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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves" on Polymarket, the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 8.5" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 55.5% an hour ago to the current 13.5% (a fluctuation of 42%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Arthur Hayes posted on the X platform that, aside from AI safety risks, if companies like Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX no longer act as buyers of computing power, the U.S. government may need to take on that role; another scenario is that if the demand for computing power disappears, leading to defaults on related AI debts, the Federal Reserve may need to "print money" to rescue the insurance institutions holding those debts. Hayes stated that regardless of which option is chosen, it will ultimately need to be resolved through monetary expansion, jokingly referring to this situation as "Yachtzee."

U.S. President Trump stated: "We should have the lowest interest rates in the world, and the promised $5,000 (subsidy) should be easy for Congress to pass. I always keep my promises.The war in Iran will end, possibly before the midterm elections or right after the midterm elections. Iran is very eager to reach an agreement. I don't care if the Gulf countries meet with Iran; that is their choice.Ukrainian President Zelensky must do one thing; he must stop attacking Russian diesel fuel. We have had discussions with Ukrainian President Zelensky."When asked if the artificial intelligence industry should slow down its development pace, Trump stated: "Whoever wins in artificial intelligence will win the future."

Revolut disclosed that an unauthorized third party used a legitimate email address under a government agency's real domain to submit false customer data retrieval requests, resulting in the disclosure of sensitive information for a small number of customers. The company referred to the incident as a "complex external impersonation scam," and has since banned the related email address, stating that its systems and customer funds were not affected.The potentially disclosed information includes names, dates of birth, addresses, email addresses, phone numbers, copies of identification documents such as passports and driver's licenses, identity verification selfies, account statements, IBANs, withdrawal records, and complete transaction histories, including Bitcoin transaction records. Former Mt. Gox CEO Mark Karpelès stated that he is one of the affected individuals. Revolut has not disclosed the number of affected customers, whether the incident involved only a single market, or the government agency to which the impersonated domain belongs. The company has notified relevant government agencies, law enforcement, data protection authorities, and financial regulatory bodies. On-chain investigator ZachXBT speculated that the scale of the incident may be limited, but the target may be high-net-worth users.

The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) in Canada stated on Thursday that tokenized deposits are legally indistinguishable from traditional deposits, and noted that the underlying technology used in financial products or services does not determine their legal nature.OSFI indicated that financial institutions can conduct tokenized deposit business under existing financial regulatory laws without the need to establish additional regulatory provisions. Financial institutions and third parties acting on their behalf must ensure that their operations comply with applicable laws and regulations. OSFI requires financial institutions to communicate in advance with the OSFI supervisor responsible for regulation before launching new products or services, and recommends seeking legal advice prior to going live. The agency oversees nearly 350 financial institutions and 1,200 pension plans.

According to Bitcoin.com, an independent Bitcoin miner mining through Braiins Solo successfully mined a block with a height of 966351, receiving the full block reward of 3.147 BTC, worth approximately $245,000.This is the first time in nearly 40 days that an independent miner has successfully mined a block on the Bitcoin network. The last occurrence was on August 2, when a miner mining through Solo CKPool received a reward of 3.1569 BTC. Currently, the five major mining pools—Foundry, Antpool, F2Pool, ViaBTC, and Spiderpool—collectively control about 78.31% of the Bitcoin network's hash rate, making the probability of independent miners successfully mining a block relatively low.

According to Bitcoin.com, an independent Bitcoin miner mining through Braiins Solo successfully mined a block with a height of 966351, receiving the entire block reward of 3.147 BTC, worth approximately $245,000.This is the first time in nearly 40 days that an independent miner has successfully mined a block on the Bitcoin network. The last occurrence was on August 2, when a miner mining through Solo CKPool received a reward of 3.1569 BTC. Currently, the five major mining pools—Foundry, Antpool, F2Pool, ViaBTC, and Spiderpool—collectively control about 78.31% of the Bitcoin network's hash rate, making it relatively low for independent miners to successfully mine blocks.

The cryptocurrency exchange platform Binance's Bitcoin reserves have exceeded 693,000 coins, an increase of about 77,000 coins since late April, accounting for approximately 30% of the total Bitcoin reserves of major exchanges.Bitcoin is currently positioned below the long-term holder supply zone between $83,000 and $85,000, with new accumulation support forming around $75,000. If this support is lost, the next level of concern will be $75,000. Binance had previously announced plans to invest $1 billion to allocate approximately 15,000 Bitcoins, and factors related to the SAFU fund and the Coldcard incident may also influence some holders' custody choices.

Castle Labs released a research report on September 10, comparing the execution costs of the swaps products launched by Variational with traditional perpetual contracts. The report shows that for most trading volumes, Variational is currently the lowest-cost venue among listed assets, with the cost of a $1 million trade in the US100 market being only $47.The report points out that the trading volume of RWA perpetual contracts has grown from less than $1 billion in October 2025 to over $12 billion in August 2026, currently accounting for about 12% to 13% of on-chain perpetual contract trading volume, with a peak in July reaching 20%. As of the report's release, the total open interest of RWA perpetual contracts was $4.9 billion, with TradeXYZ and Variational accounting for nearly 90%.Variational's swaps utilize RFQ execution and the proprietary liquidity provider Omni, with liquidity coming directly from traditional financial partners, and the fees being a holding cost charged once at the daily close, rather than relying on market supply and demand funding rates. Since the launch of the US100, US500, XAU, XAG, and USOIL markets at the beginning of the month, a total trading volume of $3.8 billion has been accumulated, with a peak open interest of $245 million. Currently, swaps have contributed over 50% of Variational's daily trading volume and more than $220 million in open interest.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain whale withdrew 1.1 million USDT from Binance 4 hours ago and purchased 9.53 million Cow tokens at an average price of 0.1155 USD.

