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JPMorgan expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in September and December 2026, up from the previous forecast of a single rate hike in December.

The consumer version of the Doubao Mobile Assistant under ByteDance has been officially released. This assistant is based on the Doubao App and collaborates with mobile manufacturers at the system level, exploring the application of AI in mobile phones around core experiences such as interaction, task execution, local memory, and retrieval.Compared to the technical preview version launched at the end of last year, this consumer version emphasizes stability and everyday usability. The first consumer version will be equipped on the Nubia NaviX Ultra phone, which is currently available for pre-order and will be officially released on September 16.

Renowned trader Killa posted about the potential impact of the upcoming FOMC meeting on the cryptocurrency market this week. He stated that many people are very focused on macroeconomics, policies, and economic data to predict the next moves of assets, but Killa believes that "most macro narratives are just distractions." Killa noted that BTC often starts moving before the reasons become clear. By the time the macro environment shifts and the herd realizes it, Bitcoin has usually already completed its move. Correlation is often lagging. The market does not move because most people understand it. Most people understand it because the market has already moved.As a quantitative trader focused on BTC, Killa predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

According to South Korea's "JoongAng Ilbo," China's semiconductor industry is organized through collaboration among the central government, local governments, state-owned financial institutions, and enterprises, forming a system for fundraising, factory construction, and infrastructure support. The China National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund has a first phase of 138.7 billion RMB, a second phase of 204 billion RMB, and a third phase of 344 billion RMB, totaling 686.7 billion RMB, with investments in companies such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and Yangtze Memory Technologies.Changxin Memory, established for 10 years, has risen to fourth in global DRAM market share, with a net loss of 21.13 billion RMB over the past three years, while R&D and equipment investments during the same period reached 185.2 billion RMB, with Hefei's state-owned capital providing about 80% of the funding for early projects. South Korea's Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are responsible for investments, employment, technology development, and support for partners. The South Korean government plans to guide 622 trillion KRW in private investment by 2047 and provide 17 trillion KRW in low-interest loans and 1.1 trillion KRW in semiconductor ecosystem funds, but most of the burden will fall on enterprises.Park Kyung-soo, Executive Vice President of the Korea Semiconductor Industry Association: The semiconductor industry will fall behind in the next upturn if investment stops; even during downturns, R&D, equipment investment, and orders for materials and components must be maintained, requiring long-term policy, financial, and tax support. China is catching up with a national-level support system, and South Korea also needs a response system involving the government, political circles, financial institutions, and enterprises to act together.

According to Taiwan's "Commercial Times" report on September 14, as the computing power of GPUs and ASICs continues to rise, traditional copper interconnects are gradually approaching the limits of power consumption and signal transmission. TSMC is accelerating its layout for co-packaged optics (CPO). The industry is optimistic that if CPO bandwidth continues to double every two years, it may form the "CPO Moore's Law" of the AI era. Industry analysis indicates that the upgrade of CPO bandwidth mainly has three paths: including increasing single-channel speed from 200G to over 400G, expanding the number of optical channels from 16 to 32, 64 or more, and introducing wavelength division multiplexing (WDM). By 2040, the theoretical value could reach about 128 times the current level, with long-term potential for development towards hundreds of T based on the current level of about 3.2T.TSMC's role in optical interconnects has extended from wafer foundry to system integration, gradually integrating computing, HBM memory, and high-speed I/O from 3DFabric, CoWoS, SoIC to silicon photonics and CPO. When high-speed electrical signals exceed 200G, signal attenuation increases after passing through longer copper paths such as ABF substrates, PCBs, and connectors, leading the industry to develop shorter copper paths and longer optical paths. In terms of packaging architecture, the optical engine is currently laid out on the substrate, and the next step is expected to place CPO in the intermediary layer, with future possibilities of using SoIC technology to achieve 3D vertical integration of photonic integrated circuits (PIC) and ASICs. Industry players indicate that CPO still needs to overcome challenges in packaging, optical coupling, and testing before mass production can be achieved.

According to Politico, U.S. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer arranged a Democratic caucus meeting to discuss the Clarity Act on Sunday evening.The landmark cryptocurrency bill will face a Senate vote on Tuesday.

