying and advertising next week; if the bill is doomed to fail, the banks would not invest such resources. The time window is indeed tight: the Senate reconvenes on Monday, and the House will recess on Friday in five days. However, the bill is far from dead. Those who assert that the bill has no chance are either seeking attention or trying to create a predetermined narrative of "bill failure."

According to Polish Radio, the Polish House of Representatives failed to overturn President Karol Nawrocki's veto of the cryptocurrency market regulation bill. In the vote, 241 of the 442 attending members supported overturning the veto, 198 opposed it, and 3 abstained, falling 25 votes short of the required 266. This is the third time Karol Nawrocki has vetoed the bill. The bill proposes that the Financial Supervision Authority (KNF) be responsible for regulating the cryptocurrency market. The president believes the bill is overly regulatory and could force Polish businesses to relocate. Prime Minister Donald Tusk called for support of the bill before the vote and mentioned the investigation into the defunct Zondacrypto exchange.

Starknet lending protocol Vesu announced that an oracle incident occurred on September 4. A malfunctioning upstream Pragma price source led to the abnormal liquidation of 47 positions and $3 million in collateral across multiple Vesu liquidity pools between 04:08 and 04:10 UTC. The price source self-corrected within two minutes and has not been affected since.Pragma has collaborated with relevant parties to deploy a fix for the root cause, and Vesu expects liquidity pool curators to lift the suspension of the pools in the coming hours. Vesu stated that its contracts are operating as designed, the protocol has no vulnerabilities, and no fixes need to be deployed; the issue was due to incorrect input prices. Vesu is working with Pragma, StarkWare, Starknet Foundation, and liquidity pool curators to recover the funds taken through these liquidations. Affected users should keep their Earn positions open to avoid losing refund eligibility; if liquidated during the incident, please submit a support ticket on Discord. A complete technical report will be released soon.

The Ministry of Economic Affairs of Taiwan has confirmed that Taiwanese companies will invest an additional 20 billion USD in the United States. Minister of Economic Affairs Wang Mei-hua stated that in response to order demands, in addition to the main production bases in Taiwan, capacity will also be increased in the United States, primarily focusing on semiconductor manufacturers, supply chains, and AI server manufacturers.U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo previously stated that Taiwan would announce investments of 20 to 30 billion USD in the U.S. next week. The Ministry of Economic Affairs responded that this investment is the 20 billion USD announced by Wang Mei-hua during the opening of the SEMICON TAIWAN 2026 U.S. Pavilion on the 2nd. Wang Mei-hua pointed out that global orders for AI and semiconductors are booming, and the global president of SEMI has raised the forecast for global semiconductor revenue in 2030 from 1 trillion USD to 2 trillion USD.The Ministry of Economic Affairs' review shows that as of May this year, 20 semiconductor and AI server-related companies have announced investments of 35 billion USD in the United States, with an additional 20 billion USD added in the following months. Future cooperation will also extend to industries such as biotechnology and natural gas.

According to a report by Reuters, Apple Inc. is facing a class-action lawsuit in London, with claims amounting to £2 billion (approximately $2.7 billion). The lawsuit was filed today in the London Competition Appeal Tribunal by Ann Pope, a former senior official of the UK's Competition and Markets Authority, representing app developers.The core allegation is that Apple's "App Tracking Transparency" (ATT) feature, launched in 2021, imposes stricter restrictions on third-party developers than on its own services, giving Apple's own advertising ecosystem an unfair competitive advantage. Ann Pope stated that Apple's policies "have caused very significant harm to businesses that rely on Apple as a gatekeeper."Since its launch, the ATT feature has been a focal point of concern for global regulators for several years. Apple's official stance is that the feature is designed to allow users to control whether to permit apps to track their activities across other companies and websites.However, the plaintiffs argue that the actual enforcement of this rule has a double standard—tracking requests from third-party apps require strict pop-up authorization, while Apple's own personalized ads and services can bypass the same restrictions. This lawsuit represents the latest legal challenge Apple faces regarding its ATT policy and is the first large-scale private antitrust lawsuit initiated in the UK market against Apple's app ecosystem rules following scrutiny from regulators in the EU, the US, and several other countries.

