optimistic

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that the global financial markets have been quite volatile recently, and one cannot expect to make money every moment in investments and trading. He mentioned that even Duan Yongping has to endure significant unrealized losses, with some stock investors previously making ten times their investment now facing an 80% retracement, and the situation for ordinary stock and cryptocurrency investors is even worse. The overall environment is still in a rate hike cycle, and Bitcoin has become a relatively well-performing asset.Yi Lihua reiterated that the upward trend is not a straight line, nor is the pullback; he still sees a bullish market trend and continues to wait for the right pullback. With the midterm elections approaching, market volatility and trading opportunities are increasing. He also mentioned that Coinbase has launched a global derivatives trading competition with a maximum prize pool of 2 million USDC, believing that this event provides a platform for communication and testing trading strategies, and he himself will participate and learn.

According to Gate market data, Oracle (ORCL.N) has seen its increase expand to over 7% due to management providing an optimistic performance outlook.

Blockstream Chief Marketing Officer Peter Bain stated in a recent interview that Bitcoin has maintained the $81,000 mark amid stock market sell-offs, rising 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, and turmoil in Europe, which he described as "a very, very strong signal." He made this statement during a conversation with Grace Remington and Sean Hagan.Bain emphasized that technological development precedes price and discussed topics such as adoption, stablecoins, and tokenized stocks. He introduced Blockstream's new center established in Lugano and a new consulting department aimed at institutional clients, while explaining why treasury companies are mainly concentrated in the United States and why Switzerland will become the next market—Switzerland's clear regulatory framework and strong banking foundation make it an ideal launch market.Regarding quantum computing, Bain believes that the related threats will take decades to materialize, and that Bitcoin's real weaknesses lie elsewhere. He referenced the PHP vulnerability incident, stating that the industry needs to rethink the way software is released, and introduced Blockstream's research on quantum-resistant signature solutions, how consensus can be reached for quantum upgrades, and the Bitcoin Security Alliance. Additionally, he provided the first update on the Liquid Network event progress: the exchange service has been restored, the network is back online, and users can transfer Bitcoin back to the main chain. Looking ahead to 2027, Bain stated that institutional clients believe Bitcoin "is expected to usher in a major bull market."

The hedge fund Bridgewater's China business department informed investors that the institution's bullish stance on gold has decreased and that it holds a cautiously optimistic view on the domestic Chinese stock market. The Shanghai-based hedge fund stated in a letter to investors in September that it has gradually reduced its previously overweight position in gold.Bridgewater China noted that rising interest rates have increased the opportunity cost of holding gold, while rising oil prices have suppressed demand from energy-importing countries like India. The institution also expressed optimism about Chinese assets, believing that the current stock market valuation is not high, the policy direction is favorable for long-term capital formation, and that there may be more funds flowing into the stock market in the future against a backdrop of lower bond yields.

Bill Ackman, the CEO of Pershing Square Capital, believes that the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the Iran war, and persistently high inflation and interest rates are suppressing what should be a stronger market environment. With geopolitical risks easing and energy prices falling, he expects the market outlook to improve significantly and calls 2027 a year that will be stunning.In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, Ackman stated that if the uncertainty brought by the war dissipates, especially if the situation in Ukraine develops positively, energy prices could drop significantly, which would benefit the decline in inflation and the performance of financial markets. He also referred to the Iran war as an exceptionally well-executed war and believes that achieving peace in the Middle East would not only benefit the region but ultimately also benefit the United States.

According to a report by Jinshi, Citic Securities' research report indicates that Harness is expected to become a key component for DeepSeek in transitioning from model supply to platform ecology, transforming open-source and engineering advantages into user base, ecological influence, and commercialization capabilities. As competition among Agents expands from model capabilities to stable and user-friendly task delivery, DeepSeek is expanding user and task coverage through plug-ins, scenario presets, and cross-Agent collaboration, extending its infrastructure advantages from hardware-software synergy to complete task execution.The research report states that its long-term value lies in the accumulation of demand through ecological expansion, enhancing product stickiness through configuration and process sedimentation, and supporting safe governance with traceability capabilities, collectively creating conditions for sustained use and enterprise deployment. Based on official model calls, the company can also explore platform services and ecological transactions, transforming ecological accumulation into more diverse revenue sources and supporting reinvestment in products and ecology. Citic Securities is optimistic about the continued rise of domestic large models.