Elvira Nabiullina, the Governor of the Bank of Russia, stated that the digital ruble has been launched nationwide, with nearly 87,000 new accounts opened in the past 10 days and over 50,000 related transactions. She pointed out that a few banks encountered technical issues when opening accounts and executing some transactions, but the relevant banks have completed the processing, and there have been no widespread failures or numerous complaints.The Bank of Russia is reducing the steps required for account opening and transactions while maintaining security levels. The digital ruble has completed its nationwide rollout after real user testing that began in 2023, and users can choose whether to use it. Twelve major banks in Russia and retailers with annual revenues exceeding 120 million rubles (approximately 1.42 million USD) must accept digital ruble payments, with more businesses expected to be included by 2028.

The 18th BRICS Summit adopted the "New Delhi Declaration," supporting a payment framework that bypasses the Western financial system. The declaration commits to expanding trade and investment settled in member countries' local currencies, connecting national payment systems, and studying cross-border interoperability.BRICS Pay, as a decentralized payment framework, integrates India's UPI and Russia's SPFS into a shared layer to settle payments between member countries.

Bonk Guy (Unipcs) posted that Fomo is expected to complete integration within a few days after the launch of the Arc chain, which changes its short-term judgment on Arc. He stated that builders related to Arc have recently contacted early on-chain traders multiple times, indicating their desire to generate early traffic for the new chain through Meme coin activities.Bonk Guy believes that the main opportunities on-chain this cycle are still concentrated in Robinhood, BNB, and Solana, and does not think Arc will become the next mainstream chain. However, he pointed out that Fomo has not yet integrated Hyperliquid, Tron, or TON, all of which have seen Meme assets with market capitalizations exceeding 100 million dollars. Therefore, if Arc connects with Fomo early after its launch, it could bring short-term trading opportunities. He revealed that he has purchased the native token LONG of the main launch platform Long, as well as the top three Meme coins on that platform.His core judgments include: Fomo will integrate Arc, Arc is actively attracting early on-chain traders, and Arc may learn from Robinhood's path of launching ecological growth through Meme activities. Bonk Guy also emphasized that the layout related to Arc is a short-term high-risk experiment and reminded to currently avoid using trading bots like Basedbot and GMGN to prevent significant slippage due to routing to incorrect liquidity pools.

The supply chain reveals that TSMC has disclosed its expansion targets for 2/3 nanometers for the first time next year. The 2-nanometer production is expected to increase from 90,000 wafers at the end of this year to 110,000 wafers by mid-next year, an increase of 22%; the 3-nanometer production is expected to rise from over 180,000 wafers at the end of this year to 210,000 wafers by mid-next year, an increase of over 16%. TSMC did not comment on market rumors yesterday and emphasized that capacity-related statements are based on the company's announcements.It is reported that TSMC's monthly capacity for 3 nanometers reached 120,000 to 130,000 wafers at the end of last year and is expected to expand to 180,000 wafers by the end of this year, with a target of over 210,000 wafers by mid-next year. The monthly capacity for 2 nanometers is expected to reach 90,000 wafers by the end of this year. TSMC previously stated that capital expenditures in 2026 will range from $60 billion to $64 billion, with approximately 70% to 80% allocated for advanced processes, and plans to add three 3-nanometer fabs located in Taiwan, Arizona in the United States, and Japan, while converting 5-nanometer equipment in Taiwan to support 3-nanometer capacity.

Arthur Hayes posted on the X platform that, aside from AI safety risks, if companies like Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX no longer act as buyers of computing power, the U.S. government may need to take on that role; another scenario is that if the demand for computing power disappears, leading to defaults on related AI debts, the Federal Reserve may need to "print money" to rescue the insurance institutions holding those debts. Hayes stated that regardless of which option is chosen, it will ultimately need to be resolved through monetary expansion, jokingly referring to this situation as "Yachtzee."

A report released by the blockchain intelligence company TRM Labs shows that most of the transaction volume on the x402 payment protocol launched by Coinbase does not come from AI agents. The report analyzed 198.9 million settlements processed by known x402 facilitators on Base, Solana, and Polygon since May 2025, involving an amount of approximately $52.7 million.After excluding self-payments and other anomalous fund flows, about $25.62 million was identified as potential commercial transactions, of which only 0.6% to 7.5% by amount came from AI agents. TRM pointed out that ordinary scripts, scheduled tasks, and self-trading can also generate the same on-chain records, so the total transaction volume of the protocol is insufficient to measure agent commerce; their model identifies addresses that repeatedly pay for the same service as scripts, which may underestimate the actual scale of single-use agents. During the reporting period, USDC accounted for 99.6% of the settlement value, approximately $52.47 million.Meanwhile, Binance's Agent OS launched in August has integrated the x402 payment layer, Coinbase's Base supports agents and payment startups through a $1 million accelerator, and Amazon also launched AgentCore Payments in May in collaboration with Coinbase and Stripe. TRM recommends improving the on-chain agent registration mechanism, establishing a verifiable counterparty reputation system for agents, and building a monitoring framework suitable for small, high-frequency payments, stating that "agent commerce requires agent compliance."