The U.S. primary election season is nearing its end, and the cryptocurrency industry's super political action committee (PAC) has achieved victories in several key districts. Supported by major contributors such as Coinbase, Ripple, and a16z, Fairshake has helped approximately 50 candidates win nominations, including Massachusetts Democratic Congressman Jake Auchincloss, as well as Republican Senate candidates Barry Moore from Alabama, Andy Barr from Kentucky, Kevin Hern from Oklahoma, and Harriet Hageman from Wyoming. Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi indicate that these candidates have a winning probability of over 94% in the general election.Fairshake spokesperson Geoff Vetter stated that the organization has reserved $122 million for the fall elections. However, Fairshake also faced its biggest setback in Illinois, spending over $10 million in an attempt to prevent Democrat Juliana Stratton from securing the nomination but was unsuccessful. Additionally, the Fellowship PAC, supported by Cantor Fitzgerald and Anchorage Digital, has actually spent about $11 million, far less than the previously claimed $100 million; the Digital Freedom Fund, funded by the Winklevoss brothers with $21 million, has yet to engage in support for specific candidates.

The political action committee Protect Progress PAC, affiliated with the cryptocurrency industry supporter Fairshake, has spent approximately $189,000 on media advertising ahead of the primary election in Massachusetts's 4th congressional district, supporting Democratic Congressman Jake Auchincloss's re-election campaign. Records from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) show that this expenditure is Fairshake's latest move in the 2026 election, following over $130 million spent on advertising and media promotion during the 2024 election cycle.The Massachusetts primary is scheduled to take place on Tuesday local time. Democratic candidate Jason Poulos sent a letter to Auchincloss on August 16, requesting that he "publicly condemn" Protect Progress's involvement. Poulos stated that some of the funds were used to create "AI-generated spam" supporting Auchincloss, and pointed out that the latter has directly accepted $77,500 in donations from cryptocurrency industry sources since 2020. Auchincloss also voted in favor of the Digital Asset Market Structure Act in July 2025, which is currently under Senate review and has not yet been signed into law.In August, Fairshake and its affiliates invested approximately $3.6 million in congressional campaigns in Alaska, Florida, and Wyoming. Fairshake reported that it has about $122 million in cash ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Massachusetts will be one of the last states in the U.S. to hold its primary this year, with just over two months remaining until the general election in November.

US President Trump stated on social media that Iran has officially become a failed state. It is "dead"! They have no navy, no air force, no currency, they cannot afford to pay soldiers and police, the inflation rate is as high as 300%, and their leadership is completely chaotic, unable to properly represent the country.The only things they have are "fake news" from the United States, the willingness to kill protesters (over 100,000 have died so far. They must be tried for crimes against humanity!), and a set of nice "nonsense."

The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for July rose by 0.2% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, both in line with expectations.Ellen Zentner, Chief Economic Strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, stated: "The mild upside surprise in today's inflation data, along with relatively strong economic performance, is not something that investors or the Federal Reserve would welcome. However, this set of data is not sufficient to shift the decision-making balance for the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting."

Fairlead Strategies Managing Partner Katie Stockton stated that Bitcoin is no longer in an oversold state, but it has not yet reached an overbought state. She pointed out that Bitcoin broke through the 200-day moving average in May, and a potential breakout may be imminent. Last week, Bitcoin began to rise due to news that the U.S. Treasury would at least double the scale of liquidity support repurchase operations, with a 7-day increase of over 22%, and the latest trading price is around $78,915, having previously surpassed $81,000 on Monday.For most of June and July, Bitcoin traded below $65,000 and experienced the lowest volatility in 17 years. Analysts believe that the so-called "devaluation trade" may heat up again, where investors buy assets when they believe fiat currencies are devaluing. The dollar declined after the Treasury's announcement, while gold and Bitcoin rose accordingly. U.S. investors re-entered Bitcoin ETFs last week, with inflows nearing $2 billion.Additionally, President Trump met with crypto executives at the White House last week, stating that pushing the Clarity Act through would keep the U.S. ahead. The bill was originally scheduled for a vote in August but has now been postponed to September, and it will establish a framework for distinguishing between securities, commodities, and payment stablecoins in digital assets.