Well-known trader Doctor Profit stated that after Bitcoin previously bottomed out and rose significantly above the 50-day moving average, it has not retraced to that moving average until now, and it has now tested this support level. He believes that this support will hold, and Bitcoin will continue to rise from the current level.

According to foreign media reports, at a forum held by DBS Bank on Monday, Jensen Huang stated that the performance of Chinese AI models (including DeepSeek, Kimi, and GLM) has already been outstanding.Jensen Huang claimed that he is a staunch supporter of open source, stating that open source is the best way to drive efficiency improvements, and the market will determine which models are most suitable for different application scenarios. He also mentioned that quantum computing may enter mainstream applications within the next 3 to 5 years, and software will play an important role in promoting the efficient use of related infrastructure.

Infrastructure Capital Advisors is optimistic about the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond, expecting the Federal Reserve will only raise interest rates once more. The agency's CEO pointed out that a single rate hike aligns with the Federal Reserve's "dot plot," which is less than market expectations. It is anticipated that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond will stabilize around 5%.

Cryptocurrency trader Ansem posted on platform X, stating that the market has not yet fully priced in the potential of pump.fun to evolve into a similar L1 underlying infrastructure. In the future, other token issuance platforms may be built directly on top of pump.fun.Ansem pointed out that the market currently pays little attention to the creator fee sharing paid to token creators by pump.fun. This amount is close to a 1:1 ratio with the platform's revenue, meaning that for every approximately 500 million dollars in revenue generated by the platform, token creators can receive about 500 million dollars in creator fee sharing after the token completes the bonding curve phase. Therefore, the related teams have strong motivation to continue building products on pump.fun.He believes that this economic structure may be superior to traditional L1, as pump.fun can not only collect fees from various token issuance platforms but also earn fees from every token issued by these platforms. With the introduction of features like custom trading pairs and Callout Rewards, the market may gradually adopt a similar L1 logic for valuing PUMP.Ansem also stated that he is highly optimistic about the investment logic of pump.fun developing into a "super app" in this market cycle.

Dan Tapiero, founder and CEO of 50T Funds, stated that the core assets in the digital asset space have entered a new bull market phase. He pointed out that the real revenue growth within the industry comes from stablecoins, tokenization, and companies like Kraken, Ledger, and Polymarket, which form the underlying fundamentals supporting the current market.Tapiero mentioned that Hyperliquid has been leading this bull market. Regarding investment choices, he revealed that he had previously opted not to invest in FTX, Celsius, and BlockFi due to valuation issues; he is currently raising $500 million for the 50T Fund and has invested $42 million in MoonPay. On a macro level, he is focused on themes such as Japan's 30-year government bonds and believes that in currency devaluation trades, Bitcoin and gold will hold an advantage in the long term.

Former White House economic advisor and founder of Geopolitica Institute Pippa Malmgren stated in an interview published by Bitcoin Magazine that the core of the security agreement between the United States and Greenland is not the ice sheet or minerals, but the space race. She pointed out that missile tracking and satellite ground stations give the Arctic region critical strategic value and believes that Diego Garcia and the Chagos Islands will be the next focal points.Malmgren then linked geopolitics to the market, discussing U.S. debt, China's selling of U.S. Treasury bonds, and the future of Bitcoin. She mentioned that the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio has reached 100% and analyzed the government's plan to escape debt through growth, as well as the reasons behind China's reduction of U.S. Treasury holdings.She also discussed the nationalization of cutting-edge AI laboratories and AI security, the evolution of currency from fiat to digital currency, the application of stablecoins and Bitcoin in AI agent scenarios, and topics such as Austin becoming the "new Shenzhen."

Nate Geraci, President of ETF Store, expressed that his initial interpretation of the latest notice from the U.S. Treasury regarding 351 exchanges is not as optimistic as some industry insiders. Geraci believes that if the asset portfolio transferred into the ETF significantly differs from the ETF's own investment strategy, it may face issues, especially in cases where the related assets are quickly reduced or completely sold off through physical redemptions.He also pointed out that the Treasury's guidance is not clear regarding the specific applicable boundaries, making it currently difficult to determine which operations may be permitted. Further guidance is expected to be issued in the future.

