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Bonk Guy: Market sentiment is low but may give rise to opportunities, on-chain market conditions are expected to improve

Well-known trader Bonk Guy posted that although the current crypto community generally believes that the on-chain trading environment has fallen to historical lows, approximately six new tokens have reached a market capitalization of over 100 million to 300 million dollars in the past four months, and dozens of new tokens have completely diluted valuations (FDV) exceeding 10 million dollars.Among them, tokens such as PONS, ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, and STONK have all reached FDVs of at least 300 million dollars. Despite the deterioration in market structure, there are still tokens that occasionally experience significant price increases. Compared to the period before the emergence of Robinhood Chain, and the sluggish period after the issuance of the TRUMP token last year, and before the initial rise of BonkFun, the current market is far from reaching its historical worst levels.Although the current market environment is not as bullish as it was a few months ago, it does not mean that on-chain trading opportunities have disappeared. As market sentiment is dominated by pessimistic views, it is expected that the market may soon warm up, with the recovery speed potentially faster than most people's expectations. It is recommended to pay attention to tokens that performed well in the last round of market trends and have high confidence, and consider gradually positioning during pullbacks. Historical experience indicates that some tokens may not only return to previous highs in the next round of increases but may also rise further, and the biggest opportunities in the market often appear before mainstream sentiment shifts.

first_img Analysis: On-chain options are the biggest opportunity in the cryptocurrency field

User Momilio posted: On-chain options are currently the biggest blank space and opportunity in the cryptocurrency field. This content is excerpted from its upcoming on-chain options research report, currently just a summary of one chapter. Momilio stated: Mature financial markets will eventually expand to options, and cryptocurrency has reached a turning point; constraints are no longer regulatory or infrastructural, market-making liquidity has improved, and pricing systems can now support larger-scale transactions. It also noted: The trading volume of on-chain options is still only 6.9% of Deribit's options trading volume, and to reach critical scale, a large influx of retail order flow is necessary.Momilio stated: The annual trading contracts for U.S. options increased from 4.19 billion in 2017 to 15.2 billion in 2025, a growth of 263%, primarily due to retail investors. After Robinhood launched commission-free options in December 2017, the proportion of S&P 500 options on the same day rose from 5% to over 60% within ten years. By 2023, the proportion of contracts expiring within a week rose to 68%, with same-day options accounting for 43%; SSRN research shows that over 75% of retail-related trades are contracts expiring on the same day.In India, the premium for stock options is expected to reach 190.65 trillion rupees by the fiscal year 2026, which is 45.8 times that of the fiscal year 2016, with over 90% of retail derivatives traders only engaging in options. By the end of 2024, the Securities and Exchange Board of India will raise the minimum contract size from 500,000 rupees to 1.5 million rupees and restrict weekly expirations to only one benchmark index, with premiums still increasing by 7% in the fiscal year 2026. In the first half of 2026, the trading volume of options contracts on Indian exchanges reached 39.3 billion, which is 4.5 times that of the U.S. at 8.7 billion, while U.S. premiums of $6.3 trillion are nearly 5 times India's $1.3 trillion.

first_img 22 companies oppose OKX's listing of tokenized stock platform with Intercontinental Exchange

According to a report by Reuters, as of Friday, 22 companies have submitted objections against listing their U.S. stocks in tokenized form on the tokenized stock platform OKXICE, jointly launched by OKX and the Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange. The latest batch of companies opposing includes Wells Fargo, Arm Holdings, and Intuit, following Microsoft and Alphabet, the parent company of Google, who joined the opposition the previous week. Among the 22 companies mentioned, 16 are listed on Nasdaq, while only 6 are listed on the New York Stock Exchange.Nasdaq issued guidance in September regarding the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's innovation exemption mechanism, reminding issuers that "they must be cautious about their own participation," and stated that the consequences for liquidity, price discovery, and long-term shareholder value may not become apparent until the experiment has progressed for some time. Andrew Cuomo, co-chairman of OKXICE and former governor of New York, indicated that more objections are expected for the joint venture platform, as companies wish to avoid being among the first to test this stock model.Earlier this month, the joint venture platform submitted documents to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, planning to provide tokenized stock listings for 62 companies. Cointelegraph sought comments on Intuit's decision to withdraw from the plan but did not receive an immediate response; spokespeople for Wells Fargo and Arm Holdings declined to comment.

Placeholder Partner: The current market resembles an early bull market opportunity; long-term investors are advised to systematically accumulate tokens

Co-founder Chris Burniske stated that long-term investors should not repeatedly struggle with entering or exiting the market, but should systematically accumulate tokens over time, and not confuse long-term investing with short-term trading. He suggested using his most successful investment targets as a reference, calculating target holdings based on the total supply of network tokens.He gave an example that the total supply of ETH is about 120 million tokens. If one previously held 10 ETH, based on the network holding ratio, the total supply of SOL is about 636 million tokens, corresponding to about 53 tokens; the total supply of TIA is about 1.16 billion tokens, corresponding to about 97 tokens. If one wishes for the TIA network share to reach 10 times the original ETH holding share, approximately 970 TIA would be needed. For ZEC, since its supply is similar to BTC, the ideal BTC holding quantity can be used as a reference for accumulation targets.Regarding the current market, he noted that many crypto assets have fallen 20% to over 40% from their highs, while BTC has dropped less than 10%. He is more inclined to believe that BTC's previous relative resilience has led to significant adjustments in assets with lower risk appetite, making the current situation more like an opportunity in the early stages of a bull market rather than a warning signal of a bull market trap. He also reminded that one should consider the possibility of further price declines, suggesting to invest remaining cash in batches and determine the investment ratio based on the probability of local bottoms at different price levels; even if some preset price levels are not reached and cash remains, it can still be acceptable.

first_img Fairshake affiliated PAC invested over 52 million dollars in the Ohio Senate election, opposing Sherrod Brown

According to documents submitted by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) on October 15, the political action committee Fairshake, primarily funded by Coinbase and Ripple Labs, has invested $46.6 million through its affiliated organization Defend American Jobs in the Ohio Senate election for media advertising opposing former Congressman Sherrod Brown's return to the Senate and supporting Republican incumbent Jon Husted. This expenditure is over 50% more than Fairshake's initial plan of $30 million announced in September.In an interview aired on Pod Save America on October 16, Brown responded that he has spent his entire career battling Wall Street, big pharmaceutical companies, and oil giants, achieving success in many cases, while Husted is a spokesperson for these forces, which is why they have invested tens of millions of dollars. In addition to Fairshake, the super PAC Digital Freedom Fund, established by Gemini co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, reported approximately $3 million in advertising expenditures this week to oppose Brown and support Husted, bringing the total media spending in the Ohio campaign to over $5.9 million. With less than three weeks until the U.S. elections, early voting in Ohio has been underway for 10 days.Fairshake's spending this round has exceeded $41 million for 2024, when the PAC supported Republican Bernie Moreno and opposed the incumbent Brown. Brown, who previously served as chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, is one of the lawmakers in Congress openly questioning the laws and policies supported by the cryptocurrency industry. Defend American Jobs also reported spending over $6.7 million in the Nebraska Senate election opposing independent candidate Dan Osborn, whose opponent, Republican Pete Ricketts, voted in favor of the Digital Asset Market Structure Act and legislation related to stablecoins. Fairshake stated in January of this year that it held $193 million in cash before the election.
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