According to a statement released by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) in Canada, OSFI clarifies its technology-neutral stance, stating that tokenized and other digital deposits are legally indistinguishable from traditional deposits, and the underlying technology of financial products or services does not determine their legal nature.OSFI requires financial institutions to ensure that innovative activities (including activities carried out by third parties on their behalf) comply with relevant laws and regulations, and must adhere to guidelines such as B-13 Technology and Cyber Risk Management and B-10 Third Party Risk Management. Financial institutions must communicate with OSFI supervisors in advance before launching any new products or services and seek legal advice when necessary.

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) stated in its latest risk report that major prediction market platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi have not obtained the necessary authorization to provide event contract services in the EU, and some platforms only restrict users from certain EU countries. ESMA questioned the effectiveness of their geographical restrictions and VPN blocking measures.ESMA pointed out that event contracts may be classified as financial instruments based on their specific structure, fall under the MiCA framework, or be regulated by member states' betting regulations. If classified as financial instruments, their marketing, distribution, and sale to retail investors are generally subject to existing binary options restrictions.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Overtime" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 9% an hour ago to the current 50% (a fluctuation of 41%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Aave founder Stani Kulechov stated that he has submitted comments to the UK HM Revenue and Customs, suggesting improvements to the tax positioning of cryptocurrency collateralized loans and stablecoins.At the same time, he advocates for allowing stablecoins to be included in UK Individual Savings Accounts (ISA) in the future, giving stablecoin lending users the opportunity to enjoy relevant tax benefits.

According to CoinDesk, European financial and cryptocurrency industry organizations have written to the EU Council and the European Parliament, urging lawmakers to remove the cap on the scale of tokenized securities platforms or set it at least at €1.5 trillion (approximately $1.74 trillion), arguing that the €100 billion cap proposed by the European Commission will hinder industry development. Signatories include the French Digital Asset Association Adan, Crypto Council for Innovation, the European Ethereum Institute, as well as companies like Nasdaq and Boerse Stuttgart.The EU's distributed ledger pilot regime allows operators to test the trading and settlement of tokenized stocks, bonds, and investment funds while exempting some existing financial rules. After observing "moderate" participation, the European Commission proposed to expand the pilot framework and raise the current €6 billion cap to €100 billion. Adan stated that considering the development of the global market, this increase is still insufficient, and their preferred option is to completely remove the cap or at least set it to €1.5 trillion, which is 15 times the proposed cap.The joint letter pointed out that some existing European projects have reached a scale of €350 billion and plan to grow further, but did not disclose specific projects or calculation methods. The letter also emphasized that the relevant threshold targets the market capitalization of admitted securities rather than trading volume and opposed giving central securities depositories a significantly higher differentiated cap than other blockchain market operators, arguing that this would be detrimental to emerging service providers.The alliance also compared the restrictive measures in Europe with an unnamed mainstream settlement platform in the United States, which can tokenize assets like stocks without a trading volume cap; if the cap is retained, the alliance hopes the Commission can flexibly raise it as the market grows, without presetting a maximum limit.

The founder of Liebit Mining Pool (B.TOP), Jiang Zhuoer, stated that after the release of the latest PPI data in the United States, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates has risen to 70%. It is expected that tomorrow's CPI data will not be favorable either, and preparations are being made to short.

UPBIT will stop trading support for Ravencoin (RVN) on October 12, 2026, at 15:00. The affected trading pairs include RVN/KRW, RVN/BTC, and RVN/USDT. Users must complete the withdrawal of RVN by November 11, 2026.

According to the report "Explosive Growth of Stock Derivatives in 2026: The Landscape of Cryptocurrency Exchanges and Key Trends" released by RootData, the stock derivatives sector has transitioned from "marginal experimentation" to the "explosive growth" phase, with a cumulative trading volume of approximately $17.5 trillion from January to August.In terms of cumulative transaction volume, the concentration effect among the top exchanges remains significant. Among the four exchanges, Binance ranks first with $853.58 billion and a 61.3% market share; Bitget follows in second place with $270.85 billion and a 19.5% market share; OKX comes in third with $234.39 billion and a 16.8% market share; Bybit ranks fourth with $33.41 billion and a 2.4% market share.Regarding liquidity, in the ±2% weighted order book depth indicator, Binance and Bitget together account for over 70% of the stock derivatives order book liquidity. Among them, Binance has an average daily order book depth of approximately $10.1 million, followed closely by Bitget at $4.82 million, with OKX and Bybit at $3.87 million and $1.16 million, respectively.In terms of trading costs, in the recent comparison of weighted spreads for more than a dozen representative popular assets, Bitget ranks first with 0.0144%, followed closely by Binance at 0.0145%, with both essentially at the same level; OKX is at 0.0154%, and Bybit is at 0.0237%.

According to CoinGlass data, gold XAUT has returned above 4400 USD, currently reported at 4403.66 USD, with a 24-hour increase of approximately 0.62%.The total contract open interest for XAUT across the network has reached 673 million USD, with the Gate platform's open interest at approximately 125 million USD, ranking second in the entire network.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that short-term holders of Bitcoin, holding for no more than 6 months, have transferred a total of 549,300 BTC to exchanges.During the same period, the price of Bitcoin rose from $64,000 to $78,000, an increase of about 21%; after reaching a local high of $81,800, it fell by about 4.1%, but still retained most of the gains.