Cryptocurrency trader Ansem stated that he is quite optimistic about the real recovery of NFTs in this cycle, and art-related NFTs may see a price increase again.Ansem mentioned that what is more noteworthy is the innovation surrounding the forms of NFTs, including AI agents, ownership mechanisms, new issuance methods, and different models of NFTs combined with on-chain products. He believes that as the broader rotation of on-chain assets is still in its early stages, there may be more new applications and design explorations in the NFT field in the future.

Tom Lee, the chairman of the Ethereum treasury company BitMine, stated that cryptocurrency concept stocks have led the way in the third quarter, viewing this as a signal for the start of a bull market. This cycle is different from the past ones driven by ICOs, NFTs, meme coins, and stablecoins, as it now includes tokenization, AI, and a more favorable regulatory environment, with broader participation in funding.After years of consolidation, the market may welcome a clearer breakthrough, with upward potential possibly exceeding previous cycles. Tom Lee also expressed optimism for Ethereum, believing it will strengthen due to Wall Street's tokenization implementation, and thinks ETH has a chance to challenge its previous high within the year.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated that he is optimistic about "bio-enhancement" in the next decade. The "Neuralink" company he co-founded is attempting to break through the bottleneck of human information transmission bandwidth.Musk mentioned that the peak bandwidth for humans is about 100 bits per second, while computers communicate at trillions of bits per second. Technologies that enhance the speed of human communication will improve the alignment between humans and machines.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Bill Miller IV, Chairman and CEO of Miller Value Partners, stated in an interview with Bitcoin Magazine that he has "never been more optimistic" about Bitcoin. He pointed out that although Bitcoin's market capitalization remains roughly at the peak level of the last cycle, the global financial situation has significantly worsened, and the gap between price and fair value is wider than ever.Miller elaborated on his "capital governance" argument, suggesting that Bitcoin should be viewed as the "denominator" of capital rather than an asset that needs to be valued, using the scale of the U.S. deficit compared to Bitcoin's total market capitalization as a reference framework for assessing fair value. He also addressed the phenomenon of gold outperforming Bitcoin, attributing it to "narrative lag," and discussed AI trading rotations as well as the global liquidity outflow from the Japanese and U.S. Treasury markets.Additionally, Miller talked about the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point interest rate hike, energy prices and inflation, the impact of immigration and the rule of law on the stability of capital flows, and whether U.S. companies can outperform debt, as well as why funds still cannot hold Bitcoin. He believes that Bitcoin is a form of capital denominator that does not rely on force for endorsement.

According to the Economic Daily, in the past six months, CCL manufacturers have raised product prices by about 20% to 30% due to the overall increase in upstream material prices. Most PCB manufacturers have not been able to pass on these costs quickly enough, resulting in a time lag of 2 to 3 months, which has eroded profit margins. Institutional investors indicate that starting from the third quarter of this year, some PCB manufacturers will increase prices, and the benefits are expected to drive a rebound in the profitability of related manufacturers.Analysts state that in terms of substrates, electronic fiberglass cloth led by T glass and copper foil drilling needles are still in short supply, with T glass experiencing the most severe shortage, with some manufacturers facing a gap of up to 20%. This gap is expected to continue into next year. It is anticipated that in the second half of this year, substrate manufacturers will enter a supply-demand imbalance driven by the high demand for AI GPUs and ASIC high-performance computing, as well as the continued tightness of key raw materials. Substrate manufacturers will continue to adopt rolling price adjustments, with prices still having double-digit upward potential.Additionally, due to the sustained high demand related to AI and the specification upgrades driven by new generation products, there is continued optimism that CCL manufacturers will benefit from both price and volume increases. With raw material prices remaining tight and the delivery times for high-end CCL continuing to extend, the trend of price increases remains unchanged. There is continued optimism for the future development of Taiwanese CCL manufacturers such as Taiflex and Taisil. Meanwhile, as the substrate gap gradually widens, it benefits the bargaining power of substrate manufacturers, and the trend of price increases will continue, maintaining a positive outlook on the future performance of Taiwanese substrate manufacturers, including Nanya Technology and other supply chain partners.

As oil prices rise, inflation concerns have emerged, leading to a significant increase in U.S. Treasury yields. Citigroup stated that for investors who can withstand volatility, the 20-year Treasury bond offers a good risk-reward ratio.Citigroup strategist Jason Williams pointed out that if yields break above 5.3%, bearish options on U.S. Treasuries will strengthen, and policymakers may take action to curb the rise in yields.