According to CryptoSlate, the voting in the Zcash community regarding the NU7 network upgrade will close on September 14. The core issue is to replace the periodic halving with a smooth issuance curve, and another issue is whether to shorten the block interval from 75 seconds to 25 seconds.This proposal does not change the total supply cap of ZEC, only adjusts the pace of new coin release; the vote is advisory in nature, and even if passed, development and deployment still need to be completed. ZEC recently reached a new high since 2018, currently priced at $1,093.21, ranking 10th by market capitalization.

The cross-chain protocol Chainflip disclosed that an attack incident targeting Tron USDT occurred yesterday. It has been confirmed that 736,442.17 USDT was stolen through 6 unauthorized payments, and an additional 115,654.41 USDT from user exchanges remains in the vault due to payment failures, while other funds were unaffected.Chainflip stated that the attacker exploited a vulnerability in the Tron transaction memo mechanism, attaching a custom memo to transactions that had already been signed by validators, causing the system to recognize the same deposit as a separate exchange and refund it again, ultimately leading to funds being paid out multiple times. The attacker executed 8 operations within approximately 90 minutes, gradually increasing the amounts. Chainflip claims to have completed a repair plan and has flagged the stolen funds to relevant authorities in an attempt to recover them, with operations expected to resume as early as Monday, and they will be responsible for compensating affected users for their losses.

"BTC OG Insider Whale" agent Garrett Jin released a market perspective stating that Bitcoin bulls are currently in an unfavorable position, with BTC continuing to hover above $76,500.Garrett Jin expressed that he is not optimistic about the current prolonged bottoming market, believing that the longer the consolidation period, the more likely BTC is to break below the $76,500 support and further seek lower support levels, rather than immediately reversing.He pointed out that if Bitcoin wants to show a stronger trend again, it needs to at least regain and maintain above $78,300.

CoinShares Research Director James Butterfill stated that Bitcoin is currently facing an "unusual combination"—short-term bearish and medium-term bullish factors are present at the same time.In the short term, the U.S. core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in August, higher than market expectations. Butterfill said, "The CPI data is marginally negative, increasing the probability of monetary policy tightening, which may limit Bitcoin's immediate upside potential." CME FedWatch data showed that market bets on the Federal Reserve's next rate hike reached as high as 85%.In the medium term, he pointed out that the U.S. Treasury's expanded bond buyback program has failed to effectively lower long-term yields. If this situation continues, it may force authorities to implement larger intervention measures, raising concerns about currency depreciation, which would instead benefit Bitcoin and gold valuations. CoinShares believes that Bitcoin's short-term upside may be limited to below $80,000.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Levante UD vs FC Barcelona More Markets" on Polymarket, the "Over" option for the sub-market "Levante UD Second Half O/U 1.5" experienced a drastic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 29% an hour ago to the current 10.5% (a fluctuation of 18.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Cointelegraph reported that Morgan Stanley set a target price of $250 for Coinbase, implying an upside potential of about 43%, as its business expands beyond cryptocurrency.

BitMine Chairman Tom Lee stated that the cryptocurrency market will enter an extremely bullish phase in the next 12 months. He believes that the market experienced over $19 billion in leveraged position liquidations on October 10 last year due to the U.S. threatening to impose a 100% tariff on China, and a large amount of borrowed funds has been cleared, suggesting that the bottom of the cryptocurrency market's four-year cycle may appear next month.Tom Lee is also optimistic about the long-term opportunities brought by asset tokenization. He estimates that if $100 trillion in assets migrate on-chain in the future and generate 1% in revenue, it could produce about $1.1 trillion in annual revenue, corresponding to a market opportunity of about $20 trillion based on traditional business valuations.However, BitMine currently holds 5.93 million ETH, with related positions showing a paper loss of about $5 billion. Fundstrat has continuously advised clients to allocate 2% of their portfolios to cryptocurrency assets over the past decade; Tom Lee stated that in the accounts of clients who adopted this advice, cryptocurrency assets currently account for over 85% of their portfolios.