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first_img TrendForce: Apple’s foldable device shipments in the first year are approximately 5 million units

According to TrendForce, Apple's first foldable phone, iPhone Duo, has been available for pre-order for less than a week, and some orders on the official website have already been delayed until January 2027. TrendForce estimates that global shipments of foldable phones will see a slight increase of 0.5% in 2026, with Apple’s first foldable iPhone expected to ship around 5 million units, capturing approximately 24.8% market share in its first year, and Apple's entry will accelerate the redistribution of brand market share.Initial user feedback shows that the split-screen operation and screen experience after unfolding have been positively received, while the black edges of apps, button configuration, and fingerprint unlocking have increased adaptation costs. Reports of screen damage and high repair quotes have shifted the focus to reliability and ownership costs. TrendForce states that the visibility of creases on the iPhone Duo is relatively low, which is related to multi-layer material stress control and nano-texture optical optimization; the droplet-shaped hinge bears dynamic control, and insufficient retreat of the central support can lead to additional contact and stress concentration.Apple has provided replacements for a small number of devices with abnormal inner screens, and subsequent engineering improvements are expected to focus on hinge travel, support height, fitting precision, and assembly tolerances. On the software side, some apps still have black edges and insufficient space utilization, and the large screen has also increased energy consumption management requirements. TrendForce believes that Apple's advantage lies in the integration of chips, systems, and developer ecosystems, with competition shifting from design innovation to multi-tasking efficiency.

first_img Apple is testing its first foldable screen iPad, expected to be launched in 2028

According to a report by the Science and Technology Innovation Board Daily, Apple is testing its first large-screen foldable iPad, with a maximum screen size of about 20 inches, expected to be 18 to 20 inches when fully unfolded, and more portable when folded. It is positioned between a tablet and a laptop, with a launch expected in 2028. The design concept references the Huawei MateBook Fold, which has already been launched in China.This news aligns with analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's previous judgment that Apple plans to launch its first large-screen foldable iPad in 2028, with a focus on minimizing creases. Bloomberg reporter Mark Gurman previously described it as an ultra-large screen similar to two iPad Pros joined side by side, aimed at multitasking and productivity scenarios. It is expected to use ultra-thin glass, and Kuo believes Corning may be the exclusive supplier of the glass. GIS Group is reportedly responsible for cutting, edge finishing, quality inspection, and packaging, and both companies are also involved in other Apple foldable projects, including the foldable iPhone Duo.The report notes that the latest version of the Huawei MateBook Fold was released in August 2026, with an 18-inch unfolded size and a thickness of 7.3 millimeters when fully unfolded. It was launched in China with a starting price of 24,999 yuan. Industry insiders expect Apple's pricing for this device to be relatively high, primarily due to the manufacturing difficulties of large-size flexible screens. Previous industry forecasts estimated first-year shipments to be around 500,000 to 1 million units. This project has not yet been officially confirmed by Apple.

first_img The foldable iPhone sold out immediately upon launch, and it is reported that Apple has increased orders by 30%

According to a report by the Economic Daily, Apple's first foldable device, the iPhone Duo, quickly sold out after its launch on October 23 on the official website and major channels, with all models sold out on the same day. The second wave of shipments is expected to arrive on January 22, 2027. Supply chain sources indicate that Apple has requested its partners to expedite production and increase orders by 30%, with optimism surrounding Hon Hai, TSMC, and New Kinpo Group benefiting from this.The report states that scalper prices once reached NT$100,000, a premium of about 33% over the minimum entry price of NT$74,900. Industry insiders noted that the initial stock was insufficient, affected by assembly yield rates and demand exceeding Apple's expectations. Market research firms originally anticipated a stock volume of only 6 million units this year, which was later revised up to 8 million to 10 million units, with shipments expected to reach 33 million units by 2027, and it is estimated that it could capture about 40% of the global foldable device market next year.Supply chain sources indicate that the complete assembly is exclusively handled by Hon Hai, the core processor chips are manufactured by TSMC, and key bearing components are supplied by a joint venture between Hon Hai and New Kinpo Group, with Amphenol as the second supplier. The industry believes that insufficient production capacity is mainly limited by bearing capacity and the difficulty of complete assembly. The above content is a summary of supply chain and market research estimates and is not an official announcement from Apple.

Polymarket CEO: Chasing hundredfold tokens is a game of "irrational exuberance."

Polymarket's CEO Shayne Coplan stated during a fireside chat at the Token2049 conference in Singapore that cryptocurrency trading is evolving into a game of "irrational exuberance," where traders compete to be the first to find the next hundredfold token. He pointed out that people think they are buying something valuable, but in reality, it is worthless; however, as long as there is a possibility of it rising to 100 times, they want to sell before it goes to zero. Coplan mentioned that some traders can gain considerable wealth through this strategy, but it is essentially a game of "irrational exuberance and hot potato," where rising asset prices will eventually fall back.Coplan indicated that the continuous growth of Polymarket's user base shows that some traders are looking for betting opportunities with more predictable odds, rather than the next skyrocketing cryptocurrency. He explained that trading these markets on Polymarket does not have exponential upside potential, but informed traders will continue to place bets on future events with more predictable odds. According to data from DefiLlama, Polymarket is the second-largest prediction market, with a trading volume of $1.21 billion in the past seven days, while the largest market, Kalshi, had $2.3 billion.The growth of prediction markets has also attracted more attention from U.S. regulators. It was reported that JPMorgan terminated its banking relationship with Polymarket on August 14 due to regulatory concerns but expressed interest in acting as an underwriter if Polymarket seeks to go public.

first_img Samsung Display raises supply targets for Apple's foldable screens and iPad OLED for next year

According to a report by ZDNet Korea, Samsung Display plans to significantly increase its OLED supply for Apple's foldable smartphones and iPads next year. The target for foldable OLEDs will rise from about 8 million units this year to 15 million units next year, while OLEDs for iPads will increase from about 2 million units this year to 9 million units next year, totaling an increase from about 10 million units this year to approximately 24 million units.Apple is a core customer for Samsung Display's small-sized OLEDs. Market research firm UBI Research estimates that the total demand for OLEDs for iPhones this year is about 264.7 million units, with Samsung Display supplying about 144 million units, and a target of approximately 148 million units next year. Apple will launch its first foldable smartphone in the second half of this year, and Samsung Display plans to supply a 7.8-inch foldable OLED. Starting in 2024, iPads will adopt OLEDs in the Pro models, expanding to the mini this year and further to the Air next year.The report cites industry insiders who say that if the foldable screen is priced at around $2,500, shipments this year and next year may be approximately 6 million and 11 million units, respectively; higher prices or supply chain issues could further reduce shipments. Samsung Display's supply targets may be adjusted according to market conditions.
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