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JPMorgan Chase: For the first time, includes Bitcoin in long-term return forecasts, with potential returns surpassing gold and bonds

J.P. Morgan Asset Management has first included Bitcoin in its long-term capital market expectations, forecasting an annualized return of about 10% for Bitcoin over the next decade, which is expected to outperform stocks, bonds, and gold. However, this prediction also assumes that Bitcoin's annualized volatility could reach as high as 55%, more than three times that of U.S. large-cap stocks.J.P. Morgan believes that the gradual improvement of the regulatory framework, along with the continuous enhancement of market liquidity and price discovery mechanisms, may further promote Bitcoin's recognition in traditional financial markets. Looking ahead to the next decade, technological innovations in fields such as artificial intelligence, robotics, healthcare, and space, as well as a global capital expenditure growth of approximately $15 trillion, are also expected to drive economic growth and asset returns. Analysts point out that the correlation between Bitcoin and other assets is unstable, making it currently unsuitable as a diversification asset in balanced investment portfolios; therefore, the institution has not yet included it in its main investment portfolio model. If Bitcoin's volatility continues to decline in the future and its correlation with other assets stabilizes, its portfolio allocation value is expected to increase.

first_img Farcaster was acquired by Network School and will transform into a network state protocol

The decentralized social network Farcaster has changed ownership for the second time this year. Network School, led by Balaji Srinivasan, has acquired Farcaster from Neynar, with the transaction amount not disclosed. Neynar co-founder Rish stated on Thursday that after considering multiple acquisition offers, the company decided to transfer the "Farcaster application, protocol codebase, and related products" to Network School, citing that Farcaster needs a different operational model in the next phase. Rish and another co-founder, Manan, will leave, while the remaining Neynar employees will join Network School to continue developing Farcaster.Neynar acquired the platform from Farcaster's original developer, Merkle Manufactory, in January this year, and the deal also included the token issuance platform Clanker. Rish's announcement did not mention the fate of Clanker, but GM Farcaster host Adrienne and NourishProf mentioned during a live broadcast on Thursday that Rish is considering splitting Clanker and seeking other buyers for it. Meanwhile, an in-app announcement indicates that Farcaster will be renamed "Network Nation Protocol," aiming to build a network composed of a voluntarily joined digital society, ultimately landing in the physical world.Users must choose to accept or reject a "social smart contract," with acceptors receiving an on-chain access NFT as proof.
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