U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai stated that Canada raised negotiation conditions in the final stages, leading to the breakdown of the U.S.-Canada trade agreement negotiations.The two sides were previously close to reaching a compromise but ultimately failed to finalize the agreement. The U.S. has implemented new tariff measures on certain Canadian goods, and Canada has indicated it will take countermeasures, escalating trade tensions.

According to CoinDesk, Fairmint CEO Joris Delanoue stated that the boom in tokenized stocks may replicate a digital version of Wall Street's "paper crisis" from the late 1960s. At that time, trading volume in U.S. stocks surged, overwhelming the back office that relied on paper stock certificates, leading to an increase in settlement failures. The New York Stock Exchange even closed on Wednesdays to clear the backlog, ultimately driving infrastructure reforms such as central depositories and custodial trust companies.Delanoue mentioned that the main issue is whether the crisis is being recreated in a digital manner. Exchanges, special purpose vehicles (SPVs), token packaging, and proprietary ledgers may sever ownership records during the growth of tokenized stocks. Some products only provide economic exposure to the underlying stocks rather than legal ownership, and investors may rely on intermediaries, facing uncertainties regarding voting rights, dividends, and asset claims when issuers or SPVs encounter problems. The global market for tokenized stocks has grown from less than $500 million at the end of the first quarter to approximately $2 billion.

Bank of America strategist Hartnett stated that if the U.S. Treasury's plan to control long-term Treasury yields fails, the dollar will come under pressure and may trigger short-selling bets on risk assets before the midterm elections in November.If Treasury Secretary Yellen cannot bring the 30-year yield down to below 5%, the dollar is expected to decline, and risk assets such as financial stocks and AI mega-cap companies will face short-selling risks.

According to Xinhua News Agency, the U.S. has sent a letter to the signatories of the "Joint Statement on the Opportunities of Artificial Intelligence Partnership," requesting that all parties refrain from simultaneously joining U.S.-related initiatives and other mechanisms that conflict with U.S. initiatives. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian stated at a regular press conference on the 19th that countries have the right to choose their partners based on their own national conditions and development needs. China firmly opposes taking sides and creating confrontations on artificial intelligence issues, and hopes that all parties will abandon zero-sum thinking, adhere to mutual cooperation, respect the digital sovereignty of all countries, and work together to build a fair and reasonable global governance system for artificial intelligence, making artificial intelligence an important driving force for promoting common prosperity and maintaining common security.

According to the Daily Economic News, following the requirement to confirm that the source of funds for new account openings comes from legal overseas channels, some banks in Hong Kong have begun to initiate a source of funds declaration process for certain existing mainland investment clients. HSBC Hong Kong has recently started notifying some existing mainland investment clients, requiring them to submit the "Declaration for Opening/Maintaining Accounts" through the HSBC Hong Kong App by September 12 and to update their contact information.The declaration includes confirming that the funds for investment activities come from legal sources outside mainland China, and that the bank may disclose personal information at the request of law enforcement or regulatory agencies. The notice also mentioned that if the declaration is not submitted by August 20, investment-related services may be suspended; if it is still not submitted by September 12, investment-related services may be terminated.An HSBC spokesperson responded that they will follow relevant regulatory requirements when managing investment client relationships, thus inviting relevant mainland Chinese investors to provide self-declarations and confirm that the information provided in their "Know Your Customer" and "Customer Due Diligence" processes is current and valid, which helps to continuously provide uninterrupted services to clients. HSBC emphasized that this latest declaration requirement applies only to investment service clients.

Swissblock stated that the initial momentum launch of Bitcoin failed to form an effective breakthrough, and the momentum indicators have now returned to the "transition zone."If BTC can hold the range of $62,300 to $62,500, the current consolidation structure is still expected to be